makaveli23's Blog

Mak's TNT Thursday Takeover

By makaveli23 | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, January 13, 2011 08:50 AM   72 comments

What’s up fellas.  Twas a good night of basketball on Wednesday.  Scraped up some minimal profits on the NBA slate but the Celts really did come through for me quite large on some off-bankroll mix sports wagers.  May start posting some of those in later weeks.  Had a decent night, profit is profit, but still not to the level I am accustomed to.  Would have been a satisfying night overall if not for one mental lapse by an all-star.  A silly mistake by Deron not only caused the Jazz to push the spread in a game they deserved to cover, but it also lost me a 1 unit prop by a point.  Nevertheless, a profitable night.  Can’t complain too much.

Dallas is clearly in trouble, Dirk will return this weekend.  However, if he is even a bit bothered by this knee and his performance is affected even slightly, the loss of Caron combined with this could be detrimental to a team I thought could contend for the West title.  Mark Cuban needs to do something big come trade deadline, signing Pavlovic is not the answer.  Paul George, yet another impressive rookie from an up and coming draft class.  Toronto showed some guts last night, Atlanta and Toronto always seem to come through with the best basketball games, another thriller.  Jamal Crawford is just in another zone right now, he is as hot as anybody in the league.  I am officially sold on Charlotte.  The first game after Paul Silas took over, I stated that D.J would be the main benefactor to the departure of Larry Brown...I love being right.  He looks like a brand new point guard.  If Charlotte continues to roll with a 7 man rotation pushing low minutes for the 8 man, than they have the defense necessary to compete and cover spreads at home.  

Celts continue to amaze me.  Look at the Boston bench, look at Luke, Erden, Marquis, Nate, Von Wafer.......now just for a split second....imagine seeing this group of players on the 2nd unit for.....let’s say Detroit....or the Raps.....Sacramento......a mind fuck isn’t it?  You would think they could possibly be the worst 2nd unit in basketball.  It astonishes me how Doc Rivers finds value and creates assets out of nothing.  Memphis was obviously as embarrassed with their performance against Indiana as I was, when Zach and Rudy play well, the Griz are very hard to stop.  Monroe with yet another triple double, he and Udoh were my favorite bigs in the draft.  I was obviously wrong looking at the skill of Cousins now, but Greg will be a good big man in this league for years to come.  The old men in black did it again, Milwaukee with a valiant effort once again, but the bench of San An is so versatile and effective, against a very weak 2nd unit for Milwaukee, my man Matt Bonner and his 2nd unit battalion were the difference makers last night.

I know it is silly to say this but I honestly believe I was on the right side of the Orlando game, yes the Magic were lucky to get it into OT, but Jameer and J.J combined for 3-20 from the field, Turk and Bass were just as atrocious yet the Magic were in it all game long.  Orlando is the far superior team, I would make this bet over again in a heartbeat.  The last play call was sheer brilliance to tie the game, I just love the out of bounds set plays from Stan Van Gundy after a timeout.  Love watching basketball like that...to bad J.J hit nothing but oxygen.  OKC was masterful against Houston, Brooks was unable to get anything from long range due to Thabo’s height.  Houston went small with Scola at the 5 as Jordan was ineffective.  Rockets desperately need some size in order to contend in the West.  They will be an active team come trade deadline I am sure of it.  Phoenix was lucky to get a win, it is clearly evident that they will not succeed this year with this roster.  Utah deserved that cover, some really fluke three point shots by Bill Walker and Shawne Williams kept NYC in a game that they had no business being in, both these teams continue to impress me and are teams I plan toback often this season.  What about Kobe’s knees? Close to 40 points says his knees are just fine.  Strange shortened rotation by Keith Smart yesterday.  Usually I like strict rotations but not with the Warriors.  I am just so sick of A.C Law getting minutes.  I don’t know what Smart’s love affair with this guy is but it needs to stop.  10 minutes of useless basketball and 2 turnovers yesterday, my opinion would be to have Curry or Ellis manning the point at all times and take A.C out of the rotation, plenty of more deserving players should get those minutes.  Last but not least the Heat and Clippers.  Lebron just had to open his mouth about karma didn’t he...I just picture this idiot reaching for his cereal every morning and yelling out I’m greeeeeat!! (in the voice of Tony the Tiger)  He is a walking, talking moron with outstanding athletic ability.  Clippers impressed me more so after the game, they were very professional, it was if they belonged in that spot-light.  This streak busting win will be a turning point in their season.  If anything, this game solidifies Blake’s spot in the Western Conference reserves on All-Star weekend.  Shallow TNT slate, always cautious on Thursdays.  Played the largest amount of wagers all season last night with 8, was lucky to come out with profit.  I don’t and won’t partake in that amount of action often.  Tonight I am looking at two games, may decide to go with both or trim it down to one bet.  All depends on the Minny spread.  I should be back from some business around 5:30pm eastern time to finalize my card.  As always guys, I wish you the best of luck.  Peace - - - MAK


