9/26/08 - One of the ways that I handicap NCAA Football is using a
formula given to me by a prominent line maker in my casino biz days and
I calculate what the lines SHOULD be. Then when the lines are off by a
significant amount ( 4 or more points) combined with other factors
like strong public betting on what appears to be an "easy" line we
usually have a good play.
Each week I'll post the F'd up line of the week. Hopefully we can all make some money
9/27/08 - The Play.....Illinois +15.5.....Penn
State should have been -27 but instead the opened just below a key
number at -13.5 and it sure looks easy to take Penn State. It's
either christmas in September or somehow Illinois finds a way to make
this a game. Close your eyes and take the Illini.