Posted Saturday, March 29, 2008 12:24 AM
so tempted to take the Lou ML +210 tomorrow
and yet i dont know that i even love them ATS
just don't want to lay -250 on UNC
I guess thats the point though huh
for some reason the thing that stands out to me is UNC beating Arkansas by 31, i just feel like Lou wouldn't necessaryily beat ARK by more than 15,
that leads me to beleive that UNC will likely have at least a 3 or 4 point lead around the 2minute mark which means Hansborough taking and hitting FT's and getting the cover,
The key being that I beleive UNC will likely have the type of lead where their opportunity to cover is better than Louvilles'
UNC by 7, at least
I like the under too, although the high number makes me think thats a sucker bet, its gonna be very close to the 154.5