scottshapell's Blog
Posted Tuesday, December 07, 2010 10:33 AM
This midweek sees the
final games from the group stage of the Champions League, who will reach
the knockout stages? We’re looking at the biggest games.
Group A sees Tottenham
Hotspur and Inter Milan locked at the top of the table with ten points
from their opening five matches and both are playing away games this
Tuesday, with Spurs at FC Twente and Inter facing Werder Bremen, with
the aim of topping the group. Of the two sides, Spurs are in better form
and are unbeaten in their last six matches, while Inter have lost three
of their last five games. How will these games go? Let’s look at the
matchups and the updated Champions League odds.
Spurs face a tough task to
claim all three points against an FC Twente side that has lost just one
of its last 22 games at home in the last year, however they have not won
in this year’s Champions League at home and have drawn both games
played. Spurs are patchy on the road and have lost four of their last
seven away games, and they have drawn one and lost one away in the
Champions League this season.
However, with winning the
group at stake we expect them to win this match and we’re backing them
to win the game.
Sportsbook have the current odds @ 2.00.
Both Werder Bremen and Inter
Milan are in poor form, with Werder having collected one win their last
nine games and they have earned just two points fr...
[More]
Posted Tuesday, December 07, 2010 09:12 AM
NBA Betting:
Not one of the seven matchups Tuesday features two teams that each have
a win-loss record above .500 but this Western Conference rivalry
between the Suns and Trailblazers is a close as it gets.
Portland started last season
at 12-8 before going on to win 50 games but the Trailblazers are 2-6-1
ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Sportsbook
have the home side favored.
Phoenix (11-9) at Portland
(9-11)
Line:
Trailblazers -3
Over/Under: 204
Portland started the season
6-3 but fell into six-game spiral that sent their fans into a tizzy.
The Blazers led at half-time
in three of the six losses and three were by four points or less, but
was Sunday’s win against the Clippers a turning point or an aberration?
Strong play in the defensive
zone will a key for Portland but the Suns (109.8 ppg) lead the league
in scoring and for seven-straight games have notched 105-plus points per
game. Look for the Trailblazers to fall behind in the second-half and
for this game to finish with a margin of less than three.
Pick: Take the Suns
Washington (6-13) at L.A.
Lakers (14-6)
Line:
Lakers -13
Over/Under:
206.5
The Lakers won their first game in over a week Friday, beating
Sacramento 113-80 SU/ATS. It was LA’s most convincing win of the season,
covering the spread by more than 20 points, and after a three-day
layoff t...
[More]
Posted Monday, December 06, 2010 03:26 AM
Monday Night Football betting action for
tonight’s contest have favored the Patriots by more than 60-percent
throughout the week, but online sportsbook
haven’t moved the line off 3.5. New England is 11-3 ATS in its past 14
games as a home favorite by 3.5-to-10 points but in the most recent; an
ATS loss Week 11 vs. Indianapolis, the Patriots needed a Red Zone
takeaway in the final minute just to avoid the straight-up loss.
New York
doubled up the Patriots 28-14 in Week 2, but it’s worth noting that in
the past seven seasons, Bill Belichick’s squad holds a 12-4 advantage in
16 meetings, playoffs included. The Jets’ Mark Sanchez tossed three TD
passes in the first meeting and for a while, it seemed the sophomore QB
had curbed an interception tendency that tied him for second-most (20)
in the league last season.
Bad
decisions in his past six games have added up to eight picks, however,
and the improvements we’ve seen from this young New England secondary
since Week 2 could pose a serious threat to the Jets passing game.
UNIVERSITY OF BELICHICK
The
Patriots are plus-11 in turnovers this season while the Jets have a
rating of plus-7. New England has won the turnover battle in seven of
its past nine games and the defensive minded head coach/D-Co Belichick
h... [More]
Posted Monday, December 06, 2010 03:24 AM
The
Premier League’s weekend action draws to a close this Monday as
Liverpool take on Aston Villa at Anfield. Who will take all three
points?
Aston Villa v Liverpool
The
final game of matchday sixteen in the Premier League sees twelfth
placed Liverpool take on sixteenth placed Aston Villa in what promises
to be an intriguing match. Who do the bookies will walk away with the
spoils? Bet365 make Liverpool the
1.57 favourites to collect all three points, with an Aston Villa win
available at 6.50 and the draw can be backed at odds of 3.80.
This
season has not been a good season for Liverpool and with manager
changes and the club being taken over, they have won just four of their
opening fifteen games. However, they have collected a total of nineteen
points in the league and thanks to the closeness of the league this
season, a win in this match will send them rocketing up the table to
seventh place. Their home form has been good recently and they have won
all of their last three home games against Blackburn Rovers, Chelsea and
West Ham. For this game they are missing both Steven Gerrard and Jamie
Carragher through injury and Fernando Torres is still not hitting the
heights that he can do when in form, so will they continue in their
winning form?