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makaveli23 says:
01/13/11 08:50AM

ORLANDO MAGIC @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Honestly, even if someone gave me an extra 3 points on

either side I still would not touch this game with a 50 foot pole.  This is the definition of a coin-flip

game.  Odds-makers agree with me and

the line proves it.  I expect it to fluctuate back

and forth during the day to frustrate and confuse casual bettors and those “line-movement

enthusiasts”  As stated above, I was

impressed with Orlando despite their dismal shooting.  Turk and Bass were awful all game.  Ridiculous jumpshots from Bass who is playing

with one knee, I doubt he duplicates the perimeter play of last night.  Jameer did most of the handling against New

Orleans, look for Turk to work more at the top of the key with the ball tonight.  Due to the size of Westbrook, it will be

difficult for Jameer to initiate offense on him.  Dwight and Bass will battle all night with

Nenad, Ibaka and Collison.  Arenas may

have a difficult time on Harden but I think it’s about time for Hibachi to heat

up.  J.J should bounce back.  Orlando is always an excellent team off a

loss but the home court advantage of Oklahoma City combined with their win in

Houston offsets that advantage to me. 

This game will come down to transition defense.  If Orlando sends 4 defenders back after

missed shots, allowing Dwight to contend for any offensive rebound opportunities,

than Orlando will be fine.  The Magic are

in the top 5 in defense in the association while the Thunder are in the bottom

10 in the league.  This game will come

down to defense, turnover and transition opportunities.  Orlando has the edge here but that could

easily change in one instance...foul trouble. 

Dwight Howard is still not a stable pro mentally, he lets his emotions

get to him and allows himself to commit stupid fouls and techs all the time.  If Dwight is not on the floor for an extended

amount of time, OKC could run away with this. 

I’m staying away from this one for sure.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

My pups are playing. 

12-3 on the season betting on or against Minny.  I have a good feel for this team.  I continue to think they are one of a very few select teams that continue to be undervalued by public perception and

oddsmakers.  I am hoping the absence of

Mike Beasley will equate to a favorable line because I plan to back the Tims

depending on the home spread.  Last time

my bet was contingent upon the status of Beas. 

This time it isn’t, however the unit amount will depend on who starts at

the small forward.  It will be either

long, lanky rookie Wesley Johnson, or sophomore stud Anthony “The Decision”

Tolliver.  I would prefer if Tolliver

starts but I doubt it.  Tolliver fills in

more of the big man role off the bench. 

He usually comes in for Love or plays alongside him as the PF/C.  Washington will be without Andre Blatche

tonight.  He will be missed for his

rebounding ability and size up front. 

Washington may decide to go small by pushing Lewis to the 4 spot and

going with Al Thornton at the 3, or most likely will go with Yi at the

4....either way, Love will have his bib on, in the right hand a fork, in the

left a knife and he will literally eat whomever is on him.  Coming of a 20 and 20 game which doesn’t even

shock me anymore, Love should easily take care of any and all big men on

Washington.  Luke Ridnour continues his

excellent play as of late.  In his last

10 games he is a top 10 point guard in terms of efficiency...yet you heard

correctly, top 10.  Averaging just shy of

15 point per game, 8 assists and a steal and a half.  Shooting the 3 ball well and limiting

turnovers.  His backup Flynn is starting

to find his groove coming back from injury. 

Darko seems to be in early season form, coming off one of his best games

as a pro (25 and 11) he should be confident and put up an encore performance

tonight against McGee and Seraphin.  Did you

know the Tims are one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the

NBA?  #3 behind Golden State and San

Antonio.  Love can drill it, as can Beas,

Luke, Wesley, Corey and Tolliver. 

