5-0 last weekend picks and leans +Urban

Fri

Tulsa +3

Indiana +7

NW +7

UNLV +16 1/2

Conn +3

Minny +10 1/2

My big play last week Wash St +3/12 won in OT with Wash St on the foot line with 3 seconds left in regulation, I was hoping they would go for the win instead of kicking the tying FG

Lean toward Florida, as a Gator fan I am very upset the way the coaching change has worked out. i wish urban well at OSU and will root for him, but I am not happt with foley hiring another assistant coach in Muschamp , last year.He did the same thing with Zook, when spurrier left

With all the great coaches out there, like Petersen at boise, or kelly at Oregon, his first choice was muschamp. As I said when he hired Zook , I hope I am wrong, but so far Muschamp looks very flustered

A win against FSU and a bowl win, would be a big step forward

Week 8 picks

NC St   +51/2

Illinois   -3  Hook

Wisc   - 6 1/2

Ga Tech   +3

USF  -3

 

 

 

Hiring college assistant coaches

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One of my pet peeves is AD at major colleges hiring an assistant coach . Look at the last 4 coaches at Florida.

 

1-      Steve Spurrier   - Coached pro football, then turned a terrible program around at Duke, then he became a legend at Florida ( Wins a national championship )

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Money line parlays + picks week 6

Auburn ML + Texas tech MLabout 15-1 suggest $20 if you are a $100 unit player

Indiana +16 capped early

E Michigan + 20 1/2

Auburn + 10 1/2

Texas tech +7 1/2

Last week lost 3 team ML parlay 46-1 Utah st Auburn Clemson when BYU scored with 11 seconds left on a tip

2 team 17-1 Clemson and Auburn won

 

Surprise the Gators are back , analysis+ picks

If you told me 9 months ago that the Gators would be 4-0, and hosting Bama as only a 4 point dog, I would of said, NO WAY.

After experiencing AD Jeremy Foley hiring Ron Zook, to replace Steve Spurrier, I was shocked when he hired another assistant coach, in Will Muschamp, to replace Urban Meyer.!  Well the first thing that surprised me was the hiring of Charley Weis, as OC. Then he named an old friend Dan Quinn as DC.

Weis who can do magic with QB's ( Tom Brady) has turned John Brantley around, and with his play calling the Gators are averaging over 40 a game ! The defense under Quinn and Muschamp's watchful eyes are holding teams to 9 points a game ! Brantley is no super star , but Weis is getting great production out of speedsters Rainey and Demps to average 259 yards rushing per game.

If you look at stats the Gators and bama have almost the same numbers in almost every category ! Bama scores 38.5 and allows 8 and the gators score 40 and allow 9. Bama rushes for 251 and allows 46, the gators rush for 259 and allow 57, and the QB's are rated about the same.

Bama has a tougher schedule and deserves to be a 4-5 point favorite, even with the game in The Swamp. . As a Gator fan I will just watch this game !

Official lines come out soon, but I have strong leans on USF -1 1/2 or 2 at Pitt and Baylor -4 going to Kansas St, a place where they don't fare well, but I love the numbers Griffin is putting up. I also see some good value in... [More]

Thurs + week 4 15-8 YTD

15-8  YTD + 1-0 on 3 unit play LSU

NC St + 7 1/2    Thurs

I see this as a toss up game with 2 very even , good QB

Most are on Cinci but their big stats are built up against 2 very bad teams

Both teams could put up 30, so i will go with the value and take the 71/2

Sat

Bowling green +51/2 and +6 bet this early , line has dropped

Indiana -7

E Carolina  -13

 

 

Gator Prospects

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The Gators usually open the season with 2 cupcakes (exception 2008 Miami,Fl )So you say what is the big deal with beating FAU and UAB by  a combined 80-3. Well the deal is that when the gators hold the first 2 teams to real low scoring numbers, they have had a banner year ! In 2006 they opened 76-7 went 13-1 and won the BCS National championship. Likewise in 2008, opened 79-13 went 13-1 and also were national champs ! In 2009 the... [More]

