neilo's Blog

Posted Thursday, April 04, 2013 04:10 AM

over / under 2.5 goals software

Results for this seasons trial run of over/under 2.5 goals software...

Week 1 15 of 20 winners
Week 2  9 of 14 winners
Week 3  7 of 19 winners
Week 4  7 of 13 winners
Week 5 3 of 3 winners

Week 6 there are 12 picks , would like to see 8 winners here for a minimum of 65% success. 6 picks are close to even money.

4 From the premier league, 3 from Germany, 2 French.

Register a FREE account and see  them here




Posted Friday, February 15, 2013 11:00 AM

over/under 2.5 goal winners

We have been bashing the stats with a new prediction program. It is for over/under 2.5 match goal  betting. Using the seasons 2000 to 2010 as a basis for prediction. Running it over 2011 (last season) and  2012  (current), the results look promising.
LeagueWonLostWin %
English Premier1810(65%)Italian SerieA3521(62.5%)Spanish LaLiga4119(68%)Belgium3011(73%)German Bundesleague 12611(70%)Holland Eredivisie3619(66%)


We have 9 program generated predictions for this weekend.Last weekend there were 15 predictions, we only had 9 correct.
Here are 4 for this week
Hamburg v Munchen Gladbach over 2.5 goalsRoma v Juventus over 2.5 goalsBayer Leverkuesen v Augsburg over 2.5 goalsZulta-Waregem v Waasland over 2.5 goals.
Register a free account at www.soccer-betbrain.com to see another 5 picks. See our preview for the Liverpool v Swansea game as well.
Good luck whatever you choose,
Neil.
... [More]

Posted Sunday, February 03, 2013 07:50 AM

soccer-betbrain picks

Sunday 2013-03-03
3 Games look excellent here.

A Madrid v Real Betis 
A Madrid are bombing in goals. They have a 100% record at home. The start games fast and score a lot of 1st half goals.
They are second only to Barcelona in over 1.5 first half goals percentage at home with 72% or 8 of 11 games  (over 1.5 goals).

Over 1.5 first half goals is 6/4  great price

Man City v Liverpool.
City have to win, to kept touch with United. They will come to play today (have to start with a 442 formation). Liverpool to get hammered, similar to the 2nd half in the Liverpool /Arsenal game.

Man City Home win 1.9  great price. All the goal bets will also be good here. BTTS and over 2.5 goals.

Pescara v Bologna.
These are low scoring teams. Go against the BTTS bet here and choose NO to btts . Pescara lead SerieA in NO to BTTS percentage at 73% of their home games. odds are 1.92

see these BTTS stats here with our BTTS heat chart
http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/btts-heat-chart

Three statistically probable, reasonably high priced bets . 


Posted Wednesday, January 30, 2013 12:56 PM

Arsenal v Liverpool | Reading v Chelsea | Everton v WBA banker

Arsenal to win the 1st half. 7/4 on bet365

Reading v Chelsea BTTS  1.61 on bet365

Everton v WBA   banker : BTTS 1.72

see all our selections at www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-predictions. Just register and account . It's quick easy and free....


Posted Tuesday, January 29, 2013 12:46 PM

Villa v Newcastle, Stoke v Wigan, Sunderland v Swansea

Villa v Newcastle

Villa are in freefall. Relegation stuff. They have scored 1 home goal in 5 games. no BTTS here 11/10

Stoke v Wigan

A perfect match-up for Stoke against a Wigan team that is not big on defence. Home win 6/5

Sunderland v Swansea

1/2 time 0-0 draw. Swansea have drawn 7 of their last 8 away games at the half 0-0. Half time exact score 0-0 is 7/4

Check out another 7 picks for free at

www.soccer-betbrain.com

We have stats and fantastic analysis of the Major European Leagues. League comparisons, BTTS heat charts, Over Under 2.5 goal heat charts.

Really cool stuff that will help you.....

Good Luck tonight and Wednesday.

Neil.


Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 12:29 PM

Espanyol v Mallorca | Schalke v Hannover

Mallorca are on a terrible run away from home. Lost 3 of their last 4 games and have shipped goals.

Espanyol to win it

Schalke are essentially the third best team in the bundesleague (behind Bayern and Dortmund). Comfortable win for them here.

Double of Schalke and Espanyol gives 2.2 to 1 which is a nice way to start the weekend.

Check out another 8 picks here 

www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-predictions

Good luck,

have a great winning weekend.


