nfl_brosuf's Blog

Posted Friday, September 09, 2016 05:51 PM

My ncaaf in 2016 will be a bust too ha ha ha

Well the season is here and so every year, I bust and lose with ncaaf so with that in mind, let me give you some to fade.  I don't play everyday, I don't play every time but when I can, I will play it. 

I see a whole lots of cover folks on fiu.  Let me have my opener with fading the cover's public.  I don't like fiu.  They played like chit against indiana.  I mean indiana?  Aren't they a basketball school? 

Here is why I think maryland will man handle fiu today. 

First off, maryland played against a cupcake school and took care of business in the first half like 35-0 and so they stopped playing the second half.  The mercy rule so of speak.  This shows me that md will be quick to the gun and will look forward to score and score fast.  FIU qb will not choke again in this game by giving away picks but if he does, he is heading to the bench.  What this tells me is that the kid will be playing reserve and scared to pass that ball anywhere.  Ok, I'm just joking, he will do his thing regardless. 

Now tell me when was the last time fiu won ATS against the big 10? 

The kicker for me is that md has a new coach and is riding on his high horse with an impressive win his last time around.  I am looking forward to the md running game as they will test out the run defense of fiu. 

If FIU wants to win this game, they will need to play tougher ball since MD... [More]

Posted Thursday, July 28, 2016 06:44 PM

Live tennis plays tips and what not. What you got?

I have been hitting at a high cap with these tennis plays.  Although the juice may be high but it might be worth it to lay the juice to win 1U. 

First off, I have to say that I do not know anything about tennis players.  All I know is how the game is being played. 

So here is my standard filtration so of speak.  If you look at a day's worth of games, you will notice that it is usually a score of 6-3 or higher.  It could get lower like 6-0 or 6-1 or 6-2 in a set but that is only for rare cases of one player dominating the other player.  It happens in the Kerber A #2 vs Savitolina #17 just now in the 1st set.  However, in the long run, it usually doesn't happen like that in other sets. 

So my key number here is 3 and asking myself if the losing player can get 3 games in any given set? 

If my answer is yes, I take the over 8.5 total for such set.  All I need is for the losing person to get 3 and I win since the score will be 6-3 or better. 

My other hunt is when the game is going into the 3rd set and same situation when the line makers give me a total of 28.5 and my math shows me that if the other person scores 3 games in the 3rd set, I win. 

Now for the 3 to happen, if a person serves, they win points and it goes back and forth like that. 

Once in a while, I see a line given for over 8.5 paying high juice when the score is 2-3 with the 2 person is servin... [More]

Posted Wednesday, February 24, 2016 12:11 PM

washington vs oregon state 2/24/16

Not here to promote a winning team but asking you guys what line do you guys see?

I'm seeing oregon state opening at -19, -18 at 3 bookies but -4 at 7 bookies.

so what is the real dealio here?  What is the real line?  If you bet a malfunction line, it gets cancel anyway. 


Posted Friday, January 29, 2016 06:53 PM

Who dares to play VCU 2H +2???

VCU up 20 but giving back 10.  Davidson is steaming right now.

So who here dares to take VCU 2H +2 for cushioning? 

I do.

I would do VCU even but they gave me +2.  Wow, what a value.  If I lose, go ahead and laugh at  me.  I don't care and besides, it is still gambling at its finest. 

Remember folks.  If they laugh at you, you laugh with them.  Fighting on covers will get you ban


Posted Tuesday, January 26, 2016 01:01 PM

Somebody told me to take.....

1/26

western michigan -4.5

easy money 




Posted Thursday, January 21, 2016 09:44 AM

I spy a parlay mickey mouse system ncaab

I know that parlay are for suckers and it is not profitable for me but I do tend to play them with 2 or 3 teams max and I only played them 1 or 2x per week only. 

Let me show you how I am going to lose my money.  I'm sprinkling a quarter to win 150 the lotto way. 


01/21/16
09:25AM   3 Team Parlay 715  Marshall vs. Charlotte U
Marshall
-1½   -105 01/21/16
07:00PM     25 150     ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 12, 2016 08:03 PM

jayhawks -2.5 2nd half... bet the family car on this one

yep, do it. 

my car or I take the bus to work... 

lets go jayhawks.. 


Posted Monday, January 11, 2016 08:34 PM

%&^*^$&^#$%ingame)(*(*&*& ^*%^^%^

I'm not going anywhere.  In game.  Who you got?

I got bama
1st half -3.5
-7 full game
under 50.5 full game

Lets go money.  


Posted Saturday, January 02, 2016 10:13 PM

cot dayam I'm pissed off man Oregon game duma con cac

but I just saved a tons of money off my car insurance with Aflec. 

discount double check bishes. 