Early leans thurs fri 4-1 last week

Arizona +14   Okla st maybe in top 10 but i feel this is way too many points

Misou  +7.5  This game looks like a toss up

Louisville  - 4

Early Sat lean Miss st + 7  Auburn could be in big trouble also like the OVER

Feedback appreciated

Mia Ohio pick +second thoughts

Mia O  +3 (bought 1/2 pt  ) I have bet this before and can't understand the line move toward M Tenn

Dasher is a very erratic QB with only 6 TD and 14 INT

M Tenn only 6-6 in a weak Sun Belt conf

Back up QB Boucher has played well in the last 3 games and adds running power

Mia has a very good run defense that should force Dasher to throw

I see this game like N Ill wrong team is favored

Strong rumors Charley Weis Florida new OC

There are strong rumors that Charley Weis will be the OC . Muschamp has received pernission from KC to talk to him

Indications are that Weis will accept

This has been reported on CBS and on ESPN by Chris Mortensen

This was a real weakness this year as Steve Addazio has no flair for calling plays

Muschamp wants ti run a pro style offense which is good news to QB John Brantley. It will be interesting how top QB Jeff Driskel will react  !

Bowl picks + Tebow report

Air Force -21/2

Bowl picks  1-1

Pro 1-0 ( KC -3 hook)

Today rookie Tim Tebow in his 2nd start led the Broncos to victory in Elway esque fashion

Trailing 17-0 at half Tebow led the Brocos on 4 scoring drives culminating in a 6 yard scramble for the winning TD that erased a 23-17 Texans lead.

The team ralied behind Tebow's leadership and never say die attitude. He finished with 308 yards passing and another 27 rushing. 2TD ( 1 pass 1 run )

I hope this ends the naysayers who think Tebow cannot play at this level

I welcome comments by my fellow cappers

 

 

Wili Muschamp hired at Florida when will Foley learn

Jeremy Foley told me 10 years ago, in an EM,  when he hired Ron Zook, " He is a great recruiter " well that's what they are saying about Muschamp.

Urban Meyer spent 10 years as an assistant, then worked his way up with 2 years at bowling green, 2 years at Utah and then got the big job at Florida

Baseball hardly ever does this, you start out in the minors and work your way up

Ron Zook, Randy Shannon, Charley Weis, great assistant coaches that failed miserable as head coaches. Just because you are a good assistant doesn't mean you will be a good HEAD coach

As I said about Zook , "I hope I am wrong"

You don't give an assistant one of the top jobs in college football

Like to hear from some gator fans

 

 

My wish list for Florida coach

1- Chip Kelly - Oregon    timing maybe off this year as Ducks don't play until Jan 11

2-Gary Patterson -TCU  has built a very nice program

3-Bob Stoops - OKLA  coached at Florida , turned down job 6 years ago, a proven winner

4-Jim Harbaugh- Stanford  great young coach

5- Chris Peterson- Boise  winning 90%

6-Larry Kehres Mt Union great track record I know he won't be hired, but I think he is a great coach

7-Dan Mullen - Miss st  long time assistant under Meyer , very good with QB

Any other choices out there?

Please tell me why Rutgers is getting 13 at CINN

I just took Rutgers +13 at Cinn, who has lost their last 2 by 51 points

I was going to take 11 earlier just on the 2 coaches

Does anyone have any info

My totals play of the week Penn St / Ohio St

With Matt McGloin as the Penn st QB I see a big scoring game. In his 2 games  the totals have been an average of 67.

I see this game going way over the 49 total

Penn St /Ohio st  OVER 49

 

 

3 ways to play tonights game Toledo/N Ill

1- Toledo +11  ( 1 unit)

2-Toledo OVER 20 ( 1/2 unit)

3 Toledo ML +350 ( 1/10 unit)

I feel TO   (Terrance Owens  ) off his showing last week coming off the bench and throwing 4 TD 0 INT makes +11 look like a play

In the last 3 games Toledo has ave 36

Good young coach in Tim Beckman who has turned the program around

Toledo always plays M ILL

GL

 

 

Why can't college coaches pick the right QB + PICKS

I went to Temple and also root for Florida and Penn St

It has taken 10 weeks for Joe Pa to find out that McGloin is his best QB. Even after he outplayed Robinson of Michigan, he went back to Bolden against Northwestern. They fell behind 21-0 and then he finally went to Mcgloin, who rallied them to a 35-21 win

