makaveli23's Blog

It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Yeeaarr !! (D-Day Analysis)

By makaveli23 | View all Posts
Posted Friday, February 25, 2011 06:05 AM   50 comments
Well actually gents, the most wonderful time of the year for me is the beginning of a new NBA season, but I have to be honest, D-Day is actually my 2nd favorite time of the year, some may call me ludicrous for saying this but I get more exited on D-Day than the beginning of the NBA playoffs.  I absolutely love the weelins’ and deelins’ that this day encompasses.  In all my years of obsession in this sport, I have never experienced a more volatile, exiting, unbelievable D-Day.....ever.  When is the last time we have had two all-stars move? The end of a dynasty? The biggest trade in modern NBA history?  I am absolutely astonished at the amount of “big boy” moves this D-Day entailed.  There were a lot of stellar deals and some head scratchers as well.  My all-time favourite deadline dead was when the Houston Rockets traded Otis Thorpe for Clyde Drexler, to this day I still think that is the best D-Day trade in the history of the NBA, I may be a bit bias however.  The Rockets were “my” team at that point in time (No Raps).  I was a youngin’ and was absolutely enamoured with Hakeen “The Dream” Olajuwan, he was, is and always will be my favourite NBA player of all time.  The Rockets were coming off their first NBA championship, they had a lacklustre 1st half of the season and did not look like they would double clutch and repeat as champions, once “The Glide” entered the picture, it was inevitable.  A simple roster tweak can change the landscape of the league and a team for years to come.

Unfortunately I will be on a business trip to Guangzhou China until late March, therefore, I will not be consistently posting my thoughts on a daily basis.  I do however want to share my thoughts on each and every deal, no matter how minor or insignificant some of them were (most of them have massive impact on daily gambles in my opinion), nevertheless each and every deal sparks interest to an NBA whore like myself.  Although I will not be with you guys for about a month, I thought I would take the time now and share my analysis on what should be an awesome end to the 2010/2011 season.  I really do hope that I am able to assist and impact some of your future wagers with my thoughts.  I sincerely wish each and every one of you the best of luck over the next month, I will try to stop by when I can although I doubt I will have the time, it’s an important and risky business venture so wish Mak luck , kill the books for your buddy Mak, I have no doubt you all will.  PEACE OUT GENTS - - - MAK
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makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:05AM
Might as well begin with the biggest

trade in NBA history.  As the Mello turns, the young and the restless,

New York New York is back on the basketball map.


Knicks Receive: Carmelo Anthony, Chauncey Billups, Renaldo Balkman, Anthony Carter, Shelden Williams, Corey Brewer


Nuggets Receive: Wilson

Chandler, Raymond Felton, Danilo Gallinari, Kosta Koufous, Timofey

Mozgov, $3 million in cash, 2014 first round pick (from NYC), 2012 &

2014 second round picks (From NYC originally from GSW)


Timberwolves Receive: Eddy Curry, Anthony Randolph, 2015 second round pick (from DEN), $3 million in cash


Mak’s Analysis:

Finally....the Mello Man has come back.........home.  It’s about god

damn time this happened.  Here’s the thing, a lot of intelligent

basketball brains will ask the question, why the hell did NYC give up 3

rotation players, a semi-promising young big man, a load of cash and 3

draft picks when it was clearly evident that Mello wanted to be nowhere

else but NYC next season......Mak will tell you why, 3

words....Collective Bargaining Agreement.  The CBA has a huge part of

why so many blockbuster trades were made on D-Day.  It was not a bluff

when Mello stated he would seriously consider signing the contract

extension with Denver, the CBA may restrict players to get that kind of

money in the future.  It is sad and scary to say that I really think

that a lockout is not only pending, but likely to happen.  This deal had

to be done now.  Reports indicate that if NYC had agreed to part ways

with 2 more first round draft picks, they could have kept Felton.  I

think they pulled off a great trade.  They still have two first round

draft picks intact, and if Donnie Walsh and Dantoni can continue finding

gems like Fields late in drafts, it was worth it to part ways with

Felton.  Billups and Tony Douglas are more than capable of handling the

point duties.  NYC keeps their gem Fields....funny how they were more

than willing to get rid of Wilson, Galo and Raymond but refused to part

ways with Landry Fields.  They believe the kid has potential, and upside

cannot be measured in this trade.   New York not has the dynamic duo

with a veteran point guard who can run any system in the NBA.  These 3

guys will win or lose ball games for them.  We all know the new NC3 are

capable scorers,  Mello is the best pure scorer in the NBA, Amar’e has

proven he is a legit star and not second fiddle and Billups as stated is

a dream for any coach in terms of a leading PG.  But when betting on

this team in the near future, keep two things in your mind.  One, those 3

can score “easily”  they will get to the free-throw line consistently,

no more relying on perimeter shots to keep the Knicks close, attacking

the basket will be key.  Two, do you believe that Tony Douglas, Turiaf,

Shawne Williams and Bill Walker can be proper role and provide

consistent positive production? Dantoni better find a way to implement

Brewer into his system, if he is just going to be bench bound than I

would trust NYC all the time. Don’t be afraid to back NYC against

sub-par teams, once Mello, Amar’e, Landry and Billups get in tune, the

Dantoni system will guide them towards countless covers and

victories....however, apart from Tony Douglas and Corey Brewer, I am not

sold on NYC’s role players or their front court depth.