Posted Saturday, January 12, 2013 06:00 AM

English Premier League picks 12/13 Jan

Norwich v Newcastle.
Norwich to return to winning ways against a terrible road team. Small squads (norwich) battle with 3 games in 9 days over Christmas and New Year. They have had a weeks rest, after two very tough games against Chelsea and Man City. Newcastle stink on the road, losing 6 and drawing 4 of  10 games.
Home win here.
Aston Villa v Saints.
Villa are showing relegation form at home. This is a massive game, and Saints have the mettle to win it. Also getting great odds for the away win at 2.8. Saints other big game this season was against QPR away (another 6 pointer). They won that one 3-1. Villa are in free fall ....
Reading v WBA.
Have been doing lot of research looking at which range of starting match odds  (home and away) produces both teams to score results (BTTS). This season, in the range there have been 11 games in the PL. 9 times they have produced btts. These odds fall right in the range and I'll run with the stats here.
BTTS 1.67
Everton v Swansea.
Everton were very unlucky to lose to Chelsea two weeks ago. Played them off the park, and should have been 2 nil up. Chelsea, 2 chances 2 goals... 1st one before half time was an absolute sucker punch. No Michu for Swansea = game over = a bridge to far.
Easy everton win here at 1.72
See all our predictions here 
http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-predictions
head to head match ups here 
http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/head-to-head-soccer-matchups[More]

Posted Tuesday, January 01, 2013 06:51 AM

EPL : 4 excellent bets

1) WBA v Fulham
WBA are a very decent home team. At the moment Fulham are in the middle of a major speed wooble. They are not doing anything well. WBA comfortable winners here 1.95
2) Tottenham v Reading.
For whatever reason SPURS are a 2nd half team at home. They are slow starters and get better. Reading are a reasonable 1st half team on the road but are terrible 2nd half. They have lost 9 of 10 second halves on the road, scoring 1 goal and conceding 14. Spurs to win 2nd 45 is 1.66
3) Wigan v Man U
A fresh van Persie awaits Wigan. Maybe Fergie plays hernadez and van Persie up-front in a 4 4 2. Hopefully he does not start Scholes and Giggs. Kagawa , Carrick and Cleverly , Young would be my choice. United with too much fire-power and should win easily. WIgan have conceded 2 goals ina a home game 8 times in 10 this season.
4) Saints v Arsenal.
Expect goals galore in this game. Both are scoring, and Arsenal are bang in form. Is Theo Walcott another Terry Henry (converted winger turned centre forward). Arsenal to win it but will probably conced to The Ricky Lambert threat at a set play. 
Over 2.5 goals 1.67

see all our predictions here
www.soccer-betbrain.com
we have fantastic stats for many of the bet365 bet types.
http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-halftime-wins
Also offer stats for laying the betfair unquoted half time goals market.
http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/betfair-unquoted-half-time-goals
Good luck today,
and a... [More]

Posted Sunday, December 30, 2012 09:47 AM

QPR v Liverpool dec 30

Lets look at a few stats here.
QPR are a stinker of a team at home in the 1st half.They have not won a 1st 45 minutes of soccer at home in 9 games. They have drawn 4 and lost 5.Reading are the next worst winning 1 in 9.They have the worst goal production in the 1st 45 minutes (2 goals in 9  matches). They also own the record for the worst 1st half home goal differential of -7 . Only Swansea and Reading have conceded more 1st half goals. 
2nd half at home QPR are competitive. They have won 3 and drawn 5 2nd halves.
So they KEY is for them to be up and ready for the 1st half. They have to eradicate the slow starts.  Liverpool have kept 1 clean sheet away from home this season.
Last three games away they have shipped goals. Maybe that's a consequence of seeking goals.
A little too attacking and space left at the back.
They have failed to score twice in 9 away games. I would expect them to score here.

QPR have been leaking goals. 1 clean sheet in 9 games , failed to score twice in 9 games. 
Be tight, keep it compact and don't concede. 

The longer the game remains close, the more pressure Liverpool will feel. Both teams need the win like oxygen.
Both teams are under pressure to produce a win. 
A draw is completely unsatisfactory for both
Both teams to score is about 1.69 which is a fair price
Check out the stats here 
www.soccer-betbrain.com
many free stats as well ...
Over unde... [More]

Posted Saturday, December 29, 2012 07:04 AM

Saturday English Premier League Banker

Best bet for Saturday afternoon , EPL is stoke to beat SouthamptonWorst odds of 1.83 for the home win.
Was watching a rerun of the Stoke v Liverpool game last night. Just the 2nd half.

They did many things really well.

