oddsbuster's Blog

!!!! NBA Wednesday !!!!

By oddsbuster | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, January 18, 2012 12:28 AM   26 comments
25-35 ats ytd -203.5 units overall(41.6%)
20-26 ats full game wagers -104.25 units...(43.4%)
1-1 ats 1st half wagers -1 units...
4-8 ats 2nd half wagers -69 units...

1-11 ML dogs -37.5 units...
1-1 ML favs -2.25 units...
9-9 POD -6 units..

0-1 yesterday netting -22 units as the Rockets game failed to exceed the total. Here's the thread below:



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skulkraker says:
01/18/12 12:35AM
EXCELLENT INFORMATION AND WRITE UP...
indiansrock says:
01/18/12 12:43AM
great write up but the angle i am focusing on betting in the nba will have me betting on the pacers here.......kings coming home after a long road trip with 0 or 1 days rest is an automatic bet against with my angle......best of luck tho....one of us will win
doliver517 says:
01/18/12 12:49AM
Sac has played 6 gms in 9 nights, the last 5 of those on the road. This is their first game back home after having Tuesday off. They beat Toronto straight up but didn't cover any other game in that stretch. Indy has played 3 games in 9 days, their last at home on Saturday.  I don't see fatigue being a factor (maybe a little early rust). I do see fatigue perhaps from Sac, as this is similar to a rd game after coming home from a 5 gm roadie. Indy would like to start their trip off with a W and Sacremento could care less. I'll be on the opposite side but thanks for the write up. GL the rest of the season and look forward to a couple more plays from you. Personally I like Atlanta -1.5 but hate betting that team
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/18/12 12:52AM

I know the Pacers are better as a team here. The only reason I can't pull the trigger is that the Pacers aren't the same team they are on the road than at home.

What do you think of Atlanta? They seem to have much success against Portland in their head-to-head.
dumbfoundead says:
01/18/12 01:03AM
bro your writeups are amazing.   enjoyed the read
BoyBayo says:
01/18/12 01:25AM

Atlanta have won the last 5 games versus Portland. Of course they won both of their match up last year. 1 of them is without horford 

but i also noticed jamal crawford used to give portland a headache on their previous 2 games (21 ppg).

playing against old teams this season, at least involving key players, resulted to 1-1. Utah defeating Deron and the other night with Odom and lakers. 

i might be biased here as i love portland personally. so please help guys.
aireent777 says:
01/18/12 01:44AM
tonydan says:
01/18/12 01:56AM

love both Sac and Portland. excellent writeups 

BOL going forward   

lts41 says:
01/18/12 02:56AM
mws says:
01/18/12 10:24AM
Thanks for the analysis of the Pacers.  I'm also skeptical.  Good luck today.
GerManiac says:
01/18/12 11:08AM
As usual awesome insights and write ups
It´s time to reflect your knowledge into your cashier. 

Best of luck tonight my friend

samdude3 says:
01/18/12 11:31AM
On the Kings myself

BOL bro
DT3324 says:
01/18/12 11:40AM
one of the better system plays i ever used is betting AGAINST the home team coming back form a 4 plus game road trip and being home for 0-1 days....gl bucking that system id say it wins about 63% of the time
Rlt3g says:
01/18/12 11:45AM
BOL.. I'm not with you on anything today but i can see $$$$$$
diggggs says:
01/18/12 12:23PM
im not saying this is a bad bet but i think you need more info to back your argument.

you dont take into account indiana's defensive play (88.9 ppg allowed) versus the non existent defense of sacramento (most point given up in the league). to me sacramento is a very unpredictable team which is why i avoid betting on them. thornton puts up 17 a game but he usually takes a high number of shots and hits a shitty percentage (34% versus indiana ) and he will be guarded by paul george who is no slouch in the defense department. your argument is that this pacer team wins against losing teams, well this sacramento squad IS A losing team.

to me this is a no bet. definitely not a POD. the one thing you have going for you is the public on indiana. good luck though odds!
D-Town says:
01/18/12 01:03PM
Good luck OB.  
keepitstrict says:
01/18/12 03:49PM
andreagassi6969 says:
01/18/12 04:05PM
Imakeplays says:
01/18/12 04:23PM

I agree with your breakdown and appreciate your hard work as always, but I do not see where you are gathering this INDIANA -5  on the road 3 times in the last sixteen days. Below are the lines that they laid on the road. This is the 3rd time all year they have laid 5 or more on the road, but they have also caught many points against the better teams. 


-5.5 @ toronto (loss)Jan 13 
+7 @ Philly  (Loss)  JaN 9 
+6 @Boston (cover)  Jan 6
+7.5 @ Miami (loss) Jan 4
-6 @ NEW JERSEY (Cover) Jan 2 
-4 @ Toronto (Cover) DECEMBER 28
dimeplayer68 says:
01/18/12 04:51PM
44-dimes says:
01/18/12 07:53PM

YES YES

doliver517 says:
01/19/12 12:27AM
ODDS?????? You were at one time a Michagander were you not???? I run a fine dining restaurant so I do my capping early in the morning. The Line opened at -8 and I thought "Vegas finally has a clue about this Piston squad"...SO i LAYED OFF, ANTICIPATING A mINNY BLOWOUT BUT 8 WAS TOOOOOO MANY.....well the Stones played well for 24 minutes and led at hf....at that time, I was driving home and stopped at the local shop for a drink to bring home, and while there, the owner says to me cuz he knows I gamble on sports and he has 2 tv's in his store "what r u playing tonight???? I said Atl and Indiana, and now that the Stones are playing well for this half, I will play Minny 2nd hf...he scrambled and said "3rd qtr, or whole 2nd hf"...2nd hf....I can't wait to see him as I will get a free 12 pack I'm sure. WHY WOULDN'T YOU FADE THE PISTONS WITH EVERY OPPORTUNITY???? PLEASE EXPLAIN
doliver517 says:
01/19/12 12:30AM

Many errors in my post...I wasn't lying when I said I stopped at the store...regardless, how can you not find a way to fade the Pistons every game they play???? GL the rest of your season...

ap12moni says:
01/18/12 11:53PM
odds u think over 91.5? 
Sinker2 says:
01/19/12 12:51AM
nice hit on kings
I lost on the pacers

borgata13 says:
01/19/12 10:56AM
Keep up the good work, I had Kings and celtics last night. Toronto is bad. Celtics beat up on bad teams but cannot keep up with good teams. The attitude right now is awful on the team and they are just going through motions. They need a new coach.
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