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:06AM
The Denver Nuggets GM was a former assistant in Toronto, he studied

under the tutelage of Colangelo for many years. I think Brian taught him

well.  Although Denver would never get an equal return on their

investment, their procrastination was simply put....genius.  They played

media games, internal games, bluffed more than a world champion poker

player and inevitably they got the best deal they could have gotten. 

This far exceeds the offer that NJ had (despite losing out on some very

enticing lottery picks) They obtained Galo, Wilson and Raymond....in my

opinion 3 legitimate rotation players on any NBA team.  Galo and Wilson

particularly fit in very well.  Coming off the run and gun Dantoni

system, they are a perfect fit for the best offensive team in the NBA

(Denver....yes Denver).  Raymond however maybe lost in translation like

Bill Murray.  George Karl trust Lawson more and I think he is the point

guard of the future...not Raymond.  I was surprised to see that Felton

was not dealt again at the deadline.   The depth that Denver has created

from this deal is outstanding....but sometimes too much depth can cause

friction within a team.  Nene is still waiting for a contract

extension, but he wants to same dough that Noah and Horford received...I

think he is going to have to prove that and will be on the top of his

game for the remainder of the season, watch out for him in the next

month fellas.  J.R Smith and Afflalo get their chance to shine with no

Mello, Wilson will be great off the bench and Mozgov and Kosta give them

some young big man with some potential.  I think this is the best

Denver could have done, I am impressed with their patience and art of

war type business tactics.  They did the right thing and have a lot of

young raw talent.


The Minnesota Timberwolves are yet another team who think Anthony has

potential...it seems this kid may be a bit overrated, a lot of people

love his size and length, but the kid looks as skinny as he did as a

rookie in Golden State, he needs to hit the gym and get his body to the

point where he can be a legitimate 4 man in the NBA, he doesn’t have the

offensive awareness to be a 3 man.  I love Corey Brewer and think he is

one of the best and most underrated defenders in the NBA, but Kurt

Rambis wants to develop Wesley and likes Ellington a lot.  No space for

Corey, I always said he would fit a playoff team much better, and now he

is there.  Timberwolves subtly did well here, they got a large expiring

contract. A 2nd round pick and 3 million jabronis.  Not too shabby. 

Careful right now with “my” Wolves.  With Flynn’s recent injury and

Brewers departure, they are not a better team.  I doubt Randolph gets

time but you never know when it comes to the Rambis rotation.  They

won’t miss Koufus as Darko and Pekovic are playing the 5 man role to

perfection.  My advice would be to watch Wesley and Ellington very

closely as well as Luke and Johnny.  If those 4 guys provide consistency

in their roles, than the Tims are still a great dog to back.  Keep

trusting them to cover those double digit spreads but watch the two

young shooting guards closely.


Mak’s Report Card:  New York = A+, Denver = A-, Minnesota = C+

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:06AM
Vindication for Jerry Sloan.


Nets Receive: Deron Williams


Jazz Receive: Devin Harris,

Derrick Favors, 2011 First Round Pick (From NJ), 2012 First Round Pick

(From NJ originally from GSW), Cash Considerations


Mak's Analysis:

Wa Wa We Wa, what a trade.  I think this is sweet vindication for Jerry

Sloan.  I really commend the Jazz organization for the way they did

this.  So unprofessional it made me smile.  Deron sat down on his

leather sofa, turned on his HDTV and decided to take in a little sports

center....wooops, you got traded son.  I love it.  What a slap in the

face.  This deal had to be done, so why prolong the inevitable?  Deron

was not going to stay.  Have you guys ever heard the song tainted love? 

That is what D Will was in Utah.  He would forever be known as the man

that ended Sloan’s legendary career.  It was obvious that all those

initial rumours about an ultimatum given to the Jazz organization citing

it was either D or Jerry was ludicrous, I know it sounds ridiculous,

but given the blood, sweat and tears that Sloan and his family gave to

the Jazz, I honestly think the organization would have picked Sloan.  I

understand the Nets get one of the best point guards in the NBA, in my

opinion there is no point guard like Deron.  His girth, strength, size,

speed and ball handling skills are unmatched by any point guard.  No one

can do what Deron does....having said all that....in my humble

opinion....the winner in this trade was the Utah Jazz.  First off you

get Devin Harris, a guy that always seems to succeed....except when

coached by Avery Johnson.  The two just do not see eye to eye, I am

certain that Devin will relish the opportunity to start fresh.  Derrick

not being re-dealt was a bit puzzling, I really think that Favors should

be a starting 4 man right now, it is the only way he is going to

progress as a player, he has raw ability for a big man, he already has

the body to battle with big men in this league and his rebounding

ability is second to none.  But playing behind Big Al and Milsap will

not allow him to shine.  If you think about it though, this improves

depth for.  In my opinion the Utah Jazz have the least depth of any team

in the entire association, they have no one coming off the bench that

can do anything consistently.  At least they now have a young big man

they can work their 2nd unit around.  A front court of AK47, Jefferson,

Paul and Derrick is not bad at all.  The key to this trade was the 2011

first round pick.  This will be a very high lottery pick.  I really

think that when the lottery takes place, the ping pong balls may decide

to give Utah a break.  I think that this pick could be a top 5, maybe

even a top 3 pick in next year’s draft.  Maybe Utah could have traded

Williams for a variety of players and improved depth, but this

organization built themselves from the draft and free agency and I am

certain that Utah can do it again.  I doubt Sloan returns but I would

love it if he did.  At this point in time Tyrone Corbin is not a head

coach in the NBA, my advice would be to be very weary of backing Utah in

the near future, they do not have the depth, cohesiveness or leadership

to win games or cover spreads.  Though, I do commend them for this

deal.


