joeyd88's Blog

Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 12:50 AM

Lets Ask Ourselves

I noticed one of these weeks last year and it happens often in college.   There are quite a few 9-11 pt lines this week.  8 to be exact
Buff @ Jax -9              NO -11.5 @ TBPitt @ KC -10               Ari -9 @ StlSea @ Min -10.5          NYJ @ NE -10.5Was @ Dal -11             Cin -9.5 @ Oak

Which says to me that vegas is trying to entice additional 10 point teaser action from the amateurs like myself.  Having been caught in this before, it seems clear to me that we ( I ) need to figure out which one or two of these teams aren't going to win.  There is no way vegas lets us below average bettors have our free pick of any combination of of these 8.  There would be some 50+ combinations that would cash if all these teams were shoe-in to just win the game.  
Soo Someones Gonna Lose.  Whos it gonna be?
 I think this is prally a good strategy to figure out a number of key things about the lines this week.  It'll tell us whos valued in on the dog ML.  Whos a great double digit dog bet.  KC maybe?  
This proved to be prudent last year when I started this topic in the forum during a similar week.  

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Joined: December 2005
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