psic's Blog
Posted Monday, March 23, 2009 09:59 PM
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Posted Wednesday, October 08, 2008 04:56 PM
One of the questions I get the most is about halftimes....and believe me if you master halftimes, you may consider not making a bet until the half.
Halftime wagers are great for nailing middles as well as protecting what could be a bad bet and I want to share with everyone 2 situations that you should look for and these two are all you need to make good money betting at the half.
Situation #1 - The Underdog is leading at the half and the Favorite gets a "cheap line"
Lets say that Team A is a 7 point favorite and is trailing by 10 at the half. For a team like this, the favorite, the line should be close to the original spread or higher if the powers that be creating halftimes believe that this team is going to make a run.
If the game were tied, as a bare minimum they would have to be at least -4 (just over half the original spread.) Most of the time, in our above scenario, you'll see a line of -7 to -10, or higher at the half but lets suppose you see -3. Think about the logic....you've bet a team at -7 and they are down by 10 at half so the friendly sportsbook feels so bad for you that you're losing your wager they want to give you .a chance to get your money back...right? I mean who wouldn't want to take a team that was -7 and bet them at +7.....that's basically what a -3 halftime would equate to. Do you really think, especially if the public has heavily bet the favorite, tha...
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Posted Friday, September 26, 2008 04:29 PM
9/26/08 - One of the ways that I handicap NCAA Football is using a
formula given to me by a prominent line maker in my casino biz days and
I calculate what the lines SHOULD be. Then when the lines are off by a
significant amount ( 4 or more points) combined with other factors
like strong public betting on what appears to be an "easy" line we
usually have a good play.
Each week I'll post the F'd up line of the week. Hopefully we can all make some money
9/27/08 - The Play.....Illinois +15.5.....Penn
State should have been -27 but instead the opened just below a key
number at -13.5 and it sure looks easy to take Penn State. It's
either christmas in September or somehow Illinois finds a way to make
this a game. Close your eyes and take the Illini.
Posted Wednesday, September 10, 2008 02:24 AM
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Posted Monday, September 08, 2008 04:50 PM
Looked like we were in the clear and the late inning explosion did us in. Let's get back on track today.
9/6/08 - Saturdays Play
NYY/ Seattle UNDER 9.5
9/8/08 - Todays Play
Cleveland / Baltimore OVER 10.5
Under / Overs YTD 2-1....Overall 22-12 +6 Units or $600 when risking $100 on each
Posted Saturday, September 06, 2008 09:27 PM
Hello Team,
Better late than never.....last night another nice U/O winner....lets make it 3 straight.
9/5/08 - Yesterdays Play
Pittsburgh / San Francisco UNDER 9
9/6/08 - Todays Play
NYY/ Seattle UNDER 9.5
Under / Overs YTD 2-0....Overall 22-11 +7 Units or $700 when risking $100 on each
Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 05:54 PM
I have been testing an under / over method that has produced excellent results since the allstar break. Since the system plays aren't producing many qualifiers lately I'll include these
Since the last month of baseball can be tricky, and many of you who only play systems basically jump ship in September, I'll just post these under over plays in here and we'll see if they can finish the season as well as they've done thus far. I've done no back testing to previous years but hopefully the performance holds up. For those of you who are interested the subject each day will be PSIC Under / Over Plays
9/4/08 - Yesterdays Play (Posted in Systems and Strategies)
Game 1 Oakland / Kansas City OVER 8.5
9/5/08 - Todays Play
Pittsburgh / San Francisco UNDER 9
Under / Overs YTD 1-0
Posted Monday, September 01, 2008 01:19 PM
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Posted Friday, August 29, 2008 10:21 AM
Hello Team,
A tough loss yesterday with the Twins
Lets start a new win streak today!
8/29/08 - Todays Plays (2)
St Louis Cardinals -132
Atlanta Braves -145
Posted Thursday, August 28, 2008 05:05 PM
Hello.....Normally I don't do much with NCAA football until week 3 or so because.....I'm not any good in the first two weeks.
However, like the baseball plays I've been giving out, I'm also testing some NCAA Football Systems I've created so I might as well post them so at least if their bad everyone will have something to fade....
4 Qualifiers Tonight
Stanford +3
UTEP +3
Baylor +11
Middle Tennessee +6.5
YTD 0-0
Posted Thursday, August 28, 2008 04:55 PM
Ok I lied....we do have a qualifier...lol
Well the Mets showed a little heart for us last night and got the job done.
8/26/08 - Chicago White Sox -147
8/27/08 - New York Mets - 147
----------------------------------------------
8/28/08 - Todays Play
Minnesota Twins -139
20-7 YTD +9.0 Units or $900 when RISKING $100 on each play.
