makaveli23's Blog

Mak's Monday Money

By makaveli23 | View all Posts
Posted Monday, December 27, 2010 07:07 PM   40 comments
What's up gents, apologies for the late post.  Became unexpectedly busy today and wasn't able to get at you guys earlier.  At this time I am not really sure which way I am heading in terms of creating a card tonight.  Not even sure if I will take part in any action today but thought I would come by and post some quick thoughts for tonight's games.  Hope it helps some of you pull the trigger or back off if you are on the fence regarding specific games.  Either way, as always I wish you the best of luck.  Peace - - - MAK

ORLANDO MAGIC @ NEW JERSEY NETS

I understand the reluctance of taking Orlando on the spread.  It is always hard to place our trust in teams that are new (rotationally) and still finding their niche as a team.  Despite their win over Boston it was the Celtics that controlled the game.  Nevertheless, tonight I just do not see the Nets upsetting the balance of this Orlando team.  The Magic are confident despite their narrow win.  If Orlando continues to keep up their defensive intensity as a unit, this team as it is, is one of the most dangerous in the league.  Ryan Anderson should not be underestimated as a big and can do some nice things for the Magic off the bench.  Bass is striving in his starting role.  This Orlando roster is offensively potent and even on a mediocre shooting night can beat teams like New Jersey by double digits with relative ease.

DETROIT PISTONS @ CHARLOTTE BOBCATS

Michael Jordan is an idiot....yes I said it.  MJ is a business man, all he wanted was more then 2 playoff games this year.  He needed the revenue of 3 post season games for his franchise.  He let go of Tyson and let go of Raymond....and decided, this team is still a playoff team.  It was clearly evident it was not.  This Charlotte roster 8 deep was very weak, yet Larry Brown still managed to get this team to play defense.  Charlotte was still a very gritty defensive team under Larry Brown, although I am a fan of Paul Silas I don't know what mentality he will instill on this team.  Usually it is quite safe to back a team playing for a new coach, especially against a ridiculously poor Pistons ball club.

ATLANTA HAWKS @ MILWAUKEE BUCKS

My second largest play of the season was on the Bucks at Atlanta earlier this season.  The Bucks have basically a new revamped team since that meeting but once again, still a roster that is tailor-made at defeating the Atlanta Hawks.  After GM's lose in the playoffs to a specific team, they tend to spend the off season forming a roster that won't allow that to happen again.  This Bucks team is fit to beat the back to back Hawks tonight.  Horford was owned by Okafor last night, I wonder what Andrew will do to him.  Boykins, Larry and Mbah a Moute will provide more off the bench then Zaza, Jamal and Evans.  It is up the the starting 5 of the Bucks to score enough to keep pace with an Atlanta teams that loves to move the ball.  Hawks have better ball rotation then any team in the NBA, very subtle but true.  If Dooling, CDR & Salmons can provide some offense tonight, Bucks can take this game at home.

DALLAS MAVERICKS @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Loves the way OKC plays the game.  They push the tempo, feed their star and control the game against most teams in the NBA.  Dallas is not "most-teams." At the beginning of the season I predicted them to be the best road team in the NBA.  They are proving to be a legitimate title contender.  Tyson has the KG effect in the post and his team works around his defensive effort.  The zone defense may cause the Thunder some problems today.  Not a very strong team behind the arc, it may be very difficult for OKC to break the Dallas zone tonight.  This is a matchup of 2 of the top 4 teams in the Western Conference.  I am calling for both these teams to have home court in the playoffs along with the Spurs and Lakers.  This matchup is the game of the night and one I will most enjoy watching.

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Wow, I guess the secret is out.  I was hoping for a much larger dog spread for the Tims.  They are my money making team this season.  Despite what most think, this team is good.  Not decent, but good.  They have had the worst schedule in terms of difficult in the NBA and have still competed.  Their rotation is solid and they tend to play exceptional ball at home.  Both teams off tough back to back wins.  The one thing that is continually underestimated about the Hornets is their defense.  Their ability to stop penetration and defend the post is the reason they will make the playoffs this season.  Tough game to predict here, but with this shallow spread the secret is out.  Love and Beasley have arrived.