Mak’s Report Card: New Jersey = B-. Utah = B+

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:06AM
This is by far the most unbelievable trade of D-Day.  Puzzling & shocking.


Celtics Receive: Jeff Green & Nenad Kristic


Thunder Receive: Kendrick Perkins & Nate Robinson


Mak's Analysis: What

in the blue hell is Boston thinking?  I just do not understand it.  I

can try to explain it to myself in many different ways, but ending a

dynasty is what Boston did.  This was all Danny Ainge, I really doubt

Doc Rivers was 100% sold on the deadline moves by the beast of the

east.  It makes Doc Rivers look like a bit of an idiot in my opinion. 

All summer, all year Doc reiterated with media and his team that the

Boston Celtics had never lost when it counted, that when they were a

cohesive unit, they were unstoppable...I believed him.  Rajon, Allen,

Paul, Kevin & Kendrick had never lost a playoff series

together....so why break them up?  I just do not understand.  Doc is the

best motivator currently coaching, 2nd best of all time in my opinion

behind Pat Riley.  What is he going to say to the big 4 to motivate them

in the playoffs?  That has yet to be seen.  If I was to grasp at straws

to try to fathom this deal, it would come down to three things.  One

would be the future of the Boston Celtics post big three.  Two would be

that Danny and Doc know something we do not.  An addition of Troy Murphy

seems imminent, but maybe the return of Rasheed?  Something has to give

here.  Three would be that the Celtics realize that the Los Angeles

Lakers and Orlando Magic do not pose as big a threat as they once did to

Boston.  The reason Boston stocked up on bigs was to offset the power

of Dwight Howard, Andrew Bynum, Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom.  With the

Lakers struggling immensely and Orlando’s lack of front-court depth, it

seems now their biggest competition in my opinion would be Miami and

Dallas.  In order to beat Miami and Dallas they realize they must obtain

more offensive firepower.  Troy and Jeff will do that for them.  This

also helps them start building for the post big three era with Rondo,

Davis and Green.  Another aspect again is the CBA.  Perk was an

unrestricted free agent, they get Green and Nenad who are both

restricted free agents.  Thus, allowing them to resign for much cheaper

that Perk would receive in an open market.  This also allows them to

have a lot of cap flexibility to maybe add one more big piece and make

one last stand next season.  Nevertheless, I do not like this trade for

the near future.  Jermaine and Shaq have not proven to be legitimate

front court threats, but as long as they are healthy come playoff time,

the Celts could still make a run to the finals if they can get past the

Heat.


The Oklahoma City Thunder made a few moves that were spectacular in my

opinion, this being one of them.  The Thunder have really regressed

their defensive stature from last year.  They are now a run and gun team

that rarely cared about post presence.  With the addition of Perk this

all changes in my opinion, I always thought the biggest weakness on the

Thunder squad was Nenad as a starting 5.  I always wanted Ibaka to

start.  But Ibaka is a legitimate power forward in this league and a

damn good one at that.  Adding Perk (also Nazzy which we will get to)

along with Serge & Nick Collison solidifies what is now an

outstanding front-court.  So the new starting 5 will be Westbrook,

Thabo, Kevin, Ibaka and Perk.....WOW.  That in my opinion is an

upgrade.  Green struggled all season and just could not contain power

forwards who used to explode against OKC.  Their bench is now even

deeper with Maynor and Robinson as playmakers, Harden who is slowly but

surely finding himself, Nick Collison who is a leader in charges taken

and a leader and +/- stats as well as Nazr who we will get to shortly. I

really think this move makes the Thunder much more capable of

contending with Dallas, San Antonio and Los Angeles.  The Thunder may

even manage to finish 3rd in the West.  This team is set to make their

deepest playoff run in team history, excellent move by Oklahoma City. 

Back them continuously until the end of the season gents, these guys are

the real deal holyfield.


Mak’s Report Card: Boston = C+, Oklahoma City = A

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:06AM
Two non role players for one potential role player and playoff series changer.


Thunder Receive: Nazr Mohammed


Bobcats Receive: D.J White & Morris Peterson


Mak's Analysis:

I think this is actually a good trade for both teams.  This does affect

daily gambles as what was once a front court size weakness for OKC is

no more.  With the addition of two legitimate 5 men in this league, the

Thunder are set.  They have Perk, Nazr, Nick and Serge.  4 guys who can

defend the low post and really cause a lot of trouble for teams,

specifically the Los Angeles Lakers.  I think this is one of two good

trades that Jordan made today.  There was no need for Nazr since Jordan

has his lips planted on Kwame’s ass.  He wants to prove to the world

that Kwame can play and won’t rest until he does.  Morris is a wash out,

he won’t play.  His career is over, sad because he was one of my

favourite players on the Raptors for a long time.  D.J White is the key

piece.  This kid has a lot of talent, he has freaky size and length and

never got an opportunity due to the fact that he was playing behind

Durant.  D.J will get time now that G Wall is gonzo and I really think

D.J White is going to open some eyes very soon.  Solid deal for both

teams here, both teams filled a need.


Mak’s Report Card: Oklahoma City = B+, Charlotte = B


Versatility traded for future considerations.


