Posted Friday, March 29, 2013 02:07 AM
This line is simply way too high. Everyone should lock in Wolves +8 against the Thunder. Again, this a healthy Minny team, and OKC has been less than stellar on the road this year. I would even give a slight edge to the Wolves to win this game outright, but just to be safe, I'll be taking the points. Expect a close game in this one and a cover for the Wolves.
Posted Wednesday, March 27, 2013 04:13 PM
This line is up there with the softest of the season. The Lakers are a pretty terrible road team, and Minnesota has a really solid rotation now that Budinger, Pekovic, and Kirilenko are healthy. Sure, Gasol is back, but World Peace is out so that's negligible. Even if Kobe were 100%, I'd still pick the Wolves to win this game outright. But with the bad ankle, I'd honestly be surprised to see the Lakers win this one, much less cover the 5 points. Everyone should be on the Wolves tonight.
Posted Sunday, November 04, 2012 12:09 PM
BEARS AT TITANS
Bears -3.5
-and-
Under 43.5
projected score: CHI 22.9 - TEN 13.7
*Formula created using DVOA from Football Outsiders and other advanced metrics
Posted Friday, October 19, 2012 04:31 PM
Pick are documented on my blog at www.TERPretation.com
SEATTLE +8 (WIN)
RAVENS +6.5
projection: HOU 24.1 - BAL 21.8
value: 4.2 points
BUCANEERS +3
projection: TB 25.3 - NO 22.2
value: 6.1 points
*2 unit bet
LIONS-BEARS under 47.5
projection: CHI 24.5 - DET 16.5
value: 6.5 points
Posted Thursday, October 18, 2012 02:10 PM
I mentioned my mathematical formula (using DVOA from Football Outsiders and a few other stats) in a previous thread. Here are my picks for this week:
SEAHAWKS +8
projected score: SF 21.3 - SEA 17.5
value: 4.2 points
BUCANEERS +3
projected score: TB 25.3 - NO 22.2
value: 6.1 points
BEARS-LIONS under 47.5 (x2)
projected score: CHI 24.5 - DET 16.5
value: 6.5 points
possible add:
RAVENS +6.5
projected score: HOU 24.1 - BAL 21.8
value: 4.2 points