Posted Wednesday, August 27, 2008 07:34 AM
Well the White Sox got us a nice stress free winner last night......lets keep that rolling
8/26/08 - Chicago White Sox -147
----------------------------------------------
8/27/08 - Todays Play
New York Mets -147
19-7 YTD +8.2 Units or $820 when RISKING $100 on each play.
Posted Tuesday, August 26, 2008 12:44 PM
No plays yesterday but Boston got the job done for us on Sunday
8/24/08 - Boston Red Sox -138
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Todays Play - 8/26/08
Chicago White Sox -147
18-7 YTD +7.4 Units or $740 when RISKING $100 on each play.
Posted Sunday, August 24, 2008 10:02 AM
Well at least we were never in it yesterday as Boston got their asses kicked
.
Here is their chance for redemption!!!!
8/24/08 - Todays PlayBoston Red Sox -13817-7 YTD +6.6 Units or $660 when RISKING $100 on each play.
Posted Saturday, August 23, 2008 12:40 AM
When we last got together on Wednesday we had an easy winner so lets get started right where we left off......
8/23/08 - Todays PlayBoston Red Sox -14217-6 YTD +7.6 Units or $760 when RISKING $100 on each play.
Posted Thursday, August 21, 2008 03:57 PM
Hello Everyone,
I received some emails and just wanted everyone to know there are no qualifiers today. Good prospects for tomorrow.
Have a winning day.
Posted Wednesday, August 20, 2008 11:55 AM
Hello Team,
Well we are back on track with an easy winner on the
Florida Marlins last night Let's get on another roll
8/20/08 - Todays Play
NY Yankees -148
16-6 YTD +6.6 Units or $660 When Risking $100 on Each
Posted Tuesday, August 19, 2008 08:51 AM
We seem to have hit a bump in the road.....hey I meant to ask everyone....Is it a bad sign when all of the members of a bullpen come to the mound with Ghostbusters nuclear accelerators on their back and a can of gas? F'n Mets Pen
Just an FYI...don't be afraid to play teams like the Mets who have hot starters and a gas packing pen, on the first 5 innings. I do it quite a bit and with a lot of success.
8/19/08 - Todays Play
Florida Marlins -140
15-6 YTD....Approx +5.8 Units or $580 when RISKING $100 on each.
Posted Monday, August 18, 2008 12:43 AM
Hello Team a tough loss on LA yesterday but a very good week overall. Here is to another great week!
8/18/08 - Todays Play
NY Mets -142
15-5 YTD....Approx +6.8 Units or $680 when RISKING $100 on each.
Posted Sunday, August 17, 2008 10:25 AM
Thursday 8-7-08
Houston -148
NY Yankees -148
Saturday 8-9-08
Boston -147
LA Dodgers -140
Sunday 8-10-08
Cleveland -137
Monday 8-11-08
Boston -142
8-13-08
New York Yankees -130
Tampa Bay -137
8/14/08
New York Mets -142
8/14/08 -
Arizona Diamondbacks - 135
NY Mets -147
Tampa Bay Rays -137
Chicago Cubs -140
8/15/08
NY Mets -143
Arizona Diamondbacks -143
8/16/08
LA Angels -142
Chicago White Sox -139
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
8/17/08- Todays Play
LA Angels -147
15-4 YTD +apprx 7.7 units or $770 when RISKING $100 on each
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Posted Saturday, August 16, 2008 10:01 AM
Hello Everyone,
Ok, we have 4 solid qualifiers so I want to get this out so you can shop for the best lines.
8/16/08 - Todays Plays (4)
LA Angels -142
Chicago White Sox -139
Tampa Bay Rays -124
Philadelphia Phillies -142
Posted Saturday, August 16, 2008 09:46 AM
Hello everyone...there are 2 more qualifiers and that will be it for Saturday so there won't be an afternoon post.
8/16/08 - Todays Plays - Final Update
LA Angels -142
Chicago White Sox -139
Tampa Rays -129
Philadelphia Phillies -142
Posted Saturday, August 16, 2008 09:35 AM
Another good day yesterday..lets keep this rolling.....
Thursday 8-7-08
Houston -148
NY Yankees -148
Saturday 8-9-08
Boston -147
LA Dodgers -140
Sunday 8-10-08
Cleveland -137
Monday 8-11-08
Boston -142
8-13-08
New York Yankees -130
Tampa Bay -137
8/14/08
New York Mets -142
8/14/08 -
Arizona Diamondbacks - 135
NY Mets -147
Tampa Bay Rays -137
Chicago Cubs -140
8/15/08
NY Mets -143
Arizona Diamondbacks -143
8/16/08 - Todays Plays
LA Angels -142
Chicago White Sox -139
****PLEASE NOTE**** There may be more games this evening...if so I'll make a second post around 4pm central time or earlier.
13-2 YTD +apprx 8.1 units or $810 when RISKING $100 on each
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