Surprise the Gators are back , analysis+ picks

If you told me 9 months ago that the Gators would be 4-0, and hosting Bama as only a 4 point dog, I would of said, NO WAY.

After experiencing AD Jeremy Foley hiring Ron Zook, to replace Steve Spurrier, I was shocked when he hired another assistant coach, in Will Muschamp, to replace Urban Meyer.!  Well the first thing that surprised me was the hiring of Charley Weis, as OC. Then he named an old friend Dan Quinn as DC.

Weis who can do magic with QB's ( Tom Brady) has turned John Brantley around, and with his play calling the Gators are averaging over 40 a game ! The defense under Quinn and Muschamp's watchful eyes are holding teams to 9 points a game ! Brantley is no super star , but Weis is getting great production out of speedsters Rainey and Demps to average 259 yards rushing per game.

If you look at stats the Gators and bama have almost the same numbers in almost every category ! Bama scores 38.5 and allows 8 and the gators score 40 and allow 9. Bama rushes for 251 and allows 46, the gators rush for 259 and allow 57, and the QB's are rated about the same.

Bama has a tougher schedule and deserves to be a 4-5 point favorite, even with the game in The Swamp. . As a Gator fan I will just watch this game !

Official lines come out soon, but I have strong leans on USF -1 1/2 or 2 at Pitt and Baylor -4 going to Kansas St, a place where they don't fare well, but I love the numbers Griffin is putting up. I also see some good value in... [More]

Thurs + week 4 15-8 YTD

15-8  YTD + 1-0 on 3 unit play LSU

NC St + 7 1/2    Thurs

I see this as a toss up game with 2 very even , good QB

Most are on Cinci but their big stats are built up against 2 very bad teams

Both teams could put up 30, so i will go with the value and take the 71/2

Sat

Bowling green +51/2 and +6 bet this early , line has dropped

Indiana -7

E Carolina  -13

 

 

Gator Prospects

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The Gators usually open the season with 2 cupcakes (exception 2008 Miami,Fl )So you say what is the big deal with beating FAU and UAB by  a combined 80-3. Well the deal is that when the gators hold the first 2 teams to real low scoring numbers, they have had a banner year ! In 2006 they opened 76-7 went 13-1 and won the BCS National championship. Likewise in 2008, opened 79-13 went 13-1 and also were national champs ! In 2009 the... [More]

Early leans thurs fri 4-1 last week

Arizona +14   Okla st maybe in top 10 but i feel this is way too many points

Misou  +7.5  This game looks like a toss up

Louisville  - 4

Early Sat lean Miss st + 7  Auburn could be in big trouble also like the OVER

Feedback appreciated