Blazers Receive: Gerald Wallace


Bobcats Receive: Dante

Cunningham, Sean Marks, Joel Przybilla, 2011 First Round Pick (From POR,

belongs to the NOH, 2012 First Round Pick (From POR)


Mak's Analysis:

This was a decent deal for both teams.  It is obvious that Charlotte

has bigger picture with these moves.  Building for the future and

acquiring 2 first round picks for G Wall is pretty good especially when

they get a young prospect in Dante and their previous trade for D.J

White.  I think it is a bit of subtle genius from MJ and for the first

time I have been impressed with his GM skills.  Gerald Wallace will

probably start in place of Batum but I was a bit surprised that Portland

got rid of two big men....I mean its not like they have an abundance of

big men.  All they have right now is Camby and Big L.  Aldridge is

playing the best basketball of his career and Camby is set to return

from injury.  Along with Crash a returning Roy and Dre, that is a solid

starting 5.  The bench worries me a lot, Rudy is always so inconsistent,

Patty Mills is just finding his game but now that Batum will be

relegated to the bench is actually improves this team drastically.  My

advice would be to back Portland in March with confidence, they have a

dynamic and versatile team and if they can stay healthy, they are a west

playoff team despite all the competition..


Mak’s Report Card: Portland = B+, Charlotte = B-

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:07AM
Worthless trade in many ways.


Celtics Receive: 2017 Second Round Pick


Kings Receive: Marquis Daniels, Cash considerations


Mak's Analysis:

This just solidifies that fact that Boston is opening up a lot of

roster spots.  They are going to sign some free agents very shortly,

Troy Murphy seems imminent but who else is coming to Bean Town?


Mak’s Report Card: Boston = C, Sacramento = C


Nash’s air apparent?  Maybe, but there is a clear winner in this trade in my opinion.


Suns Receive: Aaron Brooks


Houston Receives: Goran Dragic, Future First Round Pick


Mak's Analysis: To

me it makes no sense to trade Goran, he really controlled the 2nd unit

tempo for the Suns.  He is a better playmaker than Brooks and has more

point guard intangibles.   However, despite Brooks momentous struggles

this season, he is still a very explosive offensive player.  If he can

get his game back on track, in a year and a half he will most likely be

the starting PG for Phoenix.  The winner of this deal is clearly

Houston, not because of any other reason but the first round draft

pick.  Watch Brook’s progression closely over the next 2 weeks, if he

finds his shot (which has been lost all season) he can have a positive

impact on a team chasing for a playoff spot.


Mak’s Report Card: Suns = C+, Rockets = B-

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:07AM
Much needed veteran presence for a much needed young big man.  Great trade.


Memphis Receives: Shane Battier, Ish Smith


Houston Receives: Hasheem Thabeet, Future First Round Pick


Mak's Analysis: I

love this trade, again, probably because I am an NBA whore but these

are the types of trades I really like.  If it wasn’t for the failed O.J

Mayo trade, I would grade the Griz higher on this one.  First off Shane

comes back to a city where he loves and is loved.  Fans adore Battier

and this team and city will welcome this veteran presence with open

arms.  He is a much needed voice on a team fighting to make their first

playoff appearance ever. I am rooting for them as I have been a

Grizzlies fan ever since Big Country and Vancouver.  This is their

chance.  Shane will help develop young wings like Sam Young and Tony

Allen, yet another defensive presence on a team that is 10th currently

in the NBA.  Adding Ish Smith is awesome as well, Vasquez and Jason

Williams are already backup points, adding a third may not make a

difference.  I just really like his game and think he has the potential

to be a starting point guard in about 2 years.  I am also a big fan of

Thabeet, I think he is a big man with a lot of potential and upside.  He

hasn’t really been given an opportunity to prove he is a legitimate 2nd

overall pick in the NBA.  He has been behind Gasol and Zach all his

career.  Houston desperately needed a big man, they not only got one,

they also got a young raw one with some potential, along with the future

first rounder, I will give them the very slight edge in this trade.  I

suggest backing Memphis more than Houston at this point, I think the

Griz have a much better chance at making the playoffs than Houston.  The

Griz play defense, Houston does not.  Simple as that.


Mak’s Report Card: Grizzlies = B, Houston = B+


Once again a head scratching move by Boston....but again I am certain Doc and Danny know something we do not know.


Boston Receives: 2013 Second Round Pick


Cleveland Receives: Semih Erden, Luke Harangody


Mak's Analysis:

This opens up a second roster spot on Boston....so again I ask Troy

Murphy is already a given....but who else is coming down to the big

green machine?  Sheed?  I doubt it, so who exactly.It is going to be

very interesting to see what Boston does with these two empty roster

spots.  For now I am giving them a dismal grade here since I think

trading Semih Erden is idiotic.  I really liked this young kid and

though Kevin could turn him into a formidable big man.  Nevertheless,

the Cavs add some youth and brute force down low.  Celtics could just be

teasing me, but I am disappointed with them trading away Perk and

Semih.  I doubt they are relying on Shaq and Jermaine.  If I were to

take a guess I would say they add a power forward and a centre.  If they

don’t, I fail to see why they trade Erden.


Mak’s Report Card: Boston = D+, Cleveland = C+

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:07AM
There is a clear winner in this trade

in my opinion.  This was a stupid deal and proves what team currently

has the worst management in the NBA.


