joeyd88's Blog

Lou ML

By joeyd88 | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, March 29, 2008 12:24 AM   5 comments
so tempted to take the Lou ML +210 tomorrow
and yet i dont know that i even love them ATS
just don't want to lay -250 on UNC
I guess thats the point though huh
 
for some reason the thing that stands out to me is UNC beating Arkansas by 31, i just feel like Lou wouldn't necessaryily beat ARK by more than 15,
 
that leads me to beleive that UNC will likely have at least a 3 or 4 point lead around the 2minute mark which means Hansborough taking and hitting FT's and getting the cover,
The key being that I beleive UNC will likely have the type of lead where their opportunity to cover is better than Louvilles'
 
UNC by 7, at least
 
I like the under too, although the high number makes me think thats a sucker bet, its gonna be very close to the 154.5
5 comments
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jonesappraiser says:
03/29/08 12:35AM
agree man hard to bet against the UNC machine at this point. I loved Loisville all season. Won money on them 10 or 12 times. They have looked great and can run it, but i dont think they can stop TY , Tyler, or Ellington.. too much fire power. BUT if you really wanna make money take the over in this battle. 83-75+ UNC

 

GL

joeyd88 says:
03/29/08 12:41AM

well said

I was thinking OVER earlier on the notion that this might be the best game of the tournament so far, a real show, and no real need to keep it slowed down, that is a big number though

Neither a particularly defiant defense though so it kinda makes sense

joeyd88 says:
03/29/08 12:46AM

if pitino makes the mistake of pressing too often, this goes way over

UNC will break that press 90%

and Lou will get theirs

3825 says:
03/29/08 01:03AM
i went into this tourney rating the pac-10 very strongly.  that was very obviously wrong.  ucla is barely standing, i won't rate the unc game on thursday too highly.   which way does this money/line move tomorrow.  will you get better than +6 at -110 tomorrow, if you love unc, do you take the +110 tonight.
joeyd88 says:
03/29/08 01:13AM

correct, i guess thats why you have so many posts

titles so because I'm debating it

whats the problem here

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