Aston
Villa are very much out ... [More]
Posted Monday, December 06, 2010 12:01 AM
The
words “Indianapolis Colts” and “losing streak” go together like Irish
Cream and lime juice, also known as a Cement Mixer. It’s the kind of
prank you play on your best enemy and this week the Dallas Cowboys (3-8)
are the intended target.
Indianapolis
(6-5) has lost three in a row and Peyton Manning has thrown seven picks
the past two weeks after throwing just two the first seven games this
season. It’s given sportsbook
little choice but to post a modest betting line for the perennial
favourite and the Colts look like a strong play for anyone making NFL
picks this weekend.
DALLAS AT INDIANAPOLIS
Line: Colts -5.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Dallas
is 3-0 ATS since making the change from Wade Phillips to Jason Garrett
and they could very well be 3-0 straight-up had Roy Williams been more
aware of the situation vs. New Orleans. That turnover was a key to the
game and Indy’s -8 turnover ratio in the past two weeks is a key to why
the Colts are on the outside of the playoff bubble looking in.
Indy
is having huge problems running the ball but gets RB Hart back this
week and the tandem of Hart and Brown should be more effective. The
Colts are 10-1 SU at home the past five seasons off a home game (6-5
ATS), and 3-0 SU... [More]
Posted Saturday, December 04, 2010 04:38 AM
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This weekend sees the 16th round
of games from England’s Premier League a... [More]
Posted Saturday, December 04, 2010 04:30 AM
It’s
round two for Auburn and South Carolina, as these two faced off earlier
in the season. That meeting resulted in a come-from-behind 35-27 win
for the Tigers. Now they meet in the SEC Championship game, the first
time since 1994 Auburn has played in the Conference title matchup.
The
Tigers come in fresh of that wildly entertaining victory last week vs.
Alabama in which they overcame a 24-0 deficit. Falling behind early only
to rally for wins has become somewhat of a trademark for Auburn this
season, as they’ve done it in eight of their 12 wins.
Sportsbook
have this game set with Auburn as a 5.5-point favourite and a Total of
61.5. The Tigers have a record of 7-1 ATS versus conference opponents
this season.
While Auburn fans are excitedly booking tickets to Arizona to watch their team in the BCS Championship game on January 10th,
the Gamecocks have a real shot at upending all those plans. Coach
Spurrier’s team already proved they can hang with the Tigers in that
35-27 loss in late September. It was four South Carolina turnovers that
snapped the defeat from the jaws of victory, as they let Auburn off the
hook.
The
Gamecock defense has been impressive all season, and while controlling
Cam Newton and Co. Is a very difficult proposition, if they can get some
help from the offens... [More]
Posted Friday, December 03, 2010 03:50 AM
Serie A Picks: This
weekend’s Serie A action runs from Friday night to Monday and
Sportsbook
is here with some great tips on the biggest games from the
games being played.
Inter Milan vs. Lazio
The
weekend begins on Friday night with the biggest game of the 10 being
played as former league leaders Lazio entertain fifth placed Inter Milan
the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. After losing top spot in the league at the
start of November thanks to two straight defeats to Roma and Cesena,
Lazio have bounced back with two wins and two draws in the following
four games. They lie second in the table, just three points behind AC
Milan, and they are four points ahead of Inter. Inter have won their
last two matches, and even scored five goals in their last game, but
they have not won away from home since the end of October. Despite this,
they are improving again. We feel that this game will end as a draw.
Sportsbooks have this line at 2.73, which we are backing.
Juventus
vs. Catania
Sunday’s late game promises to be an excellent
game as Catania host Juventus at the Stadio Angelo Massimino. Catania
are eleventh in the table and have lost just one of their last eight
games and are unbeaten in 2010 at home, a run of 21 games. Juventus are
third in the table, just three points behind Lazio in second, but have
drawn nine of their last fourteen games. However, they hav...
[More]
Posted Friday, December 03, 2010 01:58 AM
La Liga Picks:
Following Barcelona’s 5-0 thumping of Real Madrid last weekend, we’re
back to business in Spain’s top division and we’re here to preview the
biggest games.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid
For a
second weekend running, Real Madrid are involved in the match of the
weekend and they will be looking to claim all three points as they host
Valencia at the Bernabeu on Saturday night. Their loss to Barcelona was
their first defeat all season. Jose Mourinho has to be feeling that his
side will collect all three points after winning each of the nine games
played at home this season by an aggregate scoreline of 32-4. The last
time they were beaten at home was in April and that loss came to
Barcelona. They followed that up by beating Valencia in the next game.