Posted Thursday, December 31, 2015 02:23 PM

The tailing factor, mickey mouse style

that's right.  I can't cap for chit so now I'm tailing you guys.  Reading around, this is what I got and this is what I am going to play. 

12/31
st. mary -6




Posted Wednesday, December 23, 2015 06:11 PM

boise st for 2nd half and for president...

who's riding on boise st -3 for second half? 

You know what they say.  When the first half is an obvious upset, the second half, the other team is going to steam roll and playing catch up and boise st is going to do the mercy rule and benching their players to coast. 

boise st -3 2nd half.  bet with confidence. 


Posted Friday, December 18, 2015 06:12 PM

Alright, late to the game.. I'm picking ncaab Mickey mouse system.....

I have a big list of teams to fade if they are dogs.   I'm about to make me some money. 

All my teams have something in common.  They all have won their last games which gives me more confident that they will continue with their winning streak.  My list to which teams to pick?  Well that's my top secret list 


samford -5.5
loyola mary -5.5
washington st -9
peperdine -2.5





Posted Friday, November 06, 2015 06:28 PM

Ncaaf ML Parlay for suckers

yep, I'm that sucker. 

double up to a million.  All in again next week if this hits


11/6/15 6:15pm$50.00$52.48Pending24 Team Parlay



Pending    330 Western Kentucky -2500*  



Pending   354 Michigan -3500*  



Pending  366 Texas -7000*  



Pending  394 Louisiana Tech -10000* 



Pending    412 Ohio State -2400* 



Pending  502 Dartmouth -24750*  



Pending    506 Robert Morris -3825*  



Pending   528 Stony Brook -4500*  



Pending    537 Harvard -3250*  



Pending   542 Butler -2750*  



Pending  544 Jacksonville -24000*  



Pending 552 North Carolina Central -3250* 



Pending   554 Norfolk State -2480*  



Pending  560 The Citadel -2480* 



Pending  562 Alabama A&M -2480*  



Pending   563 Portland State -1850*  



Pending   568 Youngstown State -16750* 



Pending   572 Samford -375000*  



Pending  576 Grambling State -4500*  
<... [More]

Posted Sunday, November 01, 2015 09:00 AM

My Mickey Mouse system in the NFL ha ha LOL

I had a system at the beginning of the season and it did not go out so well.  This will be my last try for this season and if it doesn't hit, I'm azz out for 2015 until maybe the playoff and beyond. 

Mickey mouse system because it makes no cot dayam sense at all

Play home favorite if:

- their last game, they won ATS as a favorite

Simple right?  Ok lets see

11/1
STL -8 

11/2
caro -6.5




Posted Wednesday, September 23, 2015 09:21 AM

nfl broke money system

This system here is for the broke because I ended up breaking my bankroll early every year.  If you fade, you might make money. 

These are my plays basing it upon what my doggy told me 

broke back system 0-0-0
best play(s) 0-0-0

9/27
pitts -1
jets -2.5 <<-- best play
cinn +2.5
az -6 <<-- best play
den -3



Posted Sunday, September 06, 2015 04:42 PM

NCAAF system you would hate

Another mickey mouse system that I am going to put my money where my mouth is.  Every year, I have a different system and every year, I have gone belly up but hey, at least I stayed true to my system. 

Theory
- Ride the winning trends for money and in this case, against the spread
- If I must lose, I'll lose to an upset and losing ATS is half heart broken

Criteria
- Only play AP top 15 ranked teams
- Only play fav with line at opener
- Only play if their last game, they cover ATS as a fav
- Only play if they are more than .500 covering ATS
- No play if both teams won ATS their last games as fav
- No play if fav push ATS last game. 
-Ok to play if ranked team won ATS last game and opp push ATS as dogs, if opp push ATS as fav last game, no play

If I don't post, it will be an auto play and I will score it when I get back to my computer. 

0-0-0

9/12
usc -42.5
georgia -20
nd -8.5







Posted Friday, May 22, 2015 08:43 AM

MLB system you would hate

well get ready to hate this system here.  Pretty simple and straight forward too. 

Fade these bottom feeding teams for money if:
-they are dogs
-they are not playing against these other piss poor teams
-they are not the first rotation 951/901 ect ect.

Colorado
milwaukee
miami
oakland

Today match up, we have

SF
atl
balt
tb





Posted Friday, February 27, 2015 03:39 PM

I am the fade machine and I'm back

Well history have shown that I have been losing.  Lost this year on ncaab so far and haven't bet any till now.  Saved up that pay check to try again.  I may be down but not out.  Bet to make money to shoot hard for the final 4.  Here I go. 

2/27
st. peter -1

I loved Val but cleveland state is one sick team at home.  I lay low on that game plus just like st. peter, line already lost value and so I take my chances against a pissy poor team like marist. 

good to me. 