Washington ranks amongst the worst in the league at guarding the 3 point shot.  Minnesota is the best team in the NBA on the

glass, the Wiz are one of the worst at 25th in the association.  All indications state that Minnesota runs

away with this one with or without Beasley. 

But if John Wall decides to have his coming out party in Minneapolis,

than this wager could go down the drain.  Webster and

Brewer are my x-factors, Brewer for his defense on Nick Young is key, he

should limit the potential of Nick going off.  Without Young's scoring

assistance, Washington will struggle to stay in the game.  Webster is

key because he and Tolliver will need to combine for at least 30 to

provide sufficient enough offense to offset the loss of #2 overall pick

Michael Beasley. 

Looking forward to viewing a line, and will be back later in the day to

finalize a play.


makaveli23 says:
01/13/11 08:50AM

MIAMI HEAT @ DENVER NUGGETS

I can't actually believe I am thinking about backing the

Denver Nuggets.  I thought there would be

no way in hell I would do that until the trade goes through but this is a good

situation for them.  Miami went through

the most physical game of the season less than 22 hours ago. 

Lebron got banged up, Wade got hurt and a lot of role players exerted a

lot of energy.  Historically, teams on a

flight from Los Angeles California, to a high-altitude destination have always

struggled immensely or a back to back.  Although the

Heatles are superhuman at times, I suspect them to really struggle to get that second

wind tonight.  Due to the physical nature

of the Clippers game, it may be too much to ask for complete effort for 48 minutes

tonight.  Against a roster like Denver’s,

combined with the level of intensity in the building, complete effort is what

will be needed in order for Miami to contend.  This

crowd in Colorado will be at another level tonight, for obvious reasons with

Miami coming to town but combine that with the fact that every game could be

Mello’s last, adds an extra excitement to tonight’s game.  Denver showed what type of powerhouse they

could be at full strength and with some motivation as they demolished the Suns 2 nights ago.  Tonight that inner-turmoil won’t matter, with

the Heat coming to town, there is an automatic fire that brews in the

atmosphere.  The NBA and its superstar

players are envious of Riley and the three amigos for putting this together, maybe none

more so than Mello who wants to leave a team that is maybe a player away from

contending for a title, to a situation where he has the opportunity to play

with CP3 and another star.  Mello is an

excellent defender when he wants to be and someone that can actually contain

his highness.  Afflalo is an underrated

defender and will cause Dwayne some problems, off a 31 point night Aaron may

also provide some offense and make Dwayne work on both ends of the floor.  Billups and Lawson should outplay Arroyo and

Chalmers.  Nene & Birdman are greater

than Z and Joel.  Kenyon, although old

and with half a knee is still a decent om the ball defender.  Chris should fare better than his amigos

tonight but he can no longer “lead” a team to victory as he did in Toronto.  If Harrington and J.R Smith can provide some

potent offense off the bench, the Heat could suffer their second loss in a

row.  It should be an excellent game to

watch.  I may decide to sprinkle a tiny

bit on the Denver spread as it stands now in case of any injury updates.  However am not really looking at anything too

large on this game.    

BURTS says:
01/13/11 08:51AM
johnnyfry says:
01/13/11 08:56AM
aireent777 says:
01/13/11 09:28AM
kaponofor3 says:
01/13/11 09:33AM
Mak what does it tell you about UCLA's own Kevin Love that him coming off of a 20-20 game doesn't even really register surprise on our radars anymore? Dude has been absolutely amazing this year
browndog says:
01/13/11 09:48AM

hey mak i'm back good luck betting for the season

i have bet lebron-amare and rose for the mvp who are your top 3 out of interest

thanks browndog

browndog says:
01/13/11 09:48AM

hey mak i'm back good luck betting for the season

i have bet lebron-amare and rose for the mvp who are your top 3 out of interest

thanks browndog

makaveli23 says:
01/13/11 09:54AM


Kap, did you ever expect this guy to be this good when he was at UCLA?  You watch a lot of UCLA ball, did you ever expect this type domination at the pro level?  I remember in his rookie season he caught my eye all the way back in December of 08/09.  He had like 8 or 10 double digit rebound games.  All of them where he dominated the offensive glass.  I kept on thinking to myself, wow he is the best below-the-rim rebounder I had seen since Dennis Rodman.  The only reason he is really getting notoriety this year and also the reason I believe he deserves a spot on the all-star team is due to his scoring.  He has really turned into an offensive juggernaut.  My nickname for Kevin Love is "The Mechanic" because he has so many different weapons in his arsenal.  He can shoot the three, has a good post game and is the best glass man in this league.  Here's a tough one for you Kap, who do you like better, your boy Prince Mbah a Moute or Mr.Love.  Very different players, but if you had to pick a personal favorite between the two who would it be?

