If this game was in Buff I'd take the dog.  Being the game is in a dome I'd take the fav.  I think Sanchez's performance can be that stark when comparing ideal conditions and cold conditions.

Jets get a huge break playing this game in a Dome.

Not to say your pick is wrong, but those aren't the greatest points to justify it.  First of all, I'd venture to say that by records alone and the fact that it's the JETS and they are favored, more people will be on them (bigger following, more homers, underdogs rarely get the majority of the money).

Second of all, the Bills running D has turned around lately, and you can use last week as an example.  They only allowed 4.2 yards per carry against the Dolphins who run wildcat and double-option formations.

Finally, TORONTO DOES NOT HATE THE BILLS.  In fact, quite the opposite considering they are basically neighboring cities.  Why do you think this game, and last year's VS. the Dolphins in Toronto was considered a HOME GAME?  I don't even think I need to expand on this considering poster #5 is from Ontario and is backing my statement.

Like I said, I'm not knocking your pick, but the points you've made as reasoning for the Jets are pretty terrible.