Minnesota Vikings +9½ (-123) over Green Bay Packers: The Packers are coming off of their worst game of the season asGreen Bay got down quickly and trailed 31-10 at halftime vs. the New York Giants before being held scoreless in the second half of an ugly 38-10 loss. Aaron Rodgers had a very pedestrian effort, completing only 14-of-29 passes for 219 yards, and when that happens the Packers are in trouble because they have absolutely no running game to fall back on right now. Now we expect Rodgers to bounce back strong here because the reining MVP almost never has two bad games in a row. The problem we see with this big spread though is the defense. Green Bay is playing without Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson right now and the defense has allowed 742 total yards over the last two games. The Viking have the leading rusher in the NFL in Adrian Peterson, who has been indefensible this season even for the best of defenses, such as when he rushed to 108 yards on 18 carries vs. the Chicago Bears last week. We do not see the Green Bay defense slowing him down right now, and having to worry about Peterson should also slow down the very good Packers’ pass rush, giving Christian Ponder time to throw against the 22nd ranked Green Bay pass defense.
St. Louis Rams +7 (-102) over San Francisco 49ers: The Rams have played well in two of their three games since their bye week, first playing these 49ers to a rare 24-24 tie in their first game following the bye and then scoring a season-high in points in a 31-17 road win over the Arizona Cardinals last week. Of course those good efforts were sandwiched around a clunker of a loss to the New York Jets here at home, but that Jets’ game was the only game all season where the Rams were favored, and they are not a good enough team to be giving points. The Rams make very pesky underdogs though, especially getting this many points at home. St. Louis is 3-1 straight up as an underdog in the Edward Jones Dome this year. Going back to that tie in San Francisco, the Rams actually outgained the Niners by 117 total yards in that contest, as Steven Jackson rushed for 101 yards vs. a San Francisco run defense that has permitted three 100-yard rushers in the last six games after allowing only one in the previous 44 contests, and Sam Bradford passed for 275 yards vs. what is currently the second ranked passing defense in football. The 49ers are again starting Colin Kaepernick at quarterback after a 31-21 win over the Saints last week, but that game would have been different if the Niners did not run back two interceptions for touchdowns.
Good Luck To Everyone