Speaking of Michigan, in the fall D Robinson was #2 or #3 in the depth charts

Temple is lighting it up with Gerardi

The Gators are turning it around by using Burton and Reed, because Brantley doesn't fit in the spread option offense. If Meyer used Tebow with Leak in 2006 they would of put up 40+ a game instead of 28

That said I am taking Toledo +11 with TO at QB (Terrance Owens) He has a QB rating of 180 and has thrown 5 TD 0 INT after Dantin got hurt

I don't understand why these high paid coaches can't figure the QB situation out, yhank goodness Andy Reid was persuaded to use Michael Vick !!

Toledo plus 11 with the back up QB

GATORS new HYBRID offense to replace Tebow and Harvin plus picks

Fot years I had trouble in my golf game , with my long and medium irons. I had a gap of 20-30 yards and didn't have a comfortable club to hit. Then they came out with HYBRID clubs and I used them to replace my 4, 5 and 6 IRONS. This helped my game improve, and with a 5 wood I no  longer have a gap, between 135-155 yards !

Urban Meyer had the same problem with his offense. How to replace Tim Tebow and Percy Harvin. John Brantley is a pocket passer and didn't quite fit in Meyer's sprad option offense.So against Georgia he used Burton and Rainey, Demps and Brantley, plus Reed and Presto, he had a HYBRID offense.

He used Brantley , Burton and Reed at QB and Demps, Rainey and Burton as runners and receivers.! Burton, Rainey and Demps ran 42 times for 232 yards and 4 TD. Brantley and Burton completed 18-27 for 219 and Burton caught 5 passes for 35 yards..Rainey ran back KO for over 200 tards.

Burton accounted for 171 yards, running, passing and receiving.in an exciting 34-31 overtime win over Georgia

This is how Meyer's HYBRID offense turned the offense around., basically using 6 players to replace Tebow and Harvin !!

Pocks to follow

Florida problems as easy as ABC

A- Addazio  Offensive line coach , not doing a good job. Also is OC and calls plays , has no imagination

B- Brantley  pocket passer in a spread option offense, can't run, with QB rating of 118

C- Cam  Newton QB left because Tebow came back in 2009, plus other issues  leading Auburn to #1 early Heisman leader

D- Denard Robinson great QB prospect in 2009 went to Michigan

    Defense is allowing 19 a game and 24 away miss Charlie Strong

Meyer is great with a bye week. Rainey will play. Demps has an extra week to heal. Rebounding Georgia in the coctail party. Lets see if Gators can bounce back

Anyone with an idea?

 

 

 

 

Okla st the Rodney Dangerfield of CFB

Last week I posted why I liked Okla st getting 3 at TT

I have already capped the Nebraska game taking the Okies +6 at home

Martinez was beaten up by the Longhorns. Okies should key on his running and make him pass

Okla st +6  this line will probably drop

Can I win 4 straight and why he gators should start Burton

Thurs Okla st -3

First away game for A&M and Weeden #2 rated QB in the country

Florida struggled for the first 3 games on offense. last week against Ky they put in Trey Burton, deep in the red zone. he ran 5 times and scored 5 times.He also caught a TD pass for #6.

Then they put him at QB and his one pass was good for 42 yards. 11 touches and 6 TD. He is the option QB that the gators need as Brantley is a pocket passer.

With the Gators on the road at Bama they will need his style of play especially if demps is hurt.

This is the second coming of Tebow

SIDE of the week and 6 DOGS

Ruffin McNeil has coached 3 games and has ave 47 pts a game 

41 as interim coach at Texas Tech ( Bowl win over Moch st) and ave 50 in 2 wins at ECU

ECU OVER 20 pts (This should be a shoot out)

Kent St +21

Iowa st +31/2

Tulsa +7

N Illinois  +7

Duke +231/2

N Mex +23 1/2

ist weeks picks 6 of 7 dogs

It's great to be back to football

Thurs

N ill +41/2

Utah  -3

Sat

N Texas +24

Rice +301/2

SMU +14 (Sun)

Wash St +151/2

UL Laf +28