Posted Saturday, September 26, 2009 02:25 AM
Disclaimer: I've been horrid on Saturdays...stellar on Thursday's as evidenced by my writeup of the USC/Ole Miss game.
V Tech +2.5
I thought it should be V Tech -2.5, but Phile Steele's Northcoast line is Miami -6, so what do I know? I say special teams will come up big. They ALWAYS do in these games, despite the QB/RB/Defense glory that's always handed out. Anyway...here ya go:
-Has Miami really done that much by winning a 50/50 shootout vs FSU, then beating a one-dimensional G Tech team at home? Positive start, but not exactly awe-inspirint.
-Jacory Harris has had his way so far. Nobody can convince me that G Tech has a defense and secondary like V Tech's. Harris is going on the road in conference and it won't be nearly as easy. Some of his long connections have been a bit lucky in my opinion (11 yds per completion, for cryin' out loud), and some of the bombs have been snap decisions by Harris where he just rifled the ball and hit. He won't get away with that in Blacksburg.
-Tyrod and V Tech haven't moved the ball that well. So they'll have to do a lot of other things right, which I think they can (TO's, special teams, all-purpose yardage).
-Speaking of moving the ball, V Tech is way out in front in the ever-important rushing category at 198 yds per game (2nd in the ACC to G Tech) while Miami averages 137 (tied for 8th).
-Miami has ... [More]
Posted Tuesday, September 22, 2009 12:44 PM
Mississippi/South Carolina
South Carolina +3 - I went with this one yesterday, and I think I've convinced myself to take the money line.
-First of all, why is Mississippi favored? Phil Steele's predictions...catching Florida napping last season...beating a "down" LSU team...there is some hype in this line.
-Taking Spurrier as a home dog on a Thursday night is just good business.
-USC is coming off a road loss to UGA where they outyarded them 427-308 and out first-downed them 26-16.
-Despite the light schedule, the Rebs have only 3 QB sacks (Yes, Nutt could be saving some defensive schemes for Garcia). SC has 10 sacks against superior OL's (NC St and Georgia returned plenty of starts on the OL). SC stud Norwood could be in for yet another spectacular Thursday night.
-USC is looking up at #4 Mississippi- I love these situations, as do coaches and players ("they're #4 and playing in our house? I don't think so...").
-Mississippi is a good team, but I think you have to be GREAT to beat SC in this situation. Maybe the Rebs are great. I'll bet against it in this case. I saw Memphis go toe-to-toe with these guys until Memphis ran out of gas and the Rebs killed them in the 4th qtr. Mississippi scored 21 pts in the final 6 minutes, and if I recall, two of those scores were set up by turnovers. Memphis coughe... [More]
Posted Sunday, September 13, 2009 11:14 PM
Bets placed this evening. Will add more.
BSU -7 @ Fresno ST (bought a half)
@UNLV -7 vs Hawaii
@V Tech -3 vs NU (bought a half)
@UW +21 vs USC
Will look at many more. Arkansas -1 is quite appealing. I'll wait and see if I can get Even.
Posted Tuesday, September 08, 2009 01:02 PM
Great card last week:
Illini
A&M
Arizona
Minnesota
Wake
Penn State
UNT
Had a few nice winners yesterday and last night, but they were parlays, so I'll omit them.
Week 2. More chalk. Somebody get me a straw
@UNT +3 vs Ohio
@WFU -2.5 vs Stanford
@LSU -14 (bought 1/2) vs Vandy
Tulsa -17 @ UNM
@MU -17 vs Bowling Green
@Washington -20.5 vs Idaho
@Toledo +4 vs CU
Looking at:
@Louisiana +7 vs KSU
Two bad teams, but only one of them will be excited to play this game. UL lost most of their fireworks from last season's good offense. But they'll still be better in the trenches than KSU which should be enough for the cover. KSU with a road trip to UCLA on tap.