Will they do the same? We believe so.
We’re backing them to
win.
Sportsbook have them at odds of 1.23.
Villarreal
vs. Sevilla
The weekend’s other big game sees third placed
Villarreal take on the side in eighth, Sevilla, at the Camp El Madrigal
stadium. Villarreal have a home record almost as impressive as Real
Madrid as they have played ten matches at home in all competitions this
season, winning nine and drawing one. Sevilla have lost both of their
last two matches and they have lost two of their last three away games,
conceding ten goals in those three matches. However, we are not
expe...
[More]
Posted Thursday, December 02, 2010 06:52 AM
Some say the league didn’t come down hard enough on Denver head Coach,
Josh McDaniels for his part in the Spygate II scandal but after watching
the St. Louis Rams pummel the last place Broncos Sunday on their own
turf, is there any more discipline required?
McDaniels is on the
hot seat in Denver and after the success Jason Garrett (3-0 ATS) and
Leslie Frazier (1-0 ATS) have experienced since taking over the head
coaching jobs in Dallas and Minnesota, a change of scenery in the
Rockies could be eminent.
Denver lost a close one to the Jets in
Week 6 that they had every right to win. Since then, the only two
highlights for the Broncos have been a 35-point scoring spree in the
first-half against the Chiefs and 20 fourth quarter points against the
Rams in Week 12.
Online sportsbook set the betting odds for Denver and
Kansas City this week at Chiefs (-7) but that line did not last through
Arizona’s first fumble in the Monday Night Football game vs. San
Francisco.
Sportsbetting.com currently lists the Chiefs (-9) and
picks on Kansas City at home this season have produced a 4-1 ATS record –
that’s a profit of plus-2.9 units.
Kansas City’s veteran coaches
will have learned from their mistakes of the last meeting but in this
short turn-around situation between division rivals we predict a much
lower scoring game than the 49-29 final...
[More]
Posted Thursday, December 02, 2010 05:23 AM
Basketball
betting storylines for the first month of the season have led to
Thursday night’s matchup between the Miami Heat (-4.5) and Cleveland
Cavaliers.
Online
sportsbook were projecting the Heat as nine-point favorites for
this contest when the season began (with NBA Prospective lines), but
given Miami’s current seven-game streak of losses against the spread
(ATS), it’s a wonder they’re even favored at all.
Cleveland has
posted a 4-4 ATS record the past while but they were underdogs in
7-of-8. The Cavs have an illustrious 5-0 record straight-up (SU) and ATS
vs. Miami since March of 2009, but LeBron James was Cleveland’s leading
scorer in four out of five games.
Ah yes, King James. Where
would the Cleveland franchise be without their deserting leader? James
averaged more than 28 points per game the past five years with Cleveland
and so far this year with the Heat is netting just 23.7 points per
contest.
James was good for 31.6 points in the past five meetings
between these teams and this season through 17 games the King has
crowned 32-plus points only three times.
Sportsbooks are giving
bettors a chance to bet on nearly every aspect of this game, offering
betting prop and Over/Under odds for how many points LeBron will score,
does Chris Bosh remain an afterthought (O/U...
[More]
Posted Wednesday, December 01, 2010 10:55 PM
49ers vs
Cardinals: The Arizona Cardinals were in Kansas City last week
while the San Francisco 49ers endured their first home shutout since
1977 at the hands of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
After Sunday’s results the
NFC West race has been transformed into a three-team race. The
competitors are Seattle (5-6), St. Louis (5-6), and the winner of
tonight’s game.
SAN FRANCISCO (3-7) AT ARIZONA (3-7)
Sportsbook
have the number on this one set as the 49ers -1 and the
Total is 40.
The fantasy ride for quarterback Troy Smith could be
short-lived but this week he gets one more chance. Coach Singletary said
he wouldn’t hesitate to bench QB Smith if he’s playing a miserable game
and Alex Smith is second on the depth chart.
TE Vernon Davis, who left the
game against Tampa Bay with an ankle injury, should be fine but San
Francisco needs to hitch its wagon to Frank Gore.
Gore (foot) is coming off his
worst game of the season against Tampa Bay and it could have partly
been due to his injury, but this week he is ready to go. Arizona’s front
seven is beat up right now and Gore could be the key to opening up room
for the passing game.
Arizona HC Whisenhunt is
under pressure to produce on offense and critics are starting to
question why the team won’t bring in an offensive co-ordinator. The
Cardinals will go with Derek Anderson at QB but l...
[More]