oilerhoops1420's Blog

Friday Hoops

By oilerhoops1420 | View all Posts
Posted Friday, December 02, 2011 01:24 PM   1 comment
Record: 9-10
$$: -1.2

Nothing to get excited about yet with this slow start.  I have a few plays tonight.

Vandy +8.5 2u--> I grabbed this line last night thinking it would come down to at least 6 but not seeing much movement yet.  I've watched Vandy a lot this year and clearly this is a team that will compete for the SEC title w/ Kentucky but they are missing a key piece with Ezele being injured.  That said, they are facing a Louisville team who has their share of injuries.  Louisville has played great D this year (33% opp FG) but I don't believe they've faced the quality of competition that Vandy has faced.  Vandy has battled tested guards and they can shoot the 3 ball.  I feel like Louisville will have some holes against stiffer competition in terms of their offense as i don't know where they go for buckets when they need one.  It's always risky to fade Patino at home but I like a veteran group getting 8.5 points in a game where I strongly feel they are a live dog.

Georgia/Cincy Under 121.5 1u--> Two teams who really struggle to score is an obvious statement.  Georgia shoots 38% from the floor and Nick Cronin's Bearcats are holding teams to 37.5% from the floor.  Neither team fills it up from deep, although Ga will hoist a few, but with Cincy's 28% 3pt defense I don't see that being an issue.  The Bearcats are atrocious from the foul line coming in at 58%.  Couple these shooting stats with the fact that both teams will play half court, low possession game I like the pace.  Cronin is incessant about preaching defense and I think on the road they'll show up.  Both teams limit turnovers for the most part which also is big in controlling pace and eliminating easy buckets.  Like the under for a unit.

Auburn +8 .5u--> Just a little feeler here as I haven't seen a lot of Auburn so don't have a great eye test feel.  However, I've seen enough of Seton Hall to  know that them giving 8 points to anyone might be a stretch.  The Hall has some weapons but their shot selection continues to be questionable.  They do play a bit better defense then past Hall teams but it's certainly not upper tier.  Auburn is intriguing with the Texas transfer Varez Ward running the show.  They have length and athleticism (blocking 8 shots a game) and they seem to be playing much better defense (33% FG D) albeit against terrible comp so far.  8 points seems a bit much here as I like this game to be low possession and limited 3 pt buckets.  I do worry about Auburn's FT shooting in this one.

No play on Cuse vs. Florida but Florida has the intangibles I like for a road team in a big game getting some points.  Experienced back court, limit turnovers, great 3 pt shooters, well coached, and good defense.  Just can't fade the Orange at home.

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andreagassi6969 says:
12/2/2011 3:08:40 PM
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User: oilerhoops1420
Joined: October 2009
Location: Indiana
Team: Cleveland Browns

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