omygodwin's Blog
Posted Friday, January 13, 2012 03:08 PM
After intense research, I finally figured out why Tebow continues to win.
Matthew 7:7 - "Ask and it will be given to you; seek and you will find; knock and the door will be opened to you."
Matthew 21:22 - "If you believe, you will receive whatever you ask for in prayer."
John 12:14 - "If you ask me anything in my name, I will do it."
I thought, but, not every prayer is answered. Then it dawned on me that, perhaps, for every unanswered prayer, there's actually a prayer on the opposite side being answered at the same time.
That's when it became obvious. Anybody who believes has jumped on the Tebow bandwagon; and most people who don't, hate his guts. Therefore, all the prayers being sent up are for Tebow to win, while there are no opposing ones.
Can't wait to see which Bible verse is referenced in the stats this weekend.
Posted Friday, December 10, 2010 11:20 AM
Bungals +9.5
Browns +1
Skins +2
Bucs/Skins Under 41
Detroit +7
Posted Monday, December 06, 2010 10:43 PM
NC State/WVU Over 48.5Iowa +1Baylor MLNotre Dame +3Wisconsin/TCU Under 56.5Ohio State -3Pitt -2.5Auburn ML
Posted Wednesday, April 14, 2010 11:20 AM
Don't know why I haven't posted this before, I've been playing this game for 10+ years everytime I go to a MLB game with at least one other person (best when you go with 4+ people).
First, you have to determine a "draft order". Normally, I'll just write down a few numbers and put them in a hat and have everyone draw, but it can obviously be done anyway you like. The number everyone gets is their draft position for the home team...it is in reverse order for the away team. For example, if I am attending a game with 3 of my friends for a total of 4 of us and I get 4th pick for the home team, I'm 1st pick for the away team. This is to try and even out the talent as much as possible. Also, if you do have 4 or less players, you can take 2 per team to make almost every at bat (minus the pitcher in nl games) more meaningful...1st gets 1st and 8th picks and 4th gets 4th and 5th etc. A lot of times this is my favorite way to play because it makes every at bat more exciting.
Also, if you go with a total of 5 (or 6 if it is an AL game) people counting yourself, you can also redraw out of the hat for "wild card" draft order where you can draft one more player after both teams are drafted in order to make every at bat interesting. Just up to the discretion of you and your friends how many players are taken.
After the draft order is determined and the players are drafted, the game begins. It is helpful to at least have a piece of paper (I normally do it on the sco... [More]
Posted Thursday, January 07, 2010 12:19 PM
Some stats to consider, just jotting it all down in here so you guys can see and so it's easier for me to look at. I'll have a few posts with stats and information before my pick.
The following stats for both teams are each opponents offensive rushing ypg(rank) and how many yards texas gave up(yards per attempt) to each team.
