madshooter72's Blog

Pocono Discussion

By madshooter72 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, July 29, 2009 10:32 AM   28 comments
lines from 5 dimes
 
Pennsylvania 500
Fri 7/31  12:00PM (EST)

Jimmie Johnson       +550   
Tony Stewart       +650   
Mark Martin       +750   
Denny Hamlin       +875   
Jeff Gordon       +875   
Kyle Busch       +1100   
Carl Edwards       +1150   
Kurt Busch       +1300   
Kasey Kahne       +1600   
Greg Biffle       +1650   
Ryan Newman       +2600   
Juan Montoya       +2650   
Brian Vickers       +2700   
Matt Kenseth       +2800   
Dale Earnhardt Jr       +3200   
Clint Bowyer       +3300   
Kevin Harvick       +4200   
David Reutimann       +4500   
Joey Lagano       +5200   
Jeff Burton       +5200   
wow, looks like we have a few value plays this week. I like Reuti @ +4500 (finish 3rd or 4th here last time and has run awesome on flat tracks this year) JR @ +3200, (running the same car as last week, car was solid at Indy), vickers +2700, (always runs good here, should have won here a few times)
 
Can't go wrong with Kahne +1600, Edwards +1100 or Hamlin @ +875. Definately playing the 1st 3 value plays I listed and probably someone from here also, with that said, watch Tony will win this again.
28 comments
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PennStateMan077 says:
07/29/09 03:42PM
also i like the fords as usual.. i got a gut feeling say biff or edwards finally get a W

themaceo says:
07/29/09 05:04PM
Like Kahne !
Goggles-Pisano says:
07/30/09 01:07PM
First off, I'm with you Clepto (WTF)

Early lean on Carl Edwards. He's been getting better each week and even last weeks finish was pretty good considering he started 40th. With a win and Top 10 in 2008 and a 2nd this year here, this could be the place he cracks a win. +1150 can only go down

Kahne will get a little play from me as well fella's

Gotta pass on Vickers with 4 outta the last 5 at Pocono 21st or worse. I like him better at Daytone and Dega

With only 2 of us left, I have Newman and they have Vicker's this week in the Survivor Pool. Any thought's on a Top 20 outta Newman?

madshooter72 says:
07/30/09 05:09PM
goggs,

 

you should just split that shit, still pay you over 2 bills if im not mistaken.... lock in the profit + than we can start rd 3 

madshooter72 says:
07/30/09 05:10PM
newman should run top 20, unless the car breaks , same for vickers.
vegasdennis says:
07/30/09 06:59PM
I agree also don't see the 39 team taking alot of chances this weekend as they want to hold that chase spot.
TREE88 says:
07/30/09 09:27PM
JJ will be the man to beat again fellas.

Just can't play a +550 favorite.

As I look down the board I see a little value with Edwards at +1150

Also like Hamlin here but his mojo has sucked lately..... but if there was ever a place for him to get it turned around this would be it. Still not a ton of value imo at +875 for a guy that has been struggling.

 

Tough loss for all the JPM backers last week...... Could he possibly be a sleeper here at +2650? Hmmmmmmmmm.

 

Googles, don't split it....Newman loves Pocono and Im sure he took some pointers from the ol Bossman who just happened to win it last time..

 

 

MillerLiteBoy says:
07/31/09 08:38AM
I agree Tree.  If nothing happens to Newman he should secure a top 20.  problem being Pocono has been about fuel mileage and that could be the one factor that stirs the pot.  BUT, if he runs well and does like the track. 
MillerLiteBoy says:
07/31/09 08:39AM
Montoya finished 8th here last time around which was by far his best finish there ever.  He is running well should be good again.  I just know between, Edwards, Martin, Johnson, Stewart and Gordon you are looking at your race winner bewteen them.
vegasdennis says:
07/31/09 02:04PM
hendrick engines looked strong in practice 1 taking 6 of top 7 spots
vegasdennis says:
07/31/09 03:43PM
qualifying rained out
clepto says:
07/31/09 03:59PM
Do we really need 2 Pocono races? I mean seriously, give Vegas another date and scrap this boring race with guaranteed rain BS. Only good news is Petty and the TNT crew won't be cackling all F'N race.
vegasdennis says:
07/31/09 04:08PM
vegas 2 races yes I agree
MillerLiteBoy says:
07/31/09 07:15PM
Or Kentucky should get a race.  That 5 car is going to be on a rail this weekend though he has some catching up to do. 

 

BigPapa21 says:
08/01/09 07:45AM
Tony will win this week...no real value. 2 wins this year when rained out qualifying...GL on your wagers. Bet some long shots and throw Tony in to cover..
TREE88 says:
08/01/09 12:34PM

 

bol Papa but Smoke not winning on Sunday imo.

He's been struggling so far this weekend.

 

BigPapa21 says:
08/01/09 03:26PM

I hear ya starting in the back wit a back up car.

MillerLiteBoy says:
08/01/09 05:50PM
well last time I said Tony couldn't win and he did so I will keep my mouth shut.  I still believe the 5 car is the car to beat after what happened to him at Indy.
TREE88 says:
08/01/09 08:42PM

The 5 will definately be a player here.

I agree 100%

He has been running as good as anyone on the track as of late.

And always performs well here.

 

BigPapa21 says:
08/01/09 10:36PM
MillerLiteBoy says:
08/02/09 09:31AM

My prediction at the beginning of the year was he was going to get his first Pocono win.  As stated he has never won but he also has the most top 10's and 5's (I beleive the later is corerct as well) than anyone and he likes this track.  Mark feels he lost that one for the team last weekend so he makes it up to them this weekend or Monday

GeneralLee says:
08/02/09 12:30PM
Two good matchups that i researched:

Kahne over Biffle  -115

Newman over Biffle  -115

Both drivers are starting in front of Biffle, have better career numbers than Biffle, and were faster in happy hour. You can't get much better than that for -115.
MillerLiteBoy says:
08/02/09 12:45PM
Biffle was good here in June and ran top 4 last weekend at Indy.  I think your Kahne pick is solid but Newman is hit or miss here.
GeneralLee says:
08/02/09 12:59PM
I won't make both bets, in case Biffle gets a top 5. I'll probably make the Kahne bet because Newman is a little shaky. You know Stewert keeps the best equipment to himself, so I'm always afraid to pick Newman.
MillerLiteBoy says:
08/02/09 01:03PM
factor in this race if it gets started only goes half way there are going to be a lot of gambles though i would say the ones who start up front can benefit.  My gut says the cats who can afford to gamble because they are solidly in the chase are going to be the ones to watch.  GL here
troopshc99 says:
08/02/09 09:30PM
Hornish over Sadler (even money)...thats gonna be my only wager.
troopshc99 says:
08/02/09 09:35PM
Hornish over Mears I mean...not sadler.
biglubes says:
08/03/09 12:37AM
everyone sleeping on the 24?
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User: madshooter72
Joined: January 2006
Location: Florida
Team: Pittsburgh Steelers
Occupation: Degenerate

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