TORONTO RAPTORS @ MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

A lean I would be more than happy to be wrong about.  Don't really understand all the love for the Raptors.  They have only had 2 full practices in the past 3 weeks.  That is not going to cut it.  The face a deep, confident and dangerous Grizzlies team at home.  Mike Conley will play, Bargnani will not along with a plethora of other Raps.  I myself refuse to back my boys until Reggie Evans returns.  I hope you are all right and the Raps take this straight up.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS

I love the Rockets, I think they are a team that will not stop fighting until they are in the playoff picture.  Nevertheless, this spread is ridiculous.  Tonight the Wiz will have a full healthy roster and despite their dismal road record they have a chance to pull off a monster upset tonight.  They fought hard in Texas last night and depending on what type of rotation Flip will implement, I think this Wiz team has enough talent and athleticism to still compete for a playoff spot in the East.  This might not be the best spot to start backing the Rockets but you better start because Houston is ready to start making a move in the West.
40 comments
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makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 07:06PM
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS @ UTAH JAZZ


Portland has only twice in Salt Lake City in the last 10 years!  They

have just not shown excellence on the road this season and find it very

difficult to play in Utah.  The only way the Blazers stand a chance is

if Wes Matthews goes off back in Utah....I just do not see that

happening with Raja Bell draped on him all game.  AK47, Milsap,

Jefferson and Williams round out one of the most complete starting fives

in basketball.  Al Jefferson has stepped up his defensive play in the

post swatting shots left, right and center.  Off the bench Utah still

struggles but is finding some consistent scoring and defense from C.J

Miles.  Portland can fight all they want, but this cursed ball club just

cannot win consistently against top tier Western teams without a

healthy and dominant Brandon Roy.


LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS AND SACRAMENTO KINGS


I think this may be Westphal's last game as head coach in the NBA.  Good

ridden to bad rubbish.  He has not done a good job in Cali.  He did not

enforce strict off season word for Evans.  He has changed lineups and

rotations more than any coach in the NBA.  How are you supposed to find a

rotational grove?  The Kings are the worst team in basketball for a

reason but still have quite a bit of talent on their roster.  That is

why it would be wise to lay off this game despite your gut and instinct

telling you to back Blake. 


PHILADELPHIA 76ERS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS


As stated previously I am waiting for a full healthy club to start

backing the Warriors hard.  They have an abundance of scorers and really

do play well at home.  Look for Curry to step up after a sub=par return

game.  Ellis is scorching and players are stepping up. Their rookie

Udoh is a defensive gem and Lee and Amundson are providing energy

plays.  They desperately need Andris manning the middle and if he suits

up tonight, feel comfortable in taking the Warriors against a Philly

squad on a back to back from Colorado to Cali.  Philly is playing larger

with sweet Lou out.  Evans is finding more time at SG which may cause

defensive problems when the rook is matched up against two of the

fastest guards in the NBA.  

  

Mikado says:
12/27/10 07:10PM
Good Luck today Mak - good writeups as usual.

Keep up the good work over the new year!
nbafan88 says:
12/27/10 07:13PM
beautiful write ups as always
kaponofor3 says:
12/27/10 07:14PM
Always glad to see a post from you mak, late or not

CHA is a great situational/schedule play and they have the "new coach" angle as well. I bit on it at 5.5

I heard that Bogut sprained his finger last game but I think he should still be OK to handle ATL's bigs. I read somewhere that MIL was thinking about dangling Mbah a Moute as trade bait for PG help with Jennings' injury. That'd be the worst possible move they could make if you ask me -- Mbah a Moute is a young player who is already a top 5 NBA defender and pretty good rebounder. Those just don't grow on trees.



Animax says:
12/27/10 07:14PM

GL MAK & NICE write-up if i may say..


on GRIZZ & JAZZ as well..

EVANTORR says:
12/27/10 07:16PM
so what are you taking money mak?
EVANTORR says:
12/27/10 07:16PM
im taking mavs
makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 07:32PM


Thanks a lot Mikado, appreciate the post.  Wish you the best of luck on your wagers.  Happy holidays.




makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 07:33PM


Thanks very much nbafan.  Can always count on you to appreciate the write ups.  Best of luck today my friend.