You also inquired in yesterday's thread about a potential Chicago East wagers at +1100 if I remember correctly.  Wasn't able to give you my thoughts as I was busy all day yesterday.  I like the potential payout bro but I would tread lightly.  Barring injury, I don't see any way Miami doesn't win the East.  Boston will give them a run for their money but the Heat should take the conference crown when the regular season ends.  Chicago may contend for 2nd but I suspect them to take over third from Orlando once Noah returns and they get in a groove.  A team to back hard after the all-star break for sure.

NOTE: To all who read my writeups today I apologize, I type very fast and I don't usually proofread my work and rarely go back and read it but today I had the chance to and good god there are a lot of mistakes, apart from the abundant amount of spelling and grammatical errors one thing I would like to correct is the Greg Monroe stats.  I think this is the 2nd time I have stated triple-double instead of double-double...Mak does know the difference.  GM got his 4th straight last night.  A young rook to watch out for.  I won't be around for a while, will be back in the early evening to finalize the card and respond to any questions.  Peace out Kap, gents - - - MAK

         
Rocksaki says:
01/13/11 10:23AM
Hey Mak, came across your threads a few days ago and loved reading your insights so much that i even went back to the first post of this season and read nearly everything up 'till now.

Thanks for all the work you put into this forum. People like you and your kindness to others is the reason why Covers is still an asset to us all.
PGAromes82 says:
01/13/11 10:53AM
Totall agree with the thread above. I havent been on long but definitely value your insight. Love your write ups. I agree with you on all games. Denver beating the Heattles <-- lol and Minnesota and K-love rolling over Da Wiz. Add something to your Heat Nuggets writeup. Bosh never carried the Raptors. They are really not that much worse without him. I would rather Bosh take all the shots and be the leading scorer than Wade or James. He is a very overrated player. Thats why with Wade and James banged up I think the Nuggets will roll tonight.  Keep up the good work!!!
kimoinsd808 says:
01/13/11 10:56AM


The guy has more 20-20's so far this year (6) than Dwight Howard had all of last year and he's probably not going to be voted into the All-Star game.  How stupid is that?!

Pardon the pun, but he's getting no love.
EVANTORR says:
01/13/11 11:01AM
nice write ups money mak
EVANTORR says:
01/13/11 11:17AM
I'd love to go with the t wolves but I can't go against a team fighting for it's first road W. 
EVANTORR says:
01/13/11 11:17AM

 

Its because hes white!!! lol

D-Town says:
01/13/11 11:19AM
Good luck Mak. 
kimoinsd808 says:
01/13/11 11:21AM
Minny -4 Mak.  What say you?  I think we are the few who have the intestinal fortitude to bet the Wolves.  I don't think the Wizzard's offensive explosion will carry over into this game.  I think the Wolves will do what they have been doing the past few games and focus on  keeping their opponents under 100 and get this victory.
timdogs17 says:
01/13/11 11:25AM

Mak---  I finally had some time too read your thread     

    Great insight __   Tonights a small card and I think your right about tonights game...

   Lebron will play but with a sore ankle-- I might sit this one out  as well

   I am playing the Magic tonight at -1 -- good luck

DrKylePile says:
01/13/11 11:30AM
GL tonight Mak
parlayking3 says:
01/13/11 11:45AM
hey first time ive read your write ups,great info and insight. those are not easy games to cap but you did a great job breaking down these games.
TOOfaded says:
01/13/11 12:30PM


...the DON......
gmitran says:
01/13/11 12:38PM
I think Love is going to get in.  C's in West are absolutely horrendous.  Ming is top voter so Stern gets to pick replacement & HC starter.  I think they're going to pick only 1 C (Jefferson or Bynum) and then have Gasol/Love play some C in game.

Would be travesty to pick TD over Love.  TD is Top 3 PF ever but not over Love this yr.

