Had my best week of betting in a while last week. Was perfect on my posted picks and hit an array of parlays. Been feeling it the past 2 weeks, and I think I have this league figured out a little bit. With that said this will prob be the week I go up in flames, but I'm gonna enjoy riding this hot hand. On with the picks.
Pittsburgh -7REVENGE GAME! REVENGE GAME! REVENGE GAME! Cincinnati took one at the end from Pittsburgh last time, Big Ben threw a pick 6, and the Bengals drove the field at the end for the go ahead score. Tough to imagine them being able to accomplish such a feat with Troy Polamalu roaming around out there. Fact of the matter is Pittsburgh is playing Steeler football now. I still think the Bengals are a very good team but I'm not sure if they will be able to handle this one. This game is basically for the division, and is in Pittsburgh where the terrible towel will be waving in full force against this hated rival. After a game of this magnitude you will understand why the Steelers wear the rings.
Carolina +1.5I'm surprised people have not been bringing up how the home team always wins in the NFC south. DeAngelo Williams is back to his form from years ago, and ever since Carolina realized when Delhomme throws less than 15 times in a game they actually have a chance. The Falcons offense has just not looked so hot to me this season. If Turner isn't going Matty Ice really only has Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez to throw to, and it shows. Ryan has been keying in on those guys ways too much, which is understandable, but has made for some predictable throws that have gotten picked.
San Diego -1.5Philip Rivers is starting to enter the territory of people I do not want to wager money against. The way he runs a Two-Minute drill and the way Andy Reid manages the clock leads me to believe this game will end with Rivers driving down the field at the end of the game for the for the go ahead score. Philly is starting to get a little thin on the defense which is not good for this passing attack and I still can't erase how bad Philly looked last time they went out west.
Green Bay +3It seems like whenever there is a team +3 at home they usually win the game. Have not tracked it fully, but being willing to bet teams getting 3 at home do well.
Last Week: 4-0Season: 16-8