Continue to pick my spots in the last couple of weeks, 3-1 during that time (1-1 last week)

PLAY:

Georgetown / Syracuse Over 146

Reasoning:

To start, I'd like to go back to some points from my post on 1/14 with respect to the Georgetown/Seton Hall over I played:

Georgtown's pace rating this year has been severly effected by it's opponents to date. Five of their games have been against teams with national pace ratings #297 or lower. In the five games that they have played teams that like to "open it up" a little more (teams ranked in the top 200), the totals are averaging 146.6 ppg (Lafayette, MSM, Washington, Harvard, and UConn).

That game vs Seton Hall landed on 158. Since then, GT has played to games 159 vs Villanova (#11 in pace), 140 vs Pitt (#318), and 151 vs Rutgers (#116). So I think it's safe to say that the trend has continued.

Syracuse plays at the 21st fastest pace in the country and only 5 of it's 20 games have totaled less than tonight's total of 146 (and only 1 Big East game has -- WVU at 143)

Last year's two matchups had a lined total of 142.5 and finished at 162 and a lined total of 144.5 that finished at 166 in regulation. Furthermore, Georgetown's adjusted pace has actually increased +3.3 (63.6 vs 66.9) year to year and 'Cuse's has increased +2.5 (73.0 vs 70.5).

I don't see this game having less than 70 possessions per team, and with both teams ranked in the top 20 (GT 1.156, #16 and Syracuse 1.175, #7) in the country in terms of pts per possession, it shouldn't be any problem getting over 146 tonight.