psic's Blog

PSIC F'd Up Line Of The Week

By psic | View all Posts
Posted Friday, September 26, 2008 04:29 PM   4 comments
9/26/08 -   One of the ways that I handicap NCAA Football is using a formula given to me by a prominent line maker in my casino biz days and I calculate what the lines SHOULD be.  Then when the lines are off by a significant amount ( 4 or more points)  combined with other factors like  strong public betting on what appears to be an "easy" line we usually have a good play.

Each week I'll post the F'd up line of the week.  Hopefully we can all make some money

9/27/08 - The Play.....Illinois +15.5.....Penn State should have been -27 but instead the opened just below a key number at -13.5 and  it sure looks easy to take Penn State.   It's either christmas in September or somehow Illinois finds a way to make this a game.  Close your eyes and take the Illini.
4 comments
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KongKiller says:
09/26/08 04:41PM

Let's Hammer it Gorilla style!!

 

swilla says:
09/26/08 04:48PM
I think the line is deflated because they are 2 top 25 teams battling out. your right the line should be 27 which would give me a push. good luck to you but i gotta go PSU
KongKiller says:
09/26/08 07:58PM

Be careful Swilla, 70% of the public is on Penn St, and it looks like that is exactly what Vegas and the Off-shores want here.  Don't get pulled into the square bet of the week.

KongKiller says:
09/28/08 06:44AM

Nice Job PSIC!!!  I will be waiting for next weeks!

 

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