Cleveland Receives: Baron Davis, 2011 First Round Draft Pick (From LAC)


Los Angeles Receives: Mo Williams, Jamario Moon


Mak's Analysis: Are

you kidding me?  What idiocy by an organization who continues to just

such in every which way.  Subtract Blake and the Clippers are the worst

team of the decade.  Is Mike Dunleavy still running the team management

wise? If so he is an ass clown.  Why the hell would you trade away a

lottery pick.....a high lottery pick at that, you trade away a point

guard who seemed to get along with your new star and actually seemed to

protect him during games in many ways....for Mo Williams and Jamario

Moon?  Fucking idiocy.  What type of convoluted reasoning do the

Clippers have to make this move.  It is by far the worst move of D-Day

in my opinion.  Blake can’t do it alone, my advice would be to stop

treating the Clippers as a good team, when you see a front court that

can contain Blake, go against the Clipps with gusto.  Baron and Byron

have never gotten along, I don’t know how this is going to end up. 

Baron may be a professional and play for the Cavs, but I seriously doubt

he wants anything to do with a rebuilding organization at this stage of

his career, yet another 1st round lottery pick is an amazing pickup for

the Cavs though.


Mak’s Report Card: Clippers = F-, Cavs = B+


One team desperately needed some guards, the other team desperately needed a proper point.


Atlanta Receives: Kirk Hinrich, Hilton Armstrong


Washington Receives: Mike Bibby, Maurice Evans, Jordan Craford, 2011 First Round Picks (From ATL)


Mak's Analysis: This

was a good deadline deal.  It was clearly obvious that Bibby was

hindering Atlanta.  His defense was atrocious and he just could not

provide consistent scoring.  For most of the season Bibby shot well from

three, but as the season progressed he just did not prove to be

consistent enough and his lack of mobility and stamina was hurting

them.  They obviously do not believe in Jeff Teague so they decided to

make a move and land a veteran point guard with good defensive

attributes.  I do think this helps Atlanta this year.  It gives them

someone who can fit into the system easily and instantly, however they

sure did give up a lot to obtain him.  Jordan Crawford is a player, raw

talent, smooth stroke, all he needs is a little time and confidence and

he could be a very good player.  Maurice Evans will help Washington and

should be implemented in the rotation instantly.  Bibby will be a much

better backup than he was a starter.  Again the key to this deal comes

down to the draft pick.  Should be a 20+ draft pick this year, but this

years draft should have a little depth and Washington can add yet

another young gun to their roster.  All in all this helps both teams

right away.  I like both teams to have above .500 ATS records for the

2nd half of the season.


Mak’s Report Card: Atlanta = B-, Washington = B-

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:07AM
A simple move to clear cap space.  Nicely done......except for the draft pick and the buyout.


Golden State Receives: Troy Murphy, 2nd Round Draft Pick (From NJN)


New Jersey Receives: Branden Wright, Dan Gadzuric


Mak's Analysis: Troy

will be bought out of his contract, most likely will join the Celtics

in my opinion.  Dan is a wash, they already have Elson, Kris, Brook and

some other bigs.  Wright is actually a pretty decent young big man who

has yet to receive the opportunity to shine.  Nevertheless both contract

(amounting to about $11 million) will be off the books next season thus

giving New Jersey extreme flexibility to pickup a free agent to go

along with D Will.  I just cannot condone sending a draft pick to Golden

State.  It makes no sense for a rebuilding team like NJ to give up all

of their draft picks.  They are a low lottery team and these draft picks

are very valuable, they now have no chance of building through the

draft.  Their only hope is enticing free agents to play in Brooklyn. 

They will have cap space and quite a bit of room to make some moves.  It

is obvious they do not care to rebuild around youth, they do not have

any draft picks left.  The Russian rude boy better know what he is

doing.  NJ will continue to be able to contend with teams at home, but I

doubt this team will have the ability to cover any spreads on the

road.  If you fade New Jersey on the road for the remainder of the

season, I am certain you will make money, however at home they will

still contend with Kris, Brook, D Will and some promising youth such as

Farmer and Morrow.  I don’t believe in nor do I like buyouts so GS comes

up short on this one as well.


Mak’s Report Card:  Golden State = D+, New Jersey = D+


Solid trade, biggie for smalls.


Sacramento Receives: Marcus Thornton, Cash considerations


New Orleans Receives: Carl Landry


Mak's Analysis: I

really do not understand why this is Landry’s third team in less than 2

years.  Yes he is an undersized 4 man, he can’t play the three so teams

are stuck with him giving up size, but Carl is a scorer.  He is an

excellent low post offensive player and New Orleans is very lucky to get

him.  He will fit in nicely and give David West much needed rest.  When

David exits the game, New Orleans really struggles to get anything in

the points.  Points down low are hard to come by for New Orleans, they

needed someone to assist with bench scoring and they got it.  Marcus

Thornton had really been coming along as of late, he shows a lot of

promising skill, however, this deal was made to offset the loss of

Tyreke, but with the recent emergence of Jermaine Taylor and the Kings

focus on developing Omri Caspi, I don’t see how Thornton will get much

time once Evans returns.  I don’t like the trade for Sacramento, they

lose a low post offensive presence and I really think that if they

shopped around a bit more, they could have obtained much better for

Carl.  Look for the Kings to start going big during games, Cousins and

Samuel may play together much more often.  Don’t look to much into their

win over Orlando, Orlando lives and dies by the three and are a very

risky team to bet for or against.  As for New Orleans, I would implore

all of you to refrain from betting on them until the return of Emeka

Okafor.  He is their defensive catalyst.  Without him, Orleans is giving

up about 5 more points a game on average and that is actually a large

difference.  Once Mekka returns, New Orleans is safe to back and even

more so with the addition of Landry.  A clear cut winner in this trade

in my opinion.