Thinking... 
Kobe/Paul; Deron/Nash/Westbrook
Durant/Melo; Gasol/Dirk/Griffin/Love
Jefferson or Bynum

SOL...  Ellis/Randolph (20/13 ave)
drflash says:
01/13/11 12:40PM
jeepnjake says:
01/13/11 01:30PM
BOL mak with your plays.
supadame says:
01/13/11 01:32PM

Makaninja!!!!!

I'm backing the Nuggets simply on principle.

Playing in Denver on the 2nd night of a B2B is brutal for any team. And history shows that the Nugs tend to destroy teams coming in there in that situation. The Pepsi center will be rocking, the players will be fired up.

Something else to consider: With all the trade rumors going around with Melo, maybe a big win tonight against Miami will convince him and everyone else that he's in a really good situation in Denver. That he doesn't need to go anywhere because all the peices are already there to make a legitimate title run. And if they just come together and play ball, they can beat anyone. Even the mighty Miami Heat.

I think Denver wins this outright and running away.

 

cubicman says:
01/13/11 01:40PM
stevenp says:
01/13/11 01:41PM
have you ever thought the new orleans is a great defensive team and own orlando at home!
stevenp says:
01/13/11 02:02PM
i gently noted that i disagreed with you regarding your recap of the orlando-new orleans game.  i liked new orleans and the bobcats last night but didn't have the cajones to bet'm.  i lucked out with miami and atlanta money lines and the knicks +6 to +9 (when i they were my worst pick for the same reasons your going against miami-- that tough west coast to denver or utah back to back).  TOTALLY AGREE WITH YOUR ENTIRE DENVER/MIAMI WRITE UP.  this road trip has been a slog for miami.  they're relying on heroics to win games and it fianlly caught up to them last night.  denver is healthy and at home.  plus, carmello aint going anywhere.  HE HOLDS ALL THE CARDS.  he can sign with whomever he wants at the end of the season or make 18 million with denver next year.  tough.
MrBator says:
01/13/11 02:13PM

 

 

Unpredictable says:
01/14/11 05:23AM
timdogs17 says:
01/14/11 10:07AM
3-0   Unbelievable            
bbdd005 says:
01/13/11 05:14PM
Great work as always Mak! Curious to know what you think about CB4 over 19.5 points tonight?

Thanks man!
wannatripp says:
01/13/11 05:23PM
JMatthew says:
01/13/11 07:48PM
wolves
thatsagoodone says:
01/13/11 04:43PM

Any reason why?  Or is this a gut feeling?

thatsagoodone says:
01/13/11 06:35PM

Thats not true.

Well I take that back.  They did show up and they played a game of basketball, they just don't always perform well. 

thatsagoodone says:
01/13/11 06:39PM

If Denver beats Miami as bad as the Lakers beat the Cavs a few days ago, that still won't change Melo's mind.  He doesn't want to be there. 

I like Denver tonight, however not for any of the reasons you do.

kaponofor3 says:
01/13/11 05:34PM


It sure was. It's one thing to have a nationally televised game against freaking Sacramento and one against LeBron, Wade, and Bosh. I expect full out effort from Denver tonight. That's the nature of the NBA regular season.
kaponofor3 says:
01/13/11 07:22PM
Timberpuppies
kaponofor3 says:
01/13/11 05:17PM


How dare you come into Mak's thread with this weak shit, talking trash about his play but then saying "goodluck".

First off, yes, Miami plays defense. We all know that. Think that defense might be affected by a back to back in high altitude? And about DEN getting smoked at home by worse teams, absolutely -- but don't you think that in the dredges on a long slog of the NBA season that they might be "up" emotionally to play the evil Heat team with all their stars? The fact that you think the Denver B2B means nothing is telling if you ask me.

How were the Heat minutes managed right? Wade played 40 minutes. LeBron played 40. Bosh played 40. That's minute management on the front end of a B2B where you gotta go up in altitude significantly on the tail end?
kaponofor3 says:
01/13/11 05:18PM


ESPECIALLY after they got eviscerated by the TNT commentators after their last Thursday night debacle against Sacramento where they just went through the motions and mailed it in.
kaponofor3 says:
01/14/11 09:34AM
Get out your brooms
makaveli23 says:
01/13/11 07:15PM
Apologies for the delay, got caught up in the hustle today.  All these conflicting reports are ridiculous.  If I were to take a guess, I say Lebron plays.  If the Nuggets start off strong, he may just quit, but I doubt it as it would affect his "MVP stats"  If he does not play, it is just another indication to me that Miami does worry about this situational spot and game.  Nevertheless I just despise going against the Heat, I doubt I will do it more than 3 or 4 times the entire season, but this spot is as good as any to go against them.  Already locked in a nice spread last night for a unit, am adding a moneyline play for another unit.

