Posted Tuesday, December 07, 2010 03:13 PM
No plays yesterday but went 1-1 on Sunday. I don't have a great feel right now.
Kansas -11 -1u: I think Vegas brought this line in a little too much. I don't think Memphis is much better then UCLA at this point in the season and that line was at 17-18. Kansas played flat in that one. I expect them to come out ready tonight and dominate in the paint. Memphis relies heavily on the 3 (38% of their shots are 3's) and Kansas defends the 3 at under 27%. I think Kansas will win the rebounding battle and keep Memphis off the foul line.
St. Bonnies +14 -1u: Just seems like too many points. Bonnies have been respectable and they have some scoring back. Key will be for them to minimize turnovers and prevent easy baskets.
N. Iowa +3 -1u: N. Iowa's defense prowess gives everyone trouble but I think it will really limit Iowa tonight as they don't have a lot of options and the options they do have are Frosh/Soph. N. Iowa shoots a lot of 3's so I'm betting they'll hit a few tonight.
Utah -11 -1u: Sharpstick and a few other respected MWC cappers on this one. I think Utah at home will win the FT advantage and I just don't think Pepperdine will be able to find enough scoring to stay within the total.
Posted Sunday, December 05, 2010 01:35 PM
44-41-3 $: -3.8u
One of those Saturdays in college hoops where nothing bounced right for me. All there is left to do is fight back.
Locked in:Air Force -3 -1u
: I like this teams ability to shoot the ball from 3 and from the FT line. Their achilles heal is on the boards and Evansville is not strong in this area. I think Evansville's road trip will have them less then sharp. I like AF to cover the 3.Richmond Pk- 1u:
When things are trending the wrong way, I feel better backing teams that I trust to get things turned around. Richmond is consistent and they will play hard, play great defense and they will execute their offense. Arizona St. is 0-6 ATS this year. I'll play the trend and back the better team on the road.
Posted Saturday, December 04, 2010 11:33 AM
Record: 43-35-3 $: +1.3u
Took the day off yesterday to focus on big card today. Lost my POY with Murray St as my angle didn't play out. Short write ups today as I"m limited on time.
Locked in:W. Virg -2.5 -1u: Even with WV struggles at the foul line, I still think this team is strong enough defensively and on the boards to cover this vs. an average team team at home.
VAlpo +5 -1u: Let down game for Loyola coming off tough close loss to Butler. I just like Valpo's ability to score the ball and I believe Loyola will struggle to score in league play. 5pts too much.
Utah St. +8.5 -1u: This Gtown team is ripe for a let down. Their defense was awful vs. Mizzou. Utah St. will play intense team defense and compete for every loose ball and rebound. Give me the team that absolutely has to have a big win.
Murray St. +3.5 -1.5u: I continue to have faith in the Racers in league play. Rivalry game and I think it's a one possession game and Murry St. finds ways to win in conference.
Zags +2 -1u: Illinois has to travel cross country and will meet a hungry Zags team looking for a big win.
Duke -14.5 -1.5u: This is a complete mismatch. Butler does not have the athletes to keep this competitive. The only way Butler stays close is if Duke is impatient offensively and jacks up bad early shots. I think they will be focused and execute.
Bonnies -4 -1u: I like this team at home and I do not think Buffalo is well... [More]
Posted Thursday, December 02, 2010 01:59 PM
Ended 3-3 last night but scratched out +.6u profit. Been grinding the green #'s higher and look to continue that tonight with 1 solid play that is my POY so far.
Murray St -4 -3u: Square play? Maybe, but I'm liking an angle that I've played in the past with success. E. Kentucky has not played a game in 8 days!!! Even before that their last 3 have been against extremely weak competition in Cincinnati Christian, Presbyterian & SIU Edwardsville even losing to the "Blue Hose" at home.
In the mean time, Murry has played Ol' Miss, Stanford, UNLV and Okla St. So to say that Murray St. has faced stiffer competition is the under statement of the year but even at that, the fact that E. Kentucky hasn't even played a real game in 8 days tells me that their is a huge rust factor and a huge jump in competition factor that may well put E. Kentucky out of this game early.
Even against this lower level of comp. E. Kentucky is only shooting 41% and they've been out-rebounded. Murray St. has really struggled to score against the longer, stronger and more athletic big time D1 programs. But tonight, they get back to league play, and their confidence should return in bunches.
This play has an emotional and psychological angle as I just don't see how E. Kentucky can step into a game after an 8 day break and be able to understand and compete with the level of in... [More]
Posted Thursday, December 02, 2010 11:55 AM
Does anybody know what's up with Brooks from Davidson? He hasn't played the last two games but I can't find any info on him.
Posted Wednesday, December 01, 2010 01:29 PM
Hit my only play last night which was my 2.5u play. Even though in the end it probably felt like a for Mizzou backers, I still feel I capped it correctly with Gtown. They were up 18 in the first half. I give Mizzou a ton of credit though, and they will remain one of my top 5 favorite teams to back in 2010. On to a nice card today with lots of action. Keep grinding.
NE +8 -1.5u: Large bet of the evening. My main angle here is that this is a huge look ahead spot for Providence. The Providence Journal's bball article today, even suggests that the Fryors should be gearing up for in-state rival RI on Saturday. NE is a team where 8 points, 4 possessions, is like 12 points, 6 possessions for a lot of teams. Their ability to control tempo and force teams out of their game is definitely their strength and that will be huge against a Prov team that is traditionally undisciplined although they've looked better this year. NE are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. PROV are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Wed. games which I usually wouldn't pay much attention to but Wed stats are important b/c its mid-week preparation coming off a Monday game. Key for NE is to keep Providence off the foul line and make them take contested jump shots. I'll take the 8 points in the look ahead spot.
Det -5 -1u: I continue to back my Horizon league favorites. T... [More]