Mak’s Report Card: Hornets = B+, Kings = C-

makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:08AM
Last but not least baby.


Toronto Receives: James Johnson


Chicago Receives: 2011 First Round Draft Pick (From TOR originally from Miami)


Mak's Analysis: I

wish Brian Colangelo did a bit more at the deadline but glad he did at

least something.  For the last 2 years Brian has wanted James Johnson,

he tried offering a lot last year, but at that time Johnson was in the

future plans for the Bulls.  With the acquisition of Korver and Brewer

as well as Asik, he was no longer in the picture.  Miami will most

likely end up with the 2nd best record in the NBA and thus the 28th pick

in the draft.  I think it is a safe bet that the Raps would not have

been able to find a better player at that spot then James.  Now my

report card will of course be biased, but not for the reason you may

think.  This would pretty much have been even, I may have even given

Chicago the edge if they managed to get what they wanted with this draft

pick.  What they wanted to do was package their first round pick and

this first round pick and send it to Houston for Courtney Lee.  They

were not able to pull it off, thus they are pretty much stuck with the

pick for now.  Not only did they give up a promising young small forward

who has never gotten a chance to shine, they decided to send him to

Toronto in time for the Wednesday game......James Johnson

started.....and he basically won the game for Toronto.  So not only did

Chicago lose out on double J and get a worthless pick, they also added

another L on their record.  Johnson fits into Toronto perfectly and I

have a feeling he will be a mainstay in this lineup for a while.  Here

is my advice....yes Toronto sucks....but there has been one main reason

Toronto has sucked....the absence of Reggie Evans.  Once Evans returns, I

really think all of you should start backing Toronto hard.  With James

they solidify a pretty decent starting 5.  Bargnani and DeRozan are

their dynamic duo.  The two Johnson’s are stiff (that’s what she said)

and Jose is playmaking like never before.  Off the bench Barbossa is

healthy again, Ed Davis is proving himself, Weems is a much better bench

player than starter and once Reggie comes back, the Raps are back. 

Back them with confidence the 2nd half of the season, especially if

oddsmakers continue to disrespect them with close to double digit home

spreads.  Go Raps Go.


Mak’s Report Card: Raptors = C+, Bulls = D-

GetEveryDollar says:
02/25/11 06:23AM
Thanks Mak!....GREAT WRITE UP as always..after reading this i now have a better understanding of D - Day...Have a safe and sound business trip in China...all the best...
What the hell is the Celtics organization thinking?
FrontRowCenter says:
02/25/11 06:33AM
Good write up

Still the most shocking to me is the Celts dealing away Perkins and Robinson.......

The Thunder are in good shape!!!
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:35AM


Really appreciate the well wishes buddy, that is real nice of you.

I think we are judging the Celts too quickly, I love this team and have the utmost confidence in Danny Ainge and Doc Rivers, they are not stupid.  They may be building a bit for the future, however they are certainly not about to quit on the season.  As of today they have 2 roster spots free.  I don't think we should jump to conclusions until they have solidified their roster 15 deep.  I am certain either Baron, Troy or another big will enter the picture soon enough.  Either way I am very sad and disappointed to see Kendrick go but Perk is on a contract year and he will engage a lot of interest in the off season.  Even with the CBA looming over the heads of organizations, a top quality defending center like Perkins will accumulate a lot of wealth and a healthy contract, an amount that Boston would just not have been able to match after resigning Ray Allen and Paul Pierce, I think Perkins knew his days as a Celtic were numbered.

I wish you the best of luck on your wagers in the next few weeks bud, I am really glad to know my analysis assisted you, the way I feel is it's worth my time even if it helps one person.  BOL, peace.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 06:38AM


Thanks man, really appreciate that. 

Yea for sure I think it shocked a lot of us, I can only imagine how the players and fans in Boston feel.  But as I state in the post above, there were plenty of reasons to make this move, it just makes it more difficult for Doc to motivate, he had that angle (we have never lost a playoff series together) that is a pretty strong angle in my opinion.  Nevertheless, Doc is one of the best at his trade and he will find a way to motivate his vets come playoff time.

Good luck with your future wagers my friend.


SaiB says:
02/25/11 07:00AM
wow great write-up and insight
aireent777 says:
02/25/11 08:20AM
Nice analysis Mak
dendogg55 says:
02/25/11 08:24AM
Your Golden!!!!! Nice work and best of luck in your travels!!!!!!
acowen11 says:
02/25/11 08:39AM
HI MAK ,im in Guangzhou now,where are you ?
kaponofor3 says:
02/25/11 10:54AM
Oh hell yeah, a makaveli sighting, the true don graces us with his presence.


raems says:
02/25/11 11:46AM
Mak, consider that this move saves the Clippers 6 million dollars in 2012-2013. They now have the money to resign Deandre Jordan, Eric Gordon, Blake, add their draft picks, AND still pursue Chris Paul next summer. That's what moving Baron was all about.
brandone says:
02/25/11 12:02PM

Great Gadzooks! Mak, you are a writing fool! Are you sure you didn't forget anything?...lol.