With Blatche now probable, this puts a bit of a hamper in my play.  The Tims still have enough firepower to outlast the Wiz at home, but the Wiz are very hungry for their first road win and I do think the effort will be evident.  No Mike, insert Wes as expected.  Andre being in means no small ball for Washington which is a shame since that was the key to an easy Minny cover. 

I no longer like any of these games as much as I did in the early morning.  Going to go with my gut and play both but for very minimal units.  I never like being invested on TNT Thursday, should be a nice night of ball nonetheless.  Good luck gentlemen.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES - 4.0 (-115)
3 UNITS - - -

DENVER NUGGETS + 2.0 (-110)
1 UNIT - - -

DENVER NUGGETS MONEYLINE (-120)
1 UNIT - - -
rjake55 says:
01/13/11 06:59PM

My guy leaves at 7.  Are there any picks?

 

more4us says:
01/13/11 07:22PM
Good luck tonight......................
kimoinsd808 says:
01/13/11 10:20PM
3BallBomber says:
01/13/11 05:25PM
BOL Mak
target_9 says:
01/13/11 07:05PM
JUMBOJPC says:
01/14/11 07:20AM
BOUNTYHOUNTER says:
01/13/11 07:50PM
VERY NICE WRITE UP'S...HAVE NOT BET MUCH HOOP YET THIS SEASON...BUT YOU HAD SOME GOOD INFO..THANKS....GOING OVER IN THE MAGIC GAME THIS SEEMS TO BE THE BETTER PLAY THAN THE SIDE...IF ITS CLOSE THAN WE MAY GET OT AND OR A LOT OF FT AT THE END TO HELP PUSH IT OVER...BOL ON YOUR PLAYS...
CatchNRun says:
01/14/11 09:45AM

supadame says:
01/13/11 05:51PM

Mainly because the Nuggets always show up in nationally televised games against good teams? This isn't a secret or relevation.

supadame says:
01/13/11 06:55PM

Ok. I'm interested to hear yours.

supadame says:
01/13/11 02:42PM

Back to back at altitude makes a big difference. Simple, situational capping makes Denver the play here.

And two, Denver got smacked at home against teams that didn't interest and excite them.

They're lying in wait for Miami tonight.....

 

supadame says:
01/13/11 03:29PM

Like they always do.

doliver517 says:
01/13/11 04:42PM

I watched Denvers last game as it was on nba tv...Melo had a good night, that's for sure. But lets remember, they were playing Phoenix. Denver came out VERY lathergic and fans instantly were booing....TY LAWSON was the reason they came back in that game. He has some beef with Goran Drajic (sp) from games back and just kills the poor foriegner. With Lawson in the line-up Denver was +22 at one point, and for the game I'm sure it was little higher. Once the crowd got behind the comeback Lawson was initiating (Denver I believe was down 16 in the 1st qt), Melo came in and mopped up the hapless Suns who had given up after the first quarter. Chauncy had 7 pts (worthless and pissed off) and never showed up, but he didn't have to because of Ty Lawson and his beat down of Drajic and Nash. Do you really think Ty goes off tonight??? Do you think Billups shows up when he has sat out a practice this week with a "headache" and didn't bother participating in the Phoenix game. There was obviously no interior D from Phoenix as Nene had his way with boards and put backs. Well tonight you have 2 pissed off slightly injured rottwielers coming into town off an embaressing loss to the.......CLIPPERS??? I know they're turning it around, but I'm sure Cleveland fans got a kick outta Lefag losing to the Clips. KARMA you MORON???? What an idiot that guy is, but you can't argue the fact the kid has a chip on his shoulder and wants to destroy everyone in his path. I understand he might not play tonight, but I would be surprised if he doesn't suit up against Carmelo for a big primetime game. If Lefag doesn't play, I still will go with Miami because of their talent with Wade and Bosh, feeling they will want to show they can win without James, and show they have heart and not want to lose 2 in a row. I took Miami this afternoon -1.5, and win or lose I will feel like I made the right play, regardless of the trends and b2b's. This Heat team shouldn't be looked at in the trends category with the Pistons on a b2b in mid february last yr....If Miami played 10 b2b games in Denver, what would thier record be....Now have them coming into Denver off a loss and decide what thier 10 gm record would be. I'll back the more talented, well oiled machine going into a drama filled situation against a bunch of guys who are headed out the door any day...