Work rate from Stoke was amazing.
Pressed Liverpool deep and never let them build.
Counter attack was excellent. Win ball-quick pass onto a nimble fast runner.
Defensive structure was near perfect for 40 minutes. Never lost their shape. Could see a 4 4 2 structure as plain as day.
No ball watching, or standing still. Pass and move or pick up an attacker.
Other bets that look excellent....
Arsenal v Newcastle BTTS (both teams to score) 1.75
Sunderland v Tottenham (more 2nd half goals) 21/20
See all our predictions here. 
www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-predictions
and three match writeups here
www.soccer-betbrain.com
Good luck for the weekend
Neil.... [More]

Posted Saturday, December 08, 2012 05:02 AM

The best priced away team in domestic Euro soccer

Who are they ... ?

This is a team that's won 7 of 7 away.
Their average away price has been 3.95
Last week they beat their main league rivals away
They are big favourites this weekend.

Netherlands Eredivsie : Vitesse Arnhem

I like VVV Venlo to get beaten easily by Vitesse Arnhem. Arnhem have it all going for them . 7 out of 7 away win, playing great, fully of confidence, scoring goals. They have conceded 2 goals in 7 away games, which is out of this world.

Away win is 1.63 which is a steal....

 


Posted Saturday, December 08, 2012 03:23 AM

3 soccer bets for Saturday 8th December

Everton v Tottenham BTTS (1.67)

Two evenly matched teams that are scoring goals and not defending fantastically well. Everton have scored in every home game this season and Spurs have scored in every away game this season with 1 clean sheet.


Frankfurt v Werder Bremen BTTS

BTTS . Both teams have a perfect record in BTTS . Franfurt 8 out of 8 at home , Brremen the same away from home.

West Ham  v Liverpool

HT and FT draw you get 5.5 -1 

See all our predictions here

http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/soccer-predictions

Have a look at the best home  price/performance teams.Look under season summary http://www.soccer-betbrain.com/
and put the cursor over 'Home Betting Value'
 

Good luck with your weekends bets ,

Neil.


Posted Saturday, December 01, 2012 06:06 AM

Sat 1st December Soccer Picks:

Norwich | Sunderland  under 2.5 goals
Norwich | Sunderland  Home win
Man City | Everton BTTS
Liverpool | Saints AWAY HTDC
West Ham | Chelsea home asian + 1

4 Nice gamble bets 

West Ham home win over chelsea 4.3
Everon to win 1st half at Man CIty  5.77
FUlham win 2nd halve against SPurs 3.3

See all our selections here

www.soccer-betbrain.com

Good luck, and have a profitable weekend !

Neil.


Posted Friday, November 30, 2012 01:27 PM

Osasuna v Vallecano, Dusseldort v Frankfurt

The Osansuna v Vallecano is a tough one to predict. Osasuna are struggling in Laliga. They need to get something from this game. They cannot afford to play it open.
In their last 4 home games one team has failed to score every time. This makes covering the over 2.5 damn tricky, because if it happens one team must score 3.

Osasuna also have a very low 1st half average goals per game record at home (1 goal scored or conceded in 6 first halves). So the 2nd half has to catch fire or the over 2.5 goals fails.
On the other side you have Vallecano, who are a goal delivering machine. Their 6 away games have resulted in 29 goals. Every away game from this team has been over 2.5 match goals this season.
So does a non scoring Osasuna cancel out a Vallecano goal machine. My feeling is that the answer is YES. Osasuna will be tight, and have to play a cautious game .
Under 2.5 goals is the way I would go if I had to, but prob this is one to just watch from the sides.
Dusseldorf are struggling. They will get into a relegation battle at some stage. They have won 1 game in 7 which is not good enough.  Frankfurt had a great start to the season, but are now starting to struggle as well. No wins in 4 away games for them, with only 2 goals scored and 7 conceded. These last 4 away games were pretty tough (Schalke and Bayern).
I feel that they will bounce back tonight and achieve the Away win, probably 3-1.
See all our predictions and previews here....
www.soccer... [More]

Posted Monday, November 26, 2012 10:16 AM

26th , 27th, 28th Nov soccer picks

Hi everyone. 

The obvious pick for tonights Spanish laLiga is

Zaragotha v Celta Vigo

1.8 (various bookmakers) for the over 2.5 match goals. Neither team is great at defending, and both are scoring goals. Celta have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away games.

If Zaragotha score , they win. They have lost 3 games 0-1 at home this season, but if they score they romp to a win.

This game also looks good for a (both teams to score bet)

BTTS at 1.8 looks a really nice price. These teams are reasonably matched, should be an open game. Both teams are conceding a goal or more almost every match.


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