Posted Sunday, January 25, 2015 11:33 AM

Best prop bets strategy for the Superbowl !!!!!!

If sea wins the superbowl
  
1 $26       
2 $32       
3 $6.65       
4 $21    7x   
5 $50      3x  
6 $29      5x   
7 $12.30 12x   
8 $37      4x   
9 $68      2x   
10 $19.5 8x   
11 $44    4x   
12 $75    2x   
13 $39    4x   
14 $20    8x   
15 66    2x   
16 70    2x   
17 36    4x   
18 45    3x   
19 92    2x   
20 82    2x   
21 54    3x   
22 140   1x    
23 165    1x   
24 75    3x   
25 145    1x   
26 310      1x 
27 200      1x 
28 150        1x
29 230        1x
30 525        1x
31 350 ... [More]

Posted Thursday, January 22, 2015 05:40 AM

I hunt them ncaab ranked teams. Come fade this stuff ha

My record for capping is broke early and quit.  It has been a while and with time means a new bankroll through saving up my lunch money.  If kids can trade stocks during lunch hours then so can I by capping ncaab during my lunch hours too.  ha 

ok I lied.  I pick these out of a hat.  At least and hoping that it will bring me better luck than me capping anything at all. 



I will play these for today. 

1/22

nd -9.5
ga tech +17.5
maryland pk
az -4 <<-- strong play
st. marys +14.5

record 0-0
strong play 0-0 






Posted Wednesday, November 19, 2014 12:40 PM

ncaab and a lot less ha

Since I am doing ok with my bankroll for ncaab, I feel like sharing.

Tail or fade at your own risk.  A better line if you buy earlier.  These are the lines at current value of this posting. 

11/19

okc -5.5
utah st -3
ark -14
jag st +14
cinn -10.5
milwaukee -13

small cards today.  that's it.  Good





Posted Saturday, July 05, 2014 09:07 AM

12 leg parlay mlb + soccer 170x

come cheer me on.  I can afford a $10 lottery.  Think it will win?  Who knows right?  If win, i'm buying me a pinto car classic.  ha  



7/5/14 8:48am$10.00$1,780.11Pending12 Team ParlayPending7/5/14 4:10pm  MLB Baseball  908 Cincinnati Reds -1 +110* vs Milwaukee Brewers  (M Garza - R must Start   H Bailey - R must Start)Pending7/5/14 7:15pm  MLB Baseball  930 New York Mets -1 +109* vs Texas Rangers  (C Lewis - R must Start   B Colon - R must Start)Pending7/5/14 6:45pm  Canada Soccer  902 Kingston (CAN) -130* vs Brampton City United (CAN)  Pending7/5/14 7:00pm  Canada Soccer  905 Niagara United (CAN) -129* vs Astros Vasas (CAN)  Pending7/5/14 12:00pm  International Soccer  15 Argentina advances -212* vs Belgium advances  Pending7/5/14 4:00pm  International Soccer  125 Netherlands advances -440* vs Costa Rica advances  Pending7/5/14 9:30am  Norway Soccer  452 Molde (NOR-T) -374* vs Sogndal (NOR-T)  Pending7/5/14 4:00pm  Peru Soccer  1608 San Martin (PER) -194* vs Cienciano (PER)  Pending7/5/14 7:00pm  Peru Soccer  1611 Juan Aurich (PER) -298* vs Sport Huancayo (PER)  Pending7/5/14 9:00pm  Peru Soccer  1614 Cesar Vallejo (PER) -216* vs Leon De Huanuco (PER)  Pending7/5/14 10:00am  Swed... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 25, 2014 08:55 AM

So what's the play mlb no system style....

No system here... just bet it and I forget about it... 

balt -117
tb -117
stl +103
phi +134 <<-- 

ok, if these do wins, I do have a system 


Posted Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:56 AM

Tail the 32/32 bracket homeboy for march madness

Well some of us have heard about that one guy who went 32/32 and then he finally lost his bracket but if the rest of his prediction holds true then this is what I should play upon. 

maybe he is onto something

for sunday
kansas -6
witchita -4.5
iowa st -1.5
mercer +8.5
steven austin +9
baylor +3.5
virginia -6
az -6.5

then again, he is playing the moneyline win ha



Posted Wednesday, March 05, 2014 05:37 AM

Top raping bottom mlb system.....

These are the teams to fade since they are at the bottom of the league by basing it on last year's stats

cws
mn
hou
mia
cub

These are the teams to play on if they faces these bottom feeders

lad
stl
pit
atl
oak
det
cle
bos
tb 

so far this pre season, the system shows 3 wins and 1 lost

today, we are taking detroit to rape houston -118

wish me luck and I will be out of the state for weds so for thursday game, we have
StL to rape mn
clev to rape hou
bos to rape mia

I will update this when I get back. 







Posts:  1 2  
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