phark's Blog
Posted Sunday, February 03, 2013 04:22 PM
Rolling with:
Ravens +4.5
Ravens ML
Ravens TT O 20.5 (-145)
Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 07:35 PM
NFL YTD- 46-42-1
Playoffs- 6-3
Not quite sure of my play on the game so far, I am locked in and rolling with:
Atlanta +3 1H- I am still capping this game, been tough. Getting 4 points at home is very enticing, however Young Running Qb's have gashed Atlanta this year- RG3 injured vs Falcons (1 rush, 7 yards). In Atlanta’s other gms vs young running QBs (Newton 2 gms; Wilson 1 gm): 26 rushes for 269 yards
I think Atlanta hangs close if not has the lead by Halftime, would not shock me if SF pulls away in 2H. Still Capping.
Posted Sunday, January 13, 2013 11:21 AM
NFL YTD- 44-40-2
NFL Playoffs- 4-1
Rolling with:
Atlanta -2.5 (hook)- I have adopted Seattle as my other team as my Eagles blow billygoats. Been a huge fan of Russell Wilson since his days as a Frosh at NCST. However I am going the other side. I do think Seattle secondary matches up well today against ATL. I am factoring a few things in here, I think the travel is a bit much for Seattle and the pass rush is absent its best DL. Matt Ryan gets the monkey off his back.
Houston +10- Joe Public is going to make this line higher come game time as they will watch their Seattle tickets burn in the early game. I talked to a book today who told me he can count on 1 hand the # of bets on Houston, overwhelming amount on NE. Vegas is not this dumb, they overinflated this line by at least 5 pts here. Seriously making a 13 win team a double digit dog??? C'mon man...Don't be afraid to sprinkle a little ML action here on Texans. Last time NE played Houston, Texans were on its 3rd straight road game , take the pts...
GL Fellas
Posted Friday, January 11, 2013 06:40 PM
NBA YTD- 7-7 (A big FU to Miami for collapsing the 2h last night)
Rolling with:
SA/ Memphis O 188
LAL +6 ( Lets see if they F#ck me again #mostelikely)
Charlotte +8
Posted Thursday, January 10, 2013 12:18 PM
NBA YTD- 7-6
Small Card, but really like:
Miami -3 BIG
Posted Monday, January 07, 2013 01:27 PM
NCAAF YTD- 65-53-1
Bowls- 14-12-2
GOY- 3-1
Been an interesting year to say the least, last Game Oklahoma folded like a cheap tent..Johnny Football is that damn good. On to tonight...
Rolling with:
Alabama -9.5- I have thought this through time and time again, I did lots of overthinking in my Kst/Oregon analysis, and switched, did that earlier with this game. NOT going to happen again, bottom line I think this comes down in the 2H when Bama capitalizes on some mistakes by the Irish, Too much speed on Bama and Saban has been there done that in this game. I like what Brian Kelly has done this year with the Program, however I see a 28-13 type game...
GL Fellas
Posted Sunday, January 06, 2013 12:56 PM
NBA YTD- 5-5
OKC/Tor O 196.5
Char/ Det O 194
LAL -4
GL Fellas
Posted Saturday, January 05, 2013 12:24 PM
NFL YTD- 37-39-2
Rough week last week, lost a few picks by hook and a point,
This weekend start it off , rolling with:
GB -7 (hook)
GB -7.5- Have em at both lines. I know this is a square bet, however this game falls into my hat trick of angles- Revenge, In-Division, Dome team in cold weather on grass. Do you really think GB is going to loose this game at home in the playoffs? My answer is no, I have GB locked in a few teasers from Ville and Stanford , so that is at -2, which I am really comfortable with. Well I am betting on Aaron Rodgers and against that stiff Christian Ponder.
