12/06/2012 ncabb Teaser King's picks

making the transition to hoops unless you limit yourself to your region and play only the teams and conferences you follow at this point of the season you still have to go with ratings systems from sites that preview teams and conferences like sagarin. (And others).  I have been doing that and my last few days have been dry runs that are looking consistent enough to go ahead and start posting, today is a light day in college so I will start slow.

My record in football with NFL and college combined this season is 49-12-2. I deal in six point teaser plays in football and five points in basketball. All my picks will be teaser plays although if I see a solid regular side or total I'll offer it as a lean.

I have used a betting strategy of two to three team teaser parlays in football and I will continue the same in basketball

2 play 5pt teaser parlay 10/13  3play 5pt teaser parlay 3/2  4 play 5pt teaser parlay 5/2

Xavier -6 basically fading Vandy

Syracuse -15.5 same with Niner's

San Diego st -10 this could be a solid regular side

Heat -2.5  with Anthony questionable this game is worth adding if your book hasn't taken it off the board.  GL!

Twirpish Costa's halftime gun grabbing rant

Bob Costas has always been a twirpish weanie type who was able to work himself into the sports world as an outside interviewer-commentator with a focus on human interest and social causes in relations to sports. No one takes him seriously as a front and center announcer Now this dipstick thinks he has the influence/authority to get on his pc platform and and tell us because there those out there that have a screw loose whether they play in the NFL or anywhere else, that we must all give up our second amendment rights, that we are all disfunctional train wrecks just waiting to happen and we must comply to what cutting edge progressive monitors like him believe..

Teaser King's 11/27/2012 NBA picks

I have been on NFL and college football so far this year. My record since 10/10/2012 is 42-11-2. Check my space for documentation. I focus on teaser plays with occasional regular side or total recommendations or leans that I don't count on my record. I believe that a two or three play teaser parlay has a better winning percentage than a tight lined straight bet, with close to the same payout. And with my previous experience in basketball teaser plays I believe they are even more effective than in football, as points scored in one- twos and threes are safer to project than points that come in three and six and one, or even two as we see in football. With that said, I will go ahead and post my first picks. I would not go under four points if you really have a strong opinion on the play, but I usually stay with six points.

HOU +1

SAC +4.5

LAL -1.5

The Rockets should be able to win straight-up,

The Kings have handled the Wolves at home,

The Pacers are out of their element on the road against a higher tiered team. Lakers still sorting it out but they will not lose to Indy.  

Just a start, thanks for reading my post and GL!

Teaser King's 11/22-11/25 picks wrap-up

10-2 for the week, 42-11-2 from 10/10/2012 college,pro football 6 pt teaser sides/totals (mostly sides)

most of my picks also covered the regular number but its hard to tell which 'lock' will be the one that doesn't. Once again I consider a two (6 for 5) or three (5 for 8) team six point teaser parlay is safer than a tight lined straight bet. College season winding down time to start focusing on the bowl games which is a different capping strategy.

Lack of discipline will lose you money

I just want to relay a lesson I seem to have to re-learn over and over again. Since I live in Reno NV, I like to put together parlay cards occasionally at the local sportsbook. My main focus is two or three play teasers. Thats why I call this page 'Teaser King'. But every once and a while I'll go for a long shot and play a six to eight regular side or total parlay off the board or a card. I usually play off the board because the cards usually leave off the lesser known public games or the games they consider too much of a risk. (The best overall cards to play are the William Hill cards. They usually have the most plays, best odds and higher payouts). 

 Today I missed a six teamer by one pick and another and another by two. The first loser was Clemson.  The two on the other card were Indiana and Wyoming. One of my main rules in capping is to avoid teams perceived to be weaker than the other. The other even more important rule is never to choose a play I didn't do my complete homework on.

Teaser King's pro additons for 11/25

Currently I am at 32-10-2  As always these are six point teaser plays. Any regular side or total plays I recommend  are not counted on the record. I combine college and pro football.
Syracuse -3.5 They have knocked off higher level teams with an offense that can compete with most top tier teams and a defense that should control a one dimensional Temple offense
Nebraska -8. A strong regular play at -14 but at -
8 very comfortable as a teaser play
Vandy-6.5 With a consistent ats record and emerging passing offense this is another potentially strong regular side play along with a  teaser play
Fresno st. -10.5 With a defense that should control the run and a QB that has star potential, I will go ahead and make a regular side play also.
Mississippi +4.5 I think this team has shown enough to make me believe they will prevail over a team with a softer schedule and a revenge mode in a intra-state rivalry.
Minnesota +14 The Gophs have played their best at home and the number is too much for an anemic Spartan offense to cover
Baylor +4 I was impressed with how they ran against Kst and I will fade Txtch in this one.
I'll try to post NFL picks before Sunday.

Posted: 11/22/2012 4:13:04 PMjust a heads-up to my 11/21/2012 post. I reviewed my picks and saw some problems with Minnesota (mostly injuries)that I must caution anyone considering them even at +14. I will stand by the pick for my record since I've had it posted.
I al... [More]

Teaser King's blog

As a sports fan I am into football and baseball in both watching and wagering. Basketball is more of a wagering vehicle for me. WNBA,NBA,NFL,CFL, college football,college basketball,these are the sports I am into in regards to sports wagering investing. Along with several other kindred souls we are always burning the midnight oil to come up with the strongest plays. After intense think tank sessions, our consensus plays are ready for any and all to deploy in their bookie killing arsenal.
We think a small teaser parlay is preferable to a single regular side straight bet. I am more comfortable with a two teamer with a six point cushion in my favor than sweating out a tight line that more often than not will win or lose by one to four points either way. At 5/6 odds, the payout is close enough to make it worth it. Or a three teamer at 8/5 even better.
Obviously there are certain rules in teaser plays we follow. We avoid the inconsistent Jeckyll and Hyde teams, the ones that lose to teams they should beat, then beat the teams they should lose to. We like to identify consistentcy in teams.
Certain numbers are key. We avoid playing teams laying less than four. We like home favorites laying four to eight. Or strong dogs getting two+. These are just some of the things we focus on a teaser kings.
I won't try to tell you what or how much or who to play. I'll just try to come up with a list of strong plays in which one can come up with solid two o... [More]