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!!!! NFL Divisional playoffs !!!!

By oddsbuster | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, January 14, 2012 09:32 AM

18 comments

66-44-2 ytd +378 units...(60.7%)

13-7 POD's +145 units...(65%)

Wildcard thread had a bit of misfortune going 3-3ats netting -16.5 units. You have to go back beyond week 10 to find a losing week in NFL from me before those Widcard games. Here's the Wildcard thread below in which Tim Tebow & the Saints pooped on:

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101232460&page=1

Saturdays action is:

Saints @ 49ers under 47 for 50 units... Don't hear many people talking about the total much. Which is exactly where I see the value with the Saints on the road vs the 49ers . Did you know that 12 of the Saints 17 football games this year were played against the NFL's 19th ranked or worse defenses. Only 2 times all season did the Saints face off vs a top 10 defense ( week#3 at home vs Texans & week 4 @ Jaguars). That road game vs the Jaguars stayed under the suggested total easily as the Saints won 23-10 while the Saints benefited nicely vs the Texans being at home dropping 40 on the Texans (Who's defenses I feel to be over rated). So that's 17 games of football this year while 15 of the Saints opponents have all been ranked outside of the top 10 in defensive yardage allowed. I look at today's game as the Saints will be knocking on 2 doors today:

1.) Playing a defensive team like the 49er's is something the Saints just not seen enough of this year...

2.) Playing that same strong defense on the road will not make any surprises any easier...

On the flip side we get the 49ers offense which ranks just 26th overall in total yards per game @ 310.9 and will be looking to do what they have done all season as they win football games by playing solid defense and killing the clock. The 49ers have played to the under this season at 9-7 with 8 of their past 11 games staying under the total. Today the 47 that has been put on betting boards across different books will be the highest total that a 49er game has seen dating back through 3 and a half years. So yeah I value the under today mightily...POY

I can already see the clock moving...

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18 comments

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luckyly says:

01/14/12 09:42AM

best pick today,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

tomorrow,,,,tx+9 and under,good spot for a 6 pt tease also...

bobby007 says:

01/14/12 09:43AM

AiX says:

01/14/12 09:50AM

On both as well

JJsLocks says:

01/14/12 09:53AM

ravens

fupm says:

01/14/12 10:05AM

go get em OB! Im diggin it!

FUPM

ToyPro says:

01/14/12 10:11AM

Good Luck Odds

fupm says:

01/14/12 10:11AM

I like SF and the UNDER in a teaser just in case I finally need the"moose" to come down the hill and get me in the back door!

I feel the line is set pretty fair and this just might be the game where the Saints find themselves very comfortable allowing them the convenience of playing prevent as the final seconds tick off the clock!

I am not lovin your Ravens play but good luck!

FUPM

CoachE says:

01/14/12 11:08AM

If you didnt actually watch those two games you were talking about then I wouldnt pay much attention to "statistics" as they never tell the whole story. Im not trying to come bashing your picks at all but I watched the Saints/Jaguars game and the Saints could have easily hung 40 on them if they wanted to

PTOTOUR says:

01/14/12 11:19AM

LET'S GET THAT CASH ODDS!

tinoker55 says:

01/14/12 11:32AM

Im all over the Saints and i do believe that the 9 ers are their toughest test yet, but I just dont think they can stop this train today.. GL..

CoachE says:

01/14/12 03:05PM

I agree the smart money is on the 49ers under and im not betting against it. But a lot of the 49ers defensive stats are because they played the NFLs 3rd easiest schedule with 9 of their 16 games against the absolute worst offenses in football (Seahawks twice, Rams twice, Cardinals twice... the Redskins, Bucs, and Browns) Its easy to shut teams like that down. But they best part of your wager is that the 49ers will struggle to put up points against this particular defense. 28-17 type of game and you win. BOL

powerade says:

01/14/12 03:32PM

philycowboyfan9 says:

01/14/12 03:41PM

im on the under my man...

..on other side of ravens bet though...

fupm says:

01/14/12 11:40PM

34 in the 4th.....locked in sf but the under cost me

Crashdavis565 says:

01/14/12 11:46PM

The under was a roller coaster, started good then got real bad. Then it looked like a bad door low scoring second half cover before being decimated in the last couple of minutes.
Better luck

fupm says:

01/15/12 09:35AM

OB I have reconsidered the BALT game and will be locked n loaded!

I believe there is significant value with the real dirty birds at home!

I even think this game may get nasty with a defense that will be very focused at home! All jacked up!

FUPM 2X

fupm says:

01/15/12 09:41AM

Say it loud and say it proud! Start the chant early and often!

"Let's go Ra-vens! Let's go Ra-vens!"

"Fuku-Payme! Fuku-Payme!"

RAVENS and UNDER!

Good luck all!

FUPM 2X

fupm says:

01/15/12 04:26PM

splittin wood again!

BALT and the UNDER!

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Joined:	October 2006
Location:	Ohio
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!!!! NFL Divisional playoffs !!!!

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