Always read your post's, and appreciate the insight you bring to the table. Thanks for the time and effort. BOL! 

nbafan88 says:
02/25/11 12:09PM
haven't read your write ups yet but i am still processing all the trades and how its gonna affect the games tonight

i don't know who's in/whos out, which players will be able to adjust quicker than others

frankly, i'm going nuts
nbafan88 says:
02/25/11 12:24PM
boston will be getting leon powe
nbafan88 says:
02/25/11 12:25PM
thank you so much for those write ups by the way.....
sector225 says:
02/25/11 12:53PM
Wow man, you have a lot of time on covers to make that write up......
gfinger says:
02/25/11 12:56PM


Nice writeups man. But c'mon man. James Johnson has a worse basketball IQ then Tyrus Thomas and that is saying alot. JJ will be a career D-leaguer. Just watch.
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:23PM


Thanks Sai, I always appreciate hearing that.  I wish you the best of luck on your future wagers bud. 


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:25PM


Thanks Aireent, keep on fading the Clippers bud.  It has been money for you so far, I would lay off a bit once Eric returns and Mo Williams gets acclimated into the system.  Best of luck in the coming month buddy.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:26PM


Thanks dogg for the well wishes on my travels, that is real classy of you.  I appreciate it.  Best of luck on your wagers buddy.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:29PM


Hello my Chinese friend.  I am actually not in Guangzhou currently, should arrive there on the 28th (March 1st in China Chine)

I'll be staying near the entertainment district, got a local bar that has cheap johnny walker blue label, nice place to unwind after a long day.  Without that bar Mak would go crazy :)  Hope it isn't as gloomy and rain filled as when I was last there, I don't think there was a single day of god damn sunshine.  The one and only thing I really hate about Guangzhou.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:31PM


Oh hell yeah my main man Kap.  I see you are killing the books, last I remember you were up a unit now I see you are over 13.  Everyone should take note, when you were negative you proclaimed it was a marathon, you stayed true to your unit measurements and practiced good money management and now you are probably having one of your best seasons in NBA ball, I really think by the end of the season you could be close to 30+ bro.  As stated in my PM to you, couldn't have happened to a nicer fella.....fella.  I wish you nothing but the best of luck bro.

P.S Do you smell what The Rock is cooking?


LaDaddy says:
02/25/11 03:54PM



Financial Motivations
Kevin McHale said Danny told him they weren’t confident they could re-sign Perkins in free agency.

So, let’s put this in perspective.

Kendrick is crying leaving. The Celtic players were very emotional and

Paul Pierce called it a ‘cold’ management decision. Never forget the

business aspect of this sport. True enough.

But Kendrick did not

want to sign an extension and wanted to test free agency. No doubt, he

would have many takers. Miami was said to have him targeted. Though a

lock out looms, Brendan Haywood money ($8-10 mil. yr) would be possible.

If Perkins left for a deal that the Celtics couldn’t feel justified in

matching, that would have been different?

In the end, both sides

have to look out for themselves. Instead of possibly losing Perkins for

nothing, Danny got a young, improving, starter level, versatile 3-4

type player and a center who can knock down a jump shot for Perkins and

Nate Robinson, who did his very best, but wasn’t fitting in as well as

some hoped. I loved Perk when he was here. But I love the trade.

LaDaddy says:
02/25/11 03:55PM
love reading ur work Mak
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:57PM


See now THIS is constructive criticism and I love it.  Not only because it shows you read my writeups and love basketball, also because you are correct.  James Johnson is far from the most intelligent basketball player...in fact he is quite stupid in many ways.  But sometimes intelligence has nothing to do with success in the NBA.  I assure that he will not be a D League player due to the fact that Brian Colangelo has loved this guy since he was drafted, he tried everything to obtain Chicago's draft pick that year to obtain and and has tried everything to obtain him since then.  He gets inserted instantly into the starting 5, he is not going back down to the DL bro.  He will start the rest of the season, he is a 6'9 small forward with decent range, good shot blocking ability and good rebounding ability.  He is an NBA player.  As far as Tyrus Thomas...I think you are mistaking being an ass clown for intelligence, he has decent intelligence to be able to time blocks the way he does but he is just a clown all around.

I always appreciate constructive criticism like this and appreciate the post.

 
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 04:02PM


Reams I really don't think it will be possible.  David Stern will put more black men out of work than the KKK.  It is an inevitability, the current CBA proposal by the NBA to the players union is so very weak at the moment.  It will not allow teams to stack up like Miami did ever again.  Stern wants the NBA to be more competitive throughout, I unfortunately agree with him bro.  Things need to change.  The problem is the players union are very stubborn and believe they ARE the league and deserve to have the upper hand (which I also agree with).  Nevertheless, you are looking at two very stubborn and very proud sides that will NOT come to a reasonable agreement.  I am sure that when all is said and done the players union will get the short end of the stick.  Blake, Eric and Jordan may be able to play together in the future, but adding a restricted free agent of Paul, Deron or Dwight's caliber will not be possible if "The Stern" gets his way.