Cinncy +4.5- I was a huge believer in Texans beginning of the year, after watching several games, especially the last 1/2 dozen, I have lost faith, and I think the team is questioning themselves. If it was not for a Jim Schwartz bozo mistake, I think they loose 4 of last 6 and only beat a Shitty Tenn. team handly. I will take the points with Cinny who is trying to also REVENGE a playoff loss last year.
Cinncy 11.5 and GB -.5- Not a huge teaser guy, but is sweet.
Posted Friday, January 04, 2013 06:54 PM
NBA YTD- 3-4
Rolling with:
Tor -7
LAC -4
Hou/Milw O 214
Posted Friday, January 04, 2013 06:04 PM
NCAAF YTD- 65-52-1
Bowls- 14-11-2
GOY- 3-1
Solid night indeed last night 2-1 and doubled down on the under, so in the green
Tonight, Rolling with:
Oklahoma +3.5 (hook)
GL Fellas
Posted Thursday, January 03, 2013 06:45 PM
NBA YTD- 3-3
Small Card, Rolling with 1 play- SA +1
Posted Thursday, January 03, 2013 01:18 PM
NCAAF YTD- 63-51-4
Bowls- 12-10-2
GOY- 3-1
Solid night indeed last night with Ville +14.5 and Ville 1H, my book did not allow ML, I am sure I would of been good for a small bet.
Tonight:
Rolling with the Under of 75 and Kst +9.5
Too many points vs a quality team. I am fan of the Quack Attack Offense, however it is not the same team outside of Eugene. Kst gone 5-0-1 ATS this season against foes with a winning record.The Ducks are a money-making 21-16 ATS as the fav. over the last two-plus seasons, but nearly half of their seven losses have come at a neutral site under head coach Chip Kelly. I really think its inevitable that Kelly is leaving to go to the NFL, especially with sanctions looming, I also think his team knows it.
Kansas State is also 6-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points in its last eight opportunities. Also factoring in the Kst leads the nation in turnover ratio +21, you cant simply ignore that.
GL Fellas
Posted Wednesday, January 02, 2013 02:26 PM
Been on Covers/ Wagerline for over 10 years, time to post some of my hoops plays when I strictly used to post in NFL/NCAAF
6 pack of picks, Rolling with:
Portland +4.5- The Portland Trailblazers are 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven meetings with Toronto.
Memphis -3.5- Taking this based off the info I received that Rondo is Doubtful tonight.
Dal/ Mia U 202
Philly/ Phx O 194.5- Both teams should score over 100 pts.
G.S. +1.5- Going on a hunch here, LAC a little zip out of their step from their streak ending..
G.S./ LAC O 200- Both teams to score over 100 IMO
GL
Posted Wednesday, January 02, 2013 02:06 PM
NCAAF YTD- 61-51-4
Bowls - 10-10-2
GOY- 3-1 ( Hit BIG yesterday with Georgia)
Hit BIG yesterday with my top bowl play in Georgia, pushed on the Over in NW/Missst and Pushed on Michigan, won on Stanford, and got hosed with NIU (officials in Michigan and NIU game were terrible)
Tonight, I am rolling with:
Louisville +14.5
Louisville +7.5 1H
I think getting that .5 on the 14 is pretty big. Florida offensively stinks, don't like Driskel at all, Defensively, they could be the best in the country. Florida does play down to their competition, just look at game vs Bowling Green, La Laf, etc. Florida is a solid 2H team so I would not be shocked to see Louisville up at the half. Bottom line, too many points for me to lay with a docile offense.
GL
Posted Tuesday, January 01, 2013 12:16 PM
NCAAF YTD-59-50-2
Bowls- 8-9
GOY- 2-1
NW/Miss St Over 54
UGA -8 (TOP PLAY/GOY)- I am a huge Huskers fan, I know this team well, the fact is they are not a very good team at all. Frankly I think they stink...UGA comes in this game 1 play away from National Championship game, so I question slightly how "motivated" they are. I think they gash Nebraska left and right... UGA by 20 points
Michigan +5-
NIU +14
Posted Sunday, December 30, 2012 11:57 AM
NFL YTD- 35-34-2
Rolling with:
Philly +7 (hook) , should of bought it earlier to get 7.5
Sea/Stl Over 42- I would not be shocked to see Seattle gobble up 35 Plus points themselves, No hotter team in the NFL.
