Posted Wednesday, November 30, 2011 01:58 PM
Caught a chiller last time out, and yesterday wasn't much better. I expect a nice card tonight. Good luck.Pitt-6 1u-->
Pitt a little under valued here based off some struggles a few weeks ago. This is a local rivalry game on neutral floor. Dukes have guards to try to counter balance Gibbs and Woodall but I think Pitt will dominate the glass (Dukes are -12 on boards). I also think this team will start veering towards the mean of Jamie Dixon type defense. They are not there yet but I think they've had preparation time and plenty of motivation for tonight.Col St -3 1u-->
I think it's fair to say that col state has been a bit disappoint so far, especially ATS. That said, I like them in this rivalry home spot against the buffs. They'll need to control tempo, push the ball and get open looks. They are shooting 44% from 3 so far this year which is top 10 in the NCAA. If they get hot early, this could be a route. Buffs coming off a nice home win this week vs. Georgia. State will have the crowd and the energy and I like them by 5 or 6.
NC St. Pk (see lots on IU?? Wood may not play)
RI-5 (Brown is horrible)
Va Tech +2.5 (I hate betting against Gophers at home in the barn)
Posted Monday, November 28, 2011 07:32 PM
Like a few what I would consider square plays tonight in early season action. Good luck.
Georgia ML (+150) 1u--> Georgia is coming off some travel and has to go to Colorado for a Monday tilt. Georgia has been extremely inconsistent to date as they have young players playing significant roles. They will struggle against good defensive teams this year. But against teams that are average or below defensively (eg. Notre Dame) I think they can have success. Colorado has mediocre talent and they don't play D. I'll take the ML road dog.
Tennessee -1.5 1.5u--> Screams square, but in reality I think backing Tennessee is the right play. The #1 thing Cuonzo Martin is changing w/ the Vols is attitude and effort. He's preaching accountability. Going on the road, after a long trip, to play a mid-major is always a let down spot. But I believe he'll have them ready and the tempo will suit them just fine. They have athletes at all positions, I love the way the PG Golden is playing this year, and they will have a major advantage in the paint. Oakland is young, talented and good at home but they've already been drilled by two SEC teams this year granted those games were not at home. I still will take the Vols.
Weber St. +11 1u--> It's always tough to play St.Mary's on the road coming off a back to back. However, I like the resiliency of this team and ... [More]
Posted Saturday, November 26, 2011 10:37 AM
I like quite a few games today. Short write ups b/c of time. Good luck.
Davidson -6.5 1u--> Davidson is class of the Souther conference. UNC can be tough at home but I think Davidson will be too much with their experience on the front line.
St. Jo's-5 1u--> Love them at home in this spot vs. a bad Penn St. team.
Tulsa +7 1u--> This is just too many points for a decent Tulsa squad. Mizzou St. has put together a few nice wins this year but Tulsa is quality and I'll take the chalk.
TCU+7 1u--> Houston should not be giving anybody 7 points. TCU in revenge spot with the better team. Live dog.
Austin Peay -1.5 1u--> Midd Tenn got them early in the year but I like the Govenors at home. They played Detroit tough last game.
St. Peters +14--> The Peacocks getting 14 is like most teams getting 20. Their pace will be deliberate and the Hall's patience will be put to the test. I like the points.
Posted Wednesday, November 23, 2011 12:09 PM
First post of the season. Play 1 to 5 units with 5 being the big bet. I try to include write ups if I feel strongly about a certain angle. Good luck everyone!
Cham/Tenn Under 150.5 1u---> 3rd game in three days for both teams. I think the defense will be lacking. Tenn still plays with pace and has shooters who can knock down open looks. This is coming down and can be grabbed at 149 currently.
Austin Peay +5 1u---> I follow the Horizon league closely in particular Detroit. Lines makers mailed this in after looking at Peay's record. They are a solid defensive club and will compete for 40 minutes. Detroit is very under whelming defensively but have some good 1 on 1 scorers. They still don't share the ball well and lack consistency on the inside. I like the Governors to cover in a tight one.
Gtown +1 1u--> I've watched Memphis three times this year and what I come away with is a team that has a bunch of good athletes, no great bball players who don't know how to play together. Any opponent that runs a system well, eg. Michigan, will give them fits. Gtown runs the Princeton offense as well as anyone. Memphis is best in a free flow game. Gtown can control pace and the rebounding game in this one. Memphis is far from a finished product and Gtown with their experience in China is closer.
SDSU +7 1u--> These teams match ... [More]