TOOfaded says:
12/27/10 07:34PM
....the DON......
makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 07:35PM


Wow, first I am hearing of this.  Whatever GM scoops up Mbah a Moute, especially if it is a contender, will have just made the most subtle and huge move in the NBA.  I doubt he goes anywhere KP, I think if he is on the trading block, Bucks upper management are getting bombarded with calls from smart GM's. 


mellow_wolf says:
12/27/10 07:36PM
Like your take on the Mavs/OKC game. The Mavs zone will definitely cause some problems on the penetration skills of Westbrook, Harden and Durant.  The Thunder are the worst 3 point shooting team in the league; it will be interesting to see how they fare tonight with open looks likely occurring frequently.
makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 07:36PM


Thanks Amimax, good luck with the Griz and Jazz.  Both good ML options at home.  Thanks for the kind words as well.


Islandstyle says:
12/27/10 07:37PM

 Great reads Mak!

Keep grindin hommie!!

kaponofor3 says:
12/27/10 07:45PM


I dunno about the validity of it Mak but here is where I found it: http://www.rotoworld.com/Content/playernews.aspx?sport=NBA&filter_teams=MLW , 3rd post down:

"Bucks beat writer Gery Woelfel said the Bucks were looking for another

backup PG even before Brandon Jennings was injured -- and Luc Richard

Mbah a Moute could be offered as bait.

Granted, this interview was a few days ago -- in the interim, both

Keyon Dooling and (especially) Earl Boykins have looked good in

Jennings' absence. With John Salmons also picking up his game and

capable of running the offense, this rumor might run out of steam (if

it hasn't already)."

GuaranSheed says:
12/27/10 07:48PM
Great stuff....just can't lay off the Clips tho
mtbaker says:
12/27/10 08:01PM
thanks for the analysis mak bol with whatever u play today
mtbaker says:
12/27/10 08:03PM

Good to see u posting Mikado, hope ur havin a good holidays and doing well with ur picks, just wanted to let u know that ur threads on injuries, news, and analysis for the NBA games have been missed by me and other covers cappers

makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:20PM


What's up Evantorr.  The guy in your avatar is not a smart businessman despite his numerous success with his plethora of companies.  Still the greatest to ever play the game.

Right now I am pondering on two plays.  A rare prop with Lamarcus Aldridge scoring over 18.5 points.  I don't see who else is going to score on Portland.  Also thinking about adding the Warriors as a 5 unit play.  Waiting on the status of Biedrins & Wright to finalize.  Best of luck with your Mavs pick bud.


makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:21PM


Always love the Don Corleone violin from my man faded.....


makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:23PM


Careful, although I lean the dominant Mavs I think the best zone-buster in basketball is the fast break.  OKC in my opinion runs the break better than any team in the Western Conference.  They are very dangerous at home and should not be underestimated at any point this season.  Maynor, Ibaka, Collison and Harden are a damn good 2nd unit rotation.  Good luck buddy.


makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:24PM


Blake is a beast and a half.  He is like a mix of Wilkins and Amar'e.  He is going to be a legendary power forward in this game.  Good luck.


makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:25PM


My main man MT, thanks for the continues support my friend.  Saw your post regarding who you thought was the best NBA capper and I appreciate what you wrote.  Best of luck with your plays my friend.


thepigeoncoup33 says:
12/27/10 08:25PM
Glad to see you back MAK, Happy Holidays to you and yours,
Spitfire15 says:
12/27/10 08:28PM
Big Mak
makaveli23 says:
12/27/10 08:38PM
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS MONEYLINE (-130) - - - I saw a report that stated Wright and Andris will dress for tonight's game but can never trust sources in today's media.  Nevertheless I think the Warriors will be good enough down low to off-set the absence of any big men.  David Lee, Amundson and rookie gem Udoh will do the dirty work down low and contest with Hawes and Brand.  The only thing that scares me about this game is Thaddeus Young off the bench.  He is an exceptional offensive player and can really find a groove in the up tempo game.  The 76ers however are a terrible back to back team.  They were the worst b2b team in the league last year with a similar roster.  Doug Collins does implement a focus within his team team but a back to back altitude flight from Colorado to California is not so pleasant. Look for Curry to step it up in his 2nd game back and find his offensive grove back.  Ellis is the best player ion basketball the last 3 games averaging almost 40 points, 7 dimes and 3 steals a game.  He is the Western Conference Player of the Week for a reason and he will go off on very large slower front-court players of Philly.  Without Lou Williams it will be difficult for Philly to matchup tonight.  Really hope the big man for GS suits up as it would negate Spencer Hawes.  If not, Hawes may have a big game.  The Warriors if healthy become potent offensive unit.  I consider them to be a very dangerous team at Oracle Arena.  Win or lose, I will start backing the Warriors with consistency.