Texas opponents
Louisiana-Monroe -- 183.9(31) --- 101(2.9)
Wyoming -- 136.2(74) --- 87(2.6)
Texas Tech -- 84(115) --- -6(-0.3)
UTEP -- 151.1(58) --- 9(0.4)
Colorado -- 87.9(113) --- 42(1.2)
Oklahoma -- 134.6(77) --- -16(-0.7)
Missouri -- 127(85) --- 74(2.6)
Oklahoma State -- 187.8(22) --- 134(3.1)
Central Florida -- 130.5(82) --- 75(2)
Baylor -- 100.6(108) --- 6(0.2)
Kansas -- 112.1(101) --- 47(1.8)
Texas A&M -- 184.2(30) --- 190(4.8)
Nebraska -- 147.3(62) --- 67(1.9)
average 73rd ranked rush offense -- 73rd ranked averages 136.8 ypg
Alabama opponents
Virginia Tech -- 208.2(14) --- 64(2.1)
Florida Internationa... [More]
Posted Tuesday, January 05, 2010 04:13 PM
Iowa
7-4 ATS
4-6-1 OU
23.1/15.5 ppg
221.3/109.4 offensive ypg
164.7/122 defensive ypg
86th offense, 10th defense scoring
51 SOS, 2-1 vs top 30
6-1 ATS last 7 games following ATS loss
4-1 ATS last 5 bowl games, last 5 non-conference games, last 5 neutral site games, last 5 bowl games as an underdog
36-17 ATS last 53 games as an underdog
10-3 ATS vs a team with a winning record
under is 13-3-1 last 17 non-conference games
under is 4-1 last 5 vs team with winning record
under is 11-3-1 last 15 games as an underdog
under is 7-3-1 last 11 games on grass
Started 9-0, led 10-0 against Northwestern when Stanzi was injured, eventually losing 17-10
I really don't care about this bowl game, so I'm trying to get a good angle on it in order to lay some big money to get me more pumped for the game tonight. Both teams have been good ATS this year, with Iowa going 7-4 and GT going 8-4. Iowa's schedule strength is 55th, going 2-1 vs top 30 teams while GT's is 22nd, going 4-2 vs the top 30. Iowa combines for a little more than 330 yards of total offense per game, while GT comes close to that in rushing alone, average 307 ypg on the ground. However, Iowa has a very talented defense, being 10th in the nation in scoring and 11th in the nation in total ypg against them. In contrast, GT's offense is 11th in scoring and ranks 2nd in the nation in ...
[More]
Posted Monday, December 28, 2009 02:46 PM
Probably going to lay off the side in this game. There are a lot of convincing trends for the Vikings, but a few scare me off. In their last 10 games in December, the Vikings are 2-8 ATS, and we all know Favre's performance the past 2 Decembers. Also, the home team is 8-2 ATS in these two teams last 10 meetings. Biggest one that scares me off is Chicago is 7-1 SU their last 8 games at home against Minnesota. If I were to play a side, I would probably go for the Chicago ML based on this stat and the play of Favre lately.
I do like the O/U play though. First off, we all know about the controversy last week and how Childress doesn't want Favre to change the play at the line. I believe that even with the box stacked, Favre will not opt to a different play to prove a point. Don't get me wrong, Peterson will get his yards, since he averages over 100 ypg against Chicago in his career with a 224 yard game at Soldier Field in 2007. I just believe that with them wanting AD to get his yards combined with the cold weather, this game will turn slow quickly. They have combined for a 10-18 O/U record this year, along with a bunch of other trends I will post in a minute.
Minnesota/Chicago "Under" 41.5
Posted Monday, December 28, 2009 12:17 AM
Going to have an ongoing thread to mix it up. Cold right now, as I went 0-2 tonight with my big 2 unit play busting on Kentucky. Let's hope it turns around quickly, starting tomorrow.
Independence Bowl
Really liking Georgia in this matchup. The Bulldogs have won 12 out of their last 15 bowl games, while Texas A&M has lost 10 out of 12. TAM's D has been awful all year long, giving up 32.7 ppg and 400+ yards. Georgia is 3-3 against the top 30 this year, while having the 2nd toughest schedule in the nation. The Aggies on the other hand are 0-3 against top 30. TAM got pounded by the only other SEC team they faced this year, losing 47-19 at Arkansas. The over looks pretty tasty also, but I think I'll lay off it. Georgia's defense could be hyped up after the firing of their D-Coordinator, and TAM won't have much to game-plan against defensively. Also scares me off the over seeing that Georgia has averaged 252 ypg on the ground their last 4; hard to go over a 60+ total running the ball that often. AJ Green is back though, hmm.... I'll have to think about this total. Thoughts are welcome guys, GL.
Georgia -6.5
...
[More]
Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 12:29 AM
1-1 on the bowl season, thought BC played well enough last night to cover the 7.5, that fumble in the red zone hurt bad, along with the missed extra point. Also didn't agree with the catch rule on USC's second touchdown drive, he caught the ball after his foot left the ground.
