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question on pre-market futures....

By kingpincarbs | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, January 14, 2009 11:49 PM   1 comment
what is the difference between dow futures and futures fair value...example on cnbc website it shows

dow

futures                                                 futures fair value

index close   current future  change     fair val close  cur future chng
 8200             8159               -249           8155           8159    -3.86


someone please clarify this for me...if the markets opened up now would it open down about -249 or -3.86  

thanks in advance
1 comment
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wallstreetcappers says:
01/15/09 01:55PM
It is a little complicated but I will try to explain.

The S&P and DOW has two contracts that are traded, the CASH contract and the FUTURES contract. The CASH contract is that which is currently active..so whatever the current contract in months..usually between 1-3 that is the CASH contract. The FUTURES contract is longer in duration, similar to the CASH but a contract OUT from the CASH.

So when they say "fair value" closing..it is how the CASH contract closes relative to the FUTURES contract..and if one is different, the other usually trades close to the other and corrects itself.

These futures contracts move the market and so that is why they talk about the SPX futures and the DOW futures.

It took me quite a while to understand it, but its just futures lingo and unless the difference is severe it wont mean much, plus the FUTURES trade all night long and that number can and will change.

The bulk of my above message is the "fair value" discussion, not the futures..
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