5 UNITS MONTA "NINJA-ASSASSIN" ELLIS - - -

LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE OVER 18.5 POINTS (-120) - - - 
A very rare prop play for me. Not a big fan of these plays but I find value in this one.  I just don't see where the Portland offense is going to come from.  Aldridge has been a beast recently.  Nate McMillan had a talk with Big L and told him he wasn't playing to his capability.  I couldn't agree more.  Big L is a specimen of a power forward.  With Camby on the floor, Jefferson is forced to guard the 5 man with the smaller Milsap having to deal with Big L.  I just do not see Batum or Wesley going off in Utah against AK47 and Raja Bell.  Look for Aldridge to lead the Blazers in scoring once again. 
2.5 UNITS BIG L'S FINEST - - -
thepigeoncoup33 says:
12/27/10 08:53PM

MAK I have 20.5 for the prop play, u still see value at that number

Spitfire15 says:
12/27/10 09:45PM
What's the juice on your prop, pigeoncoup... it's probably + money.
EVANTORR says:
12/27/10 10:17PM

 

 

Yea not at all...you know what they say..your either a master at one thing...or just good at everything. 

Unpredictable says:
12/28/10 12:47AM

nice love reading your write ups

thepigeoncoup33 says:
12/28/10 12:55AM
It was -115 at BetUS, there lines are always crazy, i use them and a local, Great work tonite MAK
kevinkim says:
12/28/10 01:27AM
gstate was money!
i am really curious what book you use?
i always follow your picks, you are always getting decent lines,
-130 gstate money line wow, i follow my lines not 24 hours but most of my day
gstate -130 money line is awfully good price.
most of the time you are getting 1 point to 1.5 point at very cheap price -120 usually
i use pinnacle , but buying 1 point is moving the juice about 22 cents.
you are great capper, but i really dont understand how you always find the best odds or the better spread at pretty acceptable -120 to -125.
golden state money line -130 was too good.
monkeebooger says:
12/28/10 01:03AM
Good stuff Mak.

Your threads are a must read day in & day out.

Hope you post more often
makaveli23 says:
12/28/10 12:58AM


WOW!  Someone bumped my thread....that is a class act all the way my friend.  The thread was way back there, I am not an attention whore like so many of these posters and didn't want to bump my own thread.  Really appreciate the bump and the kind words, thanks very much, it is not easily forgotten.  Hope you had a good night as well. Peace bro.


makaveli23 says:
12/28/10 01:00AM


Thanks for the congratulations.  Appreciate it.  Wasn't able to get at you earlier, hope you took the Aldridge over points prop.  He is a beast down low tonight and will be the number one scoring option on this team for the foreseeable future.  Hope you had a good night, thanks for the post.

 
mellow_wolf says:
12/28/10 01:50AM


The Mavs zone was stifling in the 4th quarter. They look like a force to be reckoned with, hands down the best defense in the West.
tonydan says:
12/28/10 01:15AM
hey mak,whenever i see your avatar i picture about 10 pilgrims kissing your shoes and saying "TY DON FOR TONIGHTS PICKS" lol. you really got some nice writeups bro.and your a helluva great nba capper. looking forward on your picks the rest of the season. gl mak.
dj_yaz says:
12/29/10 02:20PM
Great Writeups MAK. One of the only Cappers on here if not only to spend time on writeups and still make no plays. Very Respectable.
Cheers bud
fresh4lyph says:
12/28/10 02:41AM

is that michael jordan high?  what's up with your avatar???  can't you get something more easey on the eye??
fresh4lyph says:
12/28/10 02:44AM
mak good shit tonight
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