GL with your plays tonight guys

Mak, thanks again for your brilliant work  

doliver517 says:
01/13/11 07:13PM
I feel there are two kinds of bets...the right bet, and a gut feeling bet...If you make the right bet 100% of the time you will always come out on top in the long run....sure "gut feeling" bets win..I'm just curious as to how many people think Denver is actually the right play, or is it a gut feeling everyone has with a banged up Heat squad...It seems no one on here is remembering the juggernaut that is Miami...Denver may very well win and it will be understandable, I just can't see going against a team like the Heat when the opponent is a mess of a franchise, tho has talented players. Seems like we will definatly have an interesting late night game to watch
LarryLeGrand says:
01/13/11 07:40PM
I trust Kevin Love and Mr. Beasley against a tired Washington Team. But even with the National TV Factor (if it exists) and everything else, i don't think the Heat will lose b2b. The wounded lion is the most dangerous (dunno if you can translate it like this. We use to say it over here...).
But of course i wish you the best of luck!
Sorry for not really contributing. Short on time these days, earning some serious money
And HOW ON EARTH is anyone supposed to wager these events without the official Mak-Units? Like 1 Unit Melo-Dramatic, 3 Unit Kevlar-Kevin - THE OPTOMETRIST


PLAYAAAA1969 says:
01/13/11 02:56PM

Do we really believe Denver players will show the same intensity as the other nite against the Suns....No,, Melo, Billups, And Harrington played lights out for the Denver Faithfull thinking it could well have been thier Last game in a Denver Uniform..

Denver goes back to a dysfuctional bunch and a tired, sore Heat team smack - em in the Mouth..

Heat.... Bol to U MAK

PLAYAAAA1969 says:
01/13/11 05:16PM

Heat are playing like a team on a mission...They ran into a phisical Hungry clippers team last night...The Heat give maximum effort every night,,,can we say the same for the Nuggets.,,I say back a team that will play hard to the final buzzer every night rather than a  Nuggets team that MIGHT play hard or show-up.

HEAT...Hope Mak Confirms....

PLAYAAAA1969 says:
01/13/11 07:05PM

tonydan says:
01/13/11 04:56PM
more of a gut feeling to be honest but im gonna wait for maks decision. i just think if u dont get up for the heat what do u get up for? even with all the bs thats going on in denver it is human nature to be competitive.
tonydan says:
01/13/11 06:44PM
not trying to be a jerk but what are your reasons. im just trying to make up my mind
tonydan says:
01/13/11 05:23PM
yes that was an ugly gutless performance by denver
tonydan says:
01/13/11 03:25PM
i think denver shows up on a nationally televised game
tonydan says:
01/13/11 02:54PM
gotta agree with this point
HandDownManDown says:
01/13/11 06:38PM
nuggets last week on TNT? 
dj_yaz says:
01/13/11 07:26PM
with beasley out its gonna be a tighter match. i think johnson steps up tho and drops atleast 15 to 20 on the wiz. Im also on wolves ml and small on nuggets.
BOL tonight bud
humbleness1235 says:
01/13/11 07:08PM

BEST WRITE-UPS ON COVERS!! ALWAYS ENJOY READING THEM!!! GL TONIGHT

fresh4lyph says:
01/13/11 02:24PM
Mak, orlando was NOT the right pick, like stevenp said... look at the history, this isn't a fluke.  And sometimes when guys shoot poorly its because the other team is playing defense. 
fresh4lyph says:
01/14/11 05:35AM
scared as hell to bet denver 
Ggimme24 says:
01/13/11 04:44PM

Second night reading in a row and I agree with your insight again. Consider me a regular reader.

Minn at half time is worth a look even though I don't usually like half times. They just seem to crumble in the forth sometimes; I doubt it will happen against the Wiz though.

 

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