Posted Saturday, March 29, 2008 06:25 PM
Well, I got greedy and lost my parlay because I had ATL -3.5, instead of the ML. I'm just gonna start taking ML's from now on, if I can only get it to as low as -4 by buying points. Stop being greedy!!!
I analyzed three games today:
Phx -7 @ NJ, 219 --> I have this game capped Suns -6 based off season stats, but off recent stats, this is very close. I defer to NBAstuffer.com for their insight, and they have a 107-99 Phx win. However, my totals have the game between 211.5 - 217.7. NJ is a hell of a team to deal with at home, but Phoenix is playing some terrific ball right now...and I don't know who can stop Amara/Shaq from scoring instead all night.
Phx -7, over 219
Mil @ Chi -10, 208.5 --> Both of these teams suffer from having terrible coaches. Bogut is out for the Bucks, taking away 14-18 inside points and 10-12 rebounds. The Bulls should be able to dominate inside, but I fear of their full quarter collapses. What I'll cash in on again, is the totals play. The highest total I get is 198 in any scenario.
Under 208.5
GS @ Den -7.5, 239 --> Holy totals Batman! NBA Stuffer has this game going 113-109 Denver. I have Den 114 - GS 110. I hate going against them as they're 68% on sides. Their totals leave a lot to be desired. My problem is that Denver always has a big let down in the 1H defensively. They don't ev...
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