Onto the Music City Bowl. Loving Kentucky in this game. A lot of trends pointing their way. First, Kentucky is 3-1 on the road with a 4-0 ATS record, while Clemson is 2-3 with a 3-2 ATS record. I'll list the other trends in a minute. Only common game was against South Carolina on the road - Kentucky lost by 2, Clemson by 17. Only thing that scares me is Kentucky's D against the run, as they give up over 180 ypg. Could be a field day for Spiller, let's just hope Kentucky can put up some points with them and hang around. Liking the over a little too. Clemson's last 5 have gone over the total .
Kentucky +7 (-113) - 2 units
Kentucky/Clemson "Over" 52 (-114) - 1 unit
Posted Tuesday, November 10, 2009 11:52 AM
2-1-1 yesterday, +1.8 units. Really thought Toronto was going to cover the +7, got the dreaded M word....Manu'd. Good comeback at the very end to get the push however.
Overall15-12+4.72 units
On to Tuesdays games
3 unit play Portland -6
2 unit play Houston +6.5 (-102)
1 unit play Oklahoma City -1.5 (-104)
...
[More]
Posted Monday, November 09, 2009 11:14 AM
3 unit plays
Toronto +7
New Orleans +1
2 unit play
Minnesota +7
1 unit play
New York +5.5 even
Posted Friday, November 06, 2009 01:56 PM
Went 1-1 yesterday, making me -0.10 units. Going to try and rate my plays by confidence/strength in my opinion so I can possibly win on nights like last night, as I was more confident in the Utah game. A lot of games tonight + me not having anything to do = a lot of action...Mayyybe not a good thing, but hope so.
4 unit play Detroit +13 (-106)
3 unit plays Indiana -1 Denver +1 (-105)
2 unit plays Atlanta -2 Philadelphia -12 Boston -10.5 (-103) Toronto +5 (-106) LA Lakers -10 (-102)
1 unit plays Cleveland -8 Golden State -4.5 (-102)
10 Plays out of 13 games, way to many, but as I learn, I will cut down on the number of games I play. Might take a hit at the beginning here with too many plays, but hope to turn it around in a couple weeks if so. Let's hope I don't have to turn anything around though . GL all.
...
[More]
Posted Thursday, November 05, 2009 06:22 PM
Does it crack anyone else in here up as much as it does me when people say they are up "1000" units, or something ridiculous like that? IMO winning percentage is what matters most, I could theoretically make a name and claim to bet on 2 games tonight, 1 betting 1000 units, the other betting just 1. If the 1000 unit game hits and the other doesn't, I'm almost up 1000 units on the year!!!! 1-1 is 50%, a losing record when betting lines with juice. Come on people, I understand that you are more confident in some wagers than other, but this BS about putting 20+ units on a game is ridiculous. I can live with the 1-5 unit strength/confidence, but seriously.... If you were actually wagering to earn money in the long run, you would have a normal wager size somewhere between 2-5% of your bankroll. That would mean that you would be wagering 40-100% of your ENTIRE BANKROLL on ONE GAME! Sorry to rant, but units mean nothing, records speak for themselves.
GL to all tonight, lets win some
Posted Thursday, October 15, 2009 07:09 PM
Not a good week last week, went 10-12 and finished 4.48 units in the hole for my first losing week this season. On to this week's games, all plays are 2 units unless stated otherwise.
Cincinnati -2 (+101) 1 unitPittsburgh -3 (-101) placed ThursdayPurdue +14 (-110)Ball State +3 (-103)Michigan State -14 (-110)Wisconsin -2.5 (-102)Baylor +1 (+103)Vanderbilt +7.5 (-102)Temple -10.5 (-103)Western Michigan +7 (-111)Penn State -17 (-110)Tulane +17 (-107)TCU -22 (-104)Hawaii +8 (-110)San Diego St. +17 (-110)Stanford +4.5 (-104)Connecticut -13 (-104)Arizona State -6.5 (-106)Florida International +9.5 (-104)
and to all this week...
[More]