oddsbuster's Blog

!!!!! NBA Monday !!!!!

By oddsbuster | View all Posts
Posted Monday, January 16, 2012 02:02 AM   37 comments
23-31 ats ytd -156 units overall(42.5%)
18-24 ats full game wagers -90.25 units...
1-1 ats 1st half wagers -1 units...
4-6 ats 2nd half wagers -25 units...

1-11 ML dogs -37.5 units...
1-1 ML favs -2.25 units...
8-8 POD -4 units..

No wagers on Sunday but here's Saturdays losing thread with play on the Warriors:


Monday's action so far is:

Rockets @ Wizards over 188 for 20 units... I generally hate betting on over's but since the NBA has recently been in quite the scoring rut lately there will start to be over bet's that are going to hold value. Especially regarding teams that play bad defense such as tonight's game between the Rockets whom are allowing 98.6ppg & 46.4% FG & the Wizards whom are allowing 96.8ppg & 44.9% FG. With the Rockets allowing the 27th leagues worst defense in regards to FG % thtotal on this game has been set low based on one thing. The public perception on the Wizards offense which currently ranks last in the NBA @ 84,6ppg. Only 3 Rocket games have stayed below the total of 190 in regulation play this season (vsHawks 95-84, @Bobcats 82-70 & @Spurs 90-90ot). The Rockets other 9 games played out to an average of 199ppg with 4 of them exceeding the 200 mark. Most of these results can be linked back to the Rockets willingness to push the tempo as they are currently the NBA's #1 team with shots per game @ 85.5. This is good news because the undisciplined style that the Wizards are currently sporting has them just 5 slots behind the Rockets in this same category ranking 6th with 83.1 shots per game. I really love the fact that we have a total set below 190 with 2 styles of play that say their should be many shots along with 2 defenses that are bad enough to make one puke. Very strong play on the over in a game where the Rockets haven't seen a total set this low all season as 8 of their 12 games have seen totals of 196 or higher. This is also interesting knowing that the Wizards last x games they have been played  against defenses ranked as follows; 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 7th, 11th, 14th, 10th, 8th, 8th, 17th, 6th & 28th . Hell thats a lineup of team defenses good enough to make a lot of teams struggle let alone a very young team such as the Wizards. It seems rather clear the the result of their offense out put is in direct relation to this schedule played thus far because there is talent on the Wizards team and what better way to get a vision of it with the leagues highest shots per game team and the leagues 26th ranked defense in town(Rockets)...POD

37 comments
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samdude3 says:
01/16/12 03:31AM
That line seems way too low for a Rockets game Might have to play that on the side

BOL OB
cesare6t9 says:
01/16/12 03:34AM
HAWKS RAPTORS OVER 177.5 ADD THAT OR UR NUTS BOY
Basden05 says:
01/16/12 03:40AM

Good Luck Odds

However, I just can't trust this Washington team to score around 90-95 points here. Especially now that Andray Blatche is out injured. Say what you want about Blatche, but the dude can score and you can at least  dump it into him and get a few easy buckets. With a front line of Chris Singleton, Trevor Booker and JaVale McGee, I just don't see where the scoring is going to come from. Having said that, they did put up 89 and 90 against Philly without Blatche.

I'll be pulling for the over for you

Basden05 says:
01/16/12 04:40AM

Like I said good luck and I really hope this hits, but there is no way I'm laying my hard earned money down on Washington and their offense.

In their 31 point loss at Philly, they had exactly 58 points at three quarter time before 30 meaningless last quarter points. In their 13 point home loss to Philly, they had exactly 60 points at three quarter time before putting up a meaningless 30 points.

But hey, Houston might score 105 tonight so all you need is around 85 from the Wiz and your golden

GerManiac says:
01/16/12 06:25AM
Best of luck buddy
And don´t let dictate you plays from someone who went down low, ehm I mean even it´s your dad from down under.

215Hustler says:
01/16/12 07:21AM
GL buddy
mikenice says:
01/16/12 08:18AM
D-Town says:
01/16/12 08:18AM
Good luck OB.  
aireent777 says:
01/16/12 08:59AM
Odds
BestKeptSecret says:
01/16/12 08:59AM
gL...
jrhdgolf9 says:
01/16/12 09:04AM
Gotta go with your info....hard not to back the Rockets as well as the over. Thanks Odds
Rlt3g says:
01/16/12 10:40AM
I'm rolling with you on rockets/shitzards over. Let's go!
evilelvis says:
01/16/12 10:50AM
thejudge147 says:
01/16/12 10:55AM

dude u are way below .500,  why should we trust ur pick. i dont like to give money away like u do.

 

 

insatiable says:
01/16/12 12:29PM
andreagassi6969 says:
01/16/12 12:30PM
Philly10 says:
01/16/12 12:48PM
Move from 188.5 to 192.5, good thing I got it in at 188, bought the hook.
The-iLLuminati says:
01/16/12 12:51PM
Rockets will blow but i dont think washington will score much i see a 100-85 game
nicemoves says:
01/16/12 01:10PM
GL dude 
excellent insights as always but not so sure on number of units though...
i think too much units on a shaky basis but that's my opinion.
Shan304non says:
01/16/12 02:14PM
...................UNDER ALL DAY!!!
Shan304non says:
01/16/12 02:19PM
UR NUTS UNDER ALLDAY!!! DONT B FOOLED BY THE LOW TOTAL!
Sinker2 says:
01/16/12 04:38PM
lucky hit on the over
GetEveryDollar says:
01/16/12 04:43PM
odds....pinball WIZARD and ROCKET man got it together for the OVER....
placeholder says:
01/16/12 11:47PM
Good luck Odds! 
composite says:
01/16/12 05:53PM

 

 

Great call.  This one was over w/ most of the 4Q left to play.

44-dimes says:
01/16/12 05:29PM

 

 Excellent---------------------Piece of cake

Philly10 says:
01/16/12 05:40PM
Odds you the man, thanks for the early pick!
califresh23 says:
01/16/12 07:11PM
im with you on the over.. gl!
svensk says:
01/16/12 11:44PM
    2H     GL
Sinker2 says:
01/16/12 06:15PM
under
Sinker2 says:
01/17/12 01:04AM
Hope u get double overtime now
Sinker2 says:
01/17/12 01:04AM
maybe a kobe fadeaway brick!
Sinker2 says:
01/17/12 01:05AM
would have been better if kobe tried...
Sinker2 says:
01/17/12 01:07AM
fisher...
Sinker2 says:
01/17/12 01:20AM
This is the worst season of nba ever...
so boring
Rlt3g says:
01/16/12 04:46PM
NJ/LAC looking good for that under.. Lines at half for that game are strange for a piece of change
Rlt3g says:
01/16/12 05:42PM
Odds is seeing a new day! Good call on the second half of the NJ/LAC 
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