Posted Friday, November 06, 2009 12:33 AM
Can Boise St cover the e score spread ? Opened -20 up to -22.5 in some spots. Boise has been looking feirce and powerful.
Louisiana Tech has covered 4 out of 5 at home vs Boise in last 5 meetings. Is there any thoughts on this line being over inflated here or are people thinking Boise will run away with it even sans the smurf turf? Seems like a big number.
La tech has played 3 games at home averaging 40 pts 515 yards while keeping their opponents to 8.7 points and less than 250 yards.HOWEVER those foes were Nicholas St, Hiawaii, and New Mexico St------nobody to really care about. Boise comes into town on a mission. They are trying to get the best chance of a better bcs bowl and will try to beat La Tech by as many "style points" they can.
Boise on the road has been averaging 45.7 points with a QB percentage of nearly 70% !! Rushing for 6.5 yds per carry and throwing for over 10 yrds per pass. Imo they havent played anyone decent either but should handle LA Tech on their road to better bcs bowl.
My question to the covers community is can Boise cover the 22 or 23 point spread or is Louisana Tech a value play catching 3+ scores at home with a chance to show everyone something on friday night prime time?? I lean towards Boise What about you?
Posted Friday, October 30, 2009 11:49 PM
OK so what is the deal on this one? I'll start out saying my first inclanation on this game when the line game out was Kansas. I guess my first thought had a lot to do with looking only at last week which any decent capper knows is WRONG.
Imo KU played very well in their loss to Oklahoma. I was on the right side with the sooners but KU undoubablly played better than I thought.
On the other hand I dunno if anyone could have predicted the beat down that A & M handed tech.
So intially seems like maybe a good time to fade Tech and play KU?? Not so sure know with the FAT LITTLE GIRLFRIEND speech.
With Mike Lynch calling out his players and all the media hype and working their asses of this week I kinda have to lean towards Tech in this spot. Do you think teh will respond and come out fired up and lay it to the Jayhawks or will we see Tech play poor again and have another turnover fest and Kansas play up to the level they played Okie? Not sure But I do know that in their embarrasment from the aggies tech still managed to put up over 500 yards, and if they stay away from the mistakes I think they will be able to run away with this one. Kinda feel Kansas mighta brought all they had in their loss to the sooners??
One thing is for sure TECH will be ready. ( I am gonna go against my first thought on this game and look further into Texas Tech in a rout.
Anybody with me? If not please explain
Posted Friday, October 30, 2009 12:42 AM
Louisville opened -4.5 and has been steadily bet down -4 -3.5 -3 and now i see -2.5?? I took louisville at -3 (2u)and now i ask should I buy them again for more at -2.5 or is there something to Arkansas st??
Both teams are kinda putride this year but imo louisville has played a tougher schedule so far.
Louis ville has played well with tougher competition Kentucky, Utah,Pitt, So Miss,Uconn
Arkansas st has played Iowa close then----Nebraska, troy La Monroe, Fla international,
Louisville cleaarly has better power ranking
Louisville home offensivlely (21.7pts) (4.8 ypr) (6.2ypp) Def (22.7pts) (3.3ypr) (4.8ypp) against better teams than Ark st
Arkansas st on the road offensively(13.3pts) (2.3ypr) (4.2ypp) Def (26pts) (3.8ypr) (6.4ypp)
Is there something here i am missing? Imo louisville clearly has and edge against the hapless Arkansas St, they'll have the home fans in this one.
Louisville schedule only gets harder after this game as they still have W.Virgina, Cuse, S.florida, Rutgers while Arkansas St will face La Lafayette, Flo Atlantic, Midd Tenn St, and N. Texas
Is this not a value play Louisville (-2.5)??
Louisville -3 (2u)
Louisville -2.5(5u)
Any thoughts??? Why the love for Arkansas St
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Posted Thursday, October 15, 2009 11:45 PM
how is iowa st favored over baylor? Ok so neither team is worth the time to even eatch unless you are a fan of there program. To the rest of us just looking to find an edge in the betting marketplace I see value here on the Baylor Bears.
Baylor 3-2 su 3-2 ats
Iowa 3-3 su 3-2 ats
Baylor power rankings 33.4 Iowa power ranking 26.7
Baylor @ wake forest W 24-21 (-2.5)
Baylor vs conn L 22-30 (-10.5)
baylor vs Northwestern st W 68-13(-37.5)
Baylor vs Kent st W 31-15 (-22.5)
Baylor @ Oklahoma L 7-33 (28)
Iowa st vs North dakota st W 34-17 (no line)
Iowa st Iowa L 3-35 (6.5)
Iowa st @ Kent st W 34-14 (-3)
Iowa st vs Army W 31-10 (-10.5)
Iowa st vs Kansas st L 23-24 (-3)
Iowa st @ Kansas L 36-41 (19.5)
10/11/2008 Iowa st @ Baylor L 10-38
why would Iowa st...
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Posted Wednesday, October 14, 2009 12:13 AM
Someone please help explain how wisc is favored over iowa? Iowa imo has played a tougher schedule so far. Iowa 3-2 ats with wins @pennst vs airzona and mich. Wisc is 2-4 ats with looses to n illinois and fresno. Wisc has had 12 turnovers so far. Wisc does have the advantage running the ball with some impressive numbers on the ground but Iowa has been stout in their run defense.The Hawkeyes themselves put up over 163 yards rushing against Penn st which imo has better rush defense than the badgers.Iowa has forced 21 turnovers in their past 5 games while only turning the ball over 10 times. Statistically Iowa has a power rating that would put the line somewhere in the area of Iowa -4 to -7 yet the line comes in at wisc -3 ?? Iowa 2-0 over wisc last 2 seasons. I know the badgers fans will be fired up this weekend in camp randell but is the home edge enough to warrant a -3 number____ i dont think so. I see value here with a better team listed as an underdog in a siuation where wisc just tried their best to get up for ohio st and fell pretty short while iowa comes off a strong (but close) win against mich with a chance to run the table and go undefeated. The points are an early christmas gift. Take the points take the moneyline take the Hawkeyes as they are in route to an undefeated season . The wrong team is favored and its time to cash in . Any insight and opinions are greatly appreciated
IOWA +3 (BIG)
houston -17
oklahoma +3.5
virginia -...
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