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take a look at BOISE ST can they cover 21 or 22 or 35 for that matter?

By paintguy | View all Posts
Posted Friday, November 06, 2009 12:33 AM   23 comments

Can Boise St cover the e score spread ? Opened -20 up to -22.5 in some spots. Boise has been looking feirce and powerful.

Louisiana Tech has covered 4 out of 5 at home vs Boise in last 5 meetings. Is there any thoughts on this line being over inflated here or are people thinking Boise will run away with it even sans the smurf turf? Seems like a big number.

La tech has played 3 games at home averaging 40 pts 515 yards while keeping their opponents to 8.7 points and less than 250 yards.HOWEVER those foes were Nicholas St, Hiawaii, and New Mexico St------nobody to really care about. Boise comes into town on a mission. They are trying to get the best chance of a better bcs bowl and will try to beat La Tech by as many "style points" they can.

Boise on the road has been averaging 45.7 points with a QB percentage of nearly 70% !! Rushing for 6.5 yds per carry and throwing for over 10 yrds per pass. Imo they havent played anyone decent either but should handle LA Tech on their road to better bcs bowl.

My question to the covers community is can Boise cover the 22 or 23 point spread or is Louisana Tech a value play catching 3+ scores at home with a chance to show everyone something on friday night prime time?? I lean towards Boise  What about you?

23 comments
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tiasman says:
11/06/09 12:35AM
I am on Boise - 21.  GL 
Zoot says:
11/06/09 12:43AM
Boise's cupcake schedule isnt their fault.
no one wants to play them. they beat Oregon 2 years in a row.
slomotion says:
11/06/09 12:55AM

 

It's not that no one wants to play them because they are good. It's because that it is a no win situation for any elite team. An elite team plays them and wins, it's expected and figure as no big deal. If they play them and lose, that team losses alot of respect as compared to loseing to an elite team because Boise St is looked apon as not an elite team. JMO 

paintguy says:
11/06/09 12:55AM

 leaning boise but so true about their schedule. After the oregon game they havent played anyone worthy. Wouldnt it mean a ton for la Tech to play their hearts out and step up? They hear all yhe hype Boise has been getting and Im sure they dont want to get disrespected ....but I still lean to boise...i just wish it was on the blue smurf turf.

paintguy says:
11/06/09 01:12AM
maybe the over total is safer play??? there will be scoring
guyhi says:
11/06/09 01:41AM

How do ya think Boise would fair against LSU, USC, Florida, or Texas?

 

ricardo_am says:
11/06/09 01:48AM
the thing is that they are not playing either lsu , usc , florida or texas...they are playing against LA Tech , so be it -21...

GL , small play on them, plenty of action on saturday...
paintguy says:
11/06/09 08:54AM

I dont think boise would win in any of these. IMO the lines would look something like

Lsu- 7

Usc-6

Florida-13

Texas-9.5

just my opinion. Dont think Boise would be close in any of them. Maybe the closest they would get would be a touchdown loss.

They have really had a very week schedule and havent played any top tier defernse as you listed above. I do think that that blue home field does add value to any Bosie game however.

woody7777 says:
11/06/09 09:13AM

Boise cant help they're in a shitty conference.  They try to play any team, but no one will play them. 

BW - Oregon is a quality team and the fact is Boise DID beat them.  I guess the quality win against Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl a couple of years ago doesn't mean anything to you?  Give them the respect they deserve

Marine0341 says:
11/06/09 09:15AM

 

You are on every single page bashing Boise like they raped your mother, They are a great team that everyone hates b/c they come out of the WAC with no strength schedual but maybe 2 ranked teams. There isnt anything they can do about that until they move confrences (I think we all agree to that) They should be moved to the PAC-10 or simular. I myself am a fan but by no ties at all to the school just love the that team for a lot of different reasons. If you ask me do you think they would beat LSU at LSU no its hard enough for FLorida to go there and beat LSU on their own turf, I think it would be a great game if LSU went to Boise though WOW that would be something, wont ever happen though. To me I think Boise is ranked around 8 or 9, the SEC is the toughest confrence period, Florida, LSU, and Bama are great teams this year. Tennessee is getting a lot better should be a great top 15 team next year...Im getting of track now though.

I just hate people bashing them so damn much, oh and if they played Oregon again Boise would beat them again, how can you say "Oregon is better now! Boise should lose now!" Well I think Boise is looking shit how now compaired to then. anyways not here poking at you man just give them credit for showing themselves as a really good team, they should really go to a new confrence but until then Go Boise!

Marine0341 says:
11/06/09 09:18AM

I think boise is looking shit hot now! sorry....

 

oh and tonight I'm not betting on this game would rather take the over

cannesKID says:
11/06/09 09:26AM


Woopie
gatrz9913 says:
11/06/09 09:27AM
Boise St. -20  
RobK45 says:
11/06/09 09:30AM
I like boise at anything under 21. This is their last real chance to accumulate some style points, for a National audience. I'm really liking the idea of teasing Boise -14, and Over 43 also
Marine0341 says:
11/06/09 09:37AM

 

That sounds like a win to me

jeffjames says:
11/06/09 10:49AM
over is good play past meetings say take la tek no question
7B987DE2B97C4842B03CD6F396B259D9 says:
11/06/09 12:51PM
Bowl prediction TCU - Alabama or TCU Boise repeate where TCU beat them last yr
Nikoli11 says:
11/06/09 02:01PM
I took Boise -21 for fifty bucks. haha im a small timer but been doing good this year. Oh yea I also put up 100 bucks on the over, got it at 50. I bet small and try to build up my account hoping one day i could at least bet 500 a game. Last week my lock was da bears an ravens parlay
ETexas007 says:
11/06/09 04:07PM
Boise is trying to prove they are a good team and they are so far. But tonight we have prime time and LA Tech knows that. They are going to play their best game tonight. No they won't win, but the bettors question is can they score? If you feel like I do, they will score at least 24 points while Boise will score 45. OK give 21.5 points and I take LA Tech tonight.
bigbozo says:
11/06/09 05:27PM
Paintguy,

This is a very tough game to handicap because there are pluses and minuses on both sides. LT has not lost at home or won on the road and are coming off a heartbreak loss to Idaho when then they missed a FG in the last seconds. They are also banged up with their two best players Porter and Rivas ouchy!

Boise St is trying to gain more respect coming off a misleading score ly vs San Jose st. They were only up 10-7 with a minute to play but got a break by the refs and scored 2 TD's to lead 24-7. Then leading 31-7, they didn't take a knee but scored another TD to run up the score and to cover the spread in the last minute. Very misleading final.

If LT can recover from teh HB loss ly and Porter and Rivas can play, the 21 at home seems like it is worth a shot. Otherwise, if those two guys can't contribute, then the under looks good as they havelayed pretty good defense at home and only lost 38-3 ly at Boise. Still debating pulling the trigger and it won't be on Boise St.

RecordHolder10 says:
11/06/09 06:12PM
I would like to say something for the first time.....

La Tech +21 and the Under

History has seen La Tech keep games close at home and they are playing their best ball this season at HOME. Watch this set up game.....everyone is talking "style points" for Boise State but these 22 guys have to play this game and Proud will show it's face tonite...Just a thought of an observer from the sidelines! GL to all

rio11 says:
11/06/09 06:41PM
exactly la tech hasent played anybody like boise's defense i see a blow out
RecordHolder10 says:
11/06/09 11:24PM
La Tech covered and the OVER was the best call of the night!!
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User: paintguy
Joined: October 2009
Location: United States
Team: Kansas City Chiefs
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