GB -3- Lots of respected peeps on Minny here, I understand why, I do, however there is no hotter team in the NFL.
Posted Saturday, December 29, 2012 11:42 AM
NCAAF YTD-58-48-2
Bowls- 7-7
GOY- 2-1
Rolling with:
Rice +1 / ML- choose your weapon. I think Rice is the better team by nearly a TD..
Posted Thursday, December 27, 2012 12:27 PM
NCAAF YTD- 58-45-2
Bowls- 7-4
GOY- 2-1
Today I am not in love with anything however going to play 2 games...
SJSU/BG over 22 1H
UCLA -2.5 (hook)
Duke +9.5
Got a little cold past 2 bowl games as I got wrong reads and frankly that fucking pisses me off.
Posted Monday, December 24, 2012 11:14 AM
NCAAF YTD ATS- 58-44-2
Bowls ATS- 7-3
GOY- 2-1
Rolling with Fresno -12- I know the intangibles of June Jones going back to his stomping grounds etc, blah blah. It does carry some value, however players play, and coaches coach. I look at one glaring factor here which is SOS- strength of schedule. Fresno's 3 losses are less than 10ppg, and one of those was in Eugene vs The Ducks. I think you see a motivated Fresno team here. I lay the points...
GL men.
Posted Sunday, December 23, 2012 11:59 AM
NFL YTD- 33-31-2
Rolling with:
NYG -1.5- I was one of the schmucks thinking Ravens were in a good spot last week, I think they are done. NYG/ Coughlin off a double digit loss are over 70% ATS the next week.
Hou -8- I have been on the Texans all year, I still think they are going to the SB. They have been suspect against the pass of late, however Vikings and that mope Ponder don't throw the ball down the field. Houston by double digits here..
Posted Saturday, December 22, 2012 11:42 AM
NCAAF YTD- 56-42-3 GOY- 2-1
Bowls - 5-2
Today Rolling with:
Washington +5
Washington ML
ECU +7.5 (hook)
ECU Over 68- should of locked in at 65 when I had the chance.
GL Men
Posted Sunday, December 16, 2012 12:29 AM
NFL- 30-28-2
Rolling with:
Carolina +3.5 (hook) -Teams having played Pittsburgh the week before are horrible ATS. I have zero faith in Chargers, who are equivalent to the Eagles, which is garbage.
Tampa +4- Really like em in this spot, NO defense is the biggest joke in the NFL and Brees has been pedestrian last few weeks. I will take the points in a divisional game.
Pitt -2- Like the spot, and Dallas is a phoney
Houston -9, Is up to -10, might be up even more by gametime . When Houston got stomped by Pats, I said to myself, going to unload on Texans next week after playing 3 straight road games. I think they win by 17 plus, #statementgame
GL Men
Posted Saturday, December 15, 2012 12:53 PM
Keep this short and sweet, will post record later..
Toldeo/ Utah St Under 60
Nevada/ Zona Over 79
GL Men
Posted Thursday, December 13, 2012 06:37 PM
NFL YTD- 28-28-2
Tonight I locked in on Cinncy -4, and I took ML- Being a die hard Eagles fan, I know this team pretty well, would not surprise me if they won this game, however my instinct tells me the leagues best past rush vs a back up offensive line will be the x-factor. Eagles yet again are the leagues biggest disappointment along with the Chargers.
GL Men
Posted Thursday, December 06, 2012 07:55 PM
Home underdogs getting MORE than 8-points are 21-1 ATS last 22! ()
Locked in on Raiders +10.5
Over 48
Raiders TT over 19
Den TT over 29