CBA = No More Pay

 
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 04:05PM


Na bro, as my man the Notorious B.I.G once state.  I'm gonna sit back relax and take notes, as I take tokes of the marijuana smoke.  After D- Day I like to take the weekend off and just study rotations and how coached implement their new players into the system.  In some cases there is opportunity to make money since oddsmakers are as lost as we are, however, it is better to gain a grasp of this new NBA especially after one of the most diabolically intriguing D-Days in the history of the NBA.  I will just enjoy what should be a very entertaining weekend in the association, I wish you all the best bud.  Good luck.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 04:12PM


I 100% am in agreement with you bro.  You make some very valid points especially about the Brendan Haywood money.  If you read my writeup I mirrored your thoughts in terms of this being the MUCH better deal for Boston in terms of the future.  However, the grades I have each team were for present trade value.  I really do not think this trade makes the Celtics that much better this season.  As you stated, it was a harsh reality to much of the Celts that the business of this sport could have them moving at anytime.  They became complacent in their ways and this just gave them a shock.  They proved it with a lack of gusto against Denver last night.  I just think the "motivation" factor is lost.  Doc had a very powerful tool he could have used by stating they had never lost TOGETHER.  Now they may have obtained Jeff who is an excellent pickup and a future building block, but I really think that if they kept their team in tact and added a piece or two....they were good enough to be champs.  Now I am not too sure they can get by a healthy Heat team in the playoffs with Udonis Haslem.  OKC on the other hand got instantly powerful and filled their only team need.  I still stand by the A grade given to OKC and C+ for Boston.  Neverthless, I love your analysis on the trade and always enjoy reading your thoughts.  Best of luck LAD.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 04:13PM


Ditto bro
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:39PM


nbafan, always good hearing from you.  You can say that again, frankly if anyone is not going nuts than they are not really proper nba fans....no pun intended.  If I were to make a suggestion, if you have the will power I would refrain from betting for 3 days.  Study rotations, player minutes and how they acclimate into each coach's system.  Even the most minuscule of roster moves can drastically alter the way a team plays.  Even over/unders could differ drastically.  In some ways there is opportunity to make money since oddsmakers are also going nuts, but if you are not a degen and have the will power, I would sit back relax and take notes this weekend.  Good luck my friend.

 
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:43PM


Eureka, now that makes sense bro.  Thanks for letting me know.  How exactly did they obtain him?  Was Powe released earlier by Cleveland?  I was unaware he was released.  If anyone can get Leon back to his original stature (prior to the surgery) it would be KG and Doc.  Kevin will motivate verbally and improve Leon's offense and the Doctor will fix any and all problems defensively.  This is a decent big man pickup....but again, if Troy is signed that 5 power forwards on the team and 2 legitimate centers.  I don't consider Jermaine, Glen or Kevin a legit 5 man and I really don't see Nenad being a presence as a 5 man (but I could be very wrong about that)  Remember the fight he had at the world championship?  He is far from soft but plays like it more times than not, I think if Kevin can turn him into a mean beast, Celts will be just fine.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:44PM


You are most welcome bro, I really appreciate the appreciation nbafan.  Thanks very much.
makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:47PM


Thank you for that utterly useless post buddy.  It is good to know that you use your time wisely, unlike myself. 


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:35PM


Ahhhhh, now this is the kind of discussion I was hoping for buddy.  That makes a lot of sense, I didn't really realize that.  If this was strictly an effort to create enough cap space to sign their young guns in two years and aquire a big name free agent, than this was excellent planning ahead.  However, if Jordan, Eric and Blake continue to progress as they have, I doubt they will have enough cap space for a max player like CP3.  Nevertheless, they have a nice young core and Baron was just not part of the picture.  Good looking out, the trade makes a lot of sense to me....HOWEVER, I still cannot condone sending a high lottery pick to Cleveland.  That made no sense to me whatsoever, even after you have enlightened me, there was no need to give away that pick, other teams would have taken Baron's contract without asking for the Clipps 2011 pick.  That is going to be a very high pick and I am sure the Clipps will regret it.  Thanks for the post man.


makaveli23 says:
02/25/11 03:36PM


I really appreciate reading posts like this, makes me feel my time was well worth it.  Thanks man, good luck with your wagers.


raems says:
02/25/11 03:38PM

Mak, you gotta consider where Blake/Deandre/Gordon are in their contract evolution. Right now, Deandre makes less than 1 mil and Blake/Gordon each will make about 6 mil in the final year of their respective deals in a few seasons. Based on NBA pay raise limits Blake and Gordon can only sign maximum deals within the confines of what that can be on a 2nd contract. They'll make 7ish mil year 1, 8ish year two, so on and so forth with annual x percent increases. That's why the Clippers can still afford all of these moves AND have CP/Deron money.
tonydan says:
02/25/11 05:59PM
MAK, I REALLY APPRECIATE THE TIME YOU TOOK FOR THESE WRITEUPS TODAY. AGREE WITH YA, GONNA LAY LOW FOR A FEW DAYS AND SEE HOW THE TRADES WORKOUT. I REALLY LOVE THE KNICKS TONIGHT AND THIS MIGHT BE MY ONLY WAGER. ANYWAYS, THNX AND BOL ON YOUR BUSINESS VENTURE. WISH YOU COULD POST EVERYDAY BUT BUSINESS COMES FIRST. GL MAK.
topshow says:
02/25/11 03:51PM
big slate of games tonight mak you getting involved ?
topshow says:
02/25/11 04:20PM
no worries be lucky mak and enjoy the chill !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Chaos123 says:
03/27/11 12:57AM

hope you are back home soon Mak, safe and sound, miss reading your insight. Playoffs are right around the cornerhope your time away was productive

dendogg55 says:
03/15/11 12:44PM
Hope your good and safe!!!!
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