Early Super Bowl Betting: It’s a mere three weeks until the real NFL season kicks off and teams begin the march to the Super Bowl.
While
rosters are being slowly filled in during preseason football and sports
bettors are warming up their handicapping skills, there continues to be
a decent amount of action at the online sportsbooks on the NFL future odds option of “Which team will win this year’s Super Bowl”?
BetRepublic.com
looks at the teams that have the best shot, the ones that offer the
best value and we look for a longshot or two that might be worth
wagering a few dollars on.
Last
year’s Cinderella team, the Arizona Cardinals came within seconds of
pulling off the largest upset since the 1969 Jets win over the Colts.
At the beginning of the year, the Cards odds
of winning the Super Bowl were at +3,000 for a payout potential of
$3,000 on every $100 bet. There weren’t many who had the Cards as a
future wager, but what a painful loss for those who did, as they cam so
close. That said, we’re sure almost everyone holding an Arizona ticket
would have hedged their bets to ensure a profit last Super Bowl Sunday.
Who
will that dark horse be this year? Is there a dark horse or will the
league resumes its natural state and send only the heavy favorites to
the dance?
According
to one of BetRepublic.com’s sponsor books, Diamond Sports, the New
England Patriots, to nobody’s surprise, are the favorites once again
this year at +500.
Over
in the NFC, the Giants are the favorites at +1100 and should be a
refocused team after last year’s dismal playoff performance. They are
healthier and ready from day one to move forward without Plaxico
Burress. The defense will keep them in every game and it wouldn’t be a
stretch to see a repeat of the 2008 Super Bowl between the Giants and
Patriots.
Around the middle of the pack the Saints at +2000, the Falcons at +2500 and the Packers at +2800 are intriguing for bettors.
The
Saints are going to move the ball up and down the field all day long
and if they can get some improved play on the defensive side of the
ball, which they should with Greg Williams managing the defense, then
they will compete for the Conference title.
The
Falcons are a very solid team with a great running game and the
addition of Tony Gonzalez will really benefit QB Matt Ryan. They have
improved on the defensive side of the ball, but we think this team
might actually slide back a bit from last year’s impressive campaign.
We won’t be putting anything down on them.
The
Packers are another story. This is a team that will be able to put up
points and we believe they’ll take a very nice step forward on the
defensive side of the ball with attacking defensive coordinator Dom
Capers now in charge. Aaron Rodgers looks sharp in preseason and with
Favre now in Minnesota, Rogers will be keen to prove he is the best QB
in the NFC North and one of the top talents in that second tier of QBs
(behind Brady and Peyton Manning).
We
do have a wager on Green Bay as one of our longshots, as can see them
having an opportunity to win the NFC, especially if they can secure
home field in the playoffs.
In
the AFC, the Steelers and Chargers are both listed at +1000 and will
give the Patriots a run for the AFC title. There haven’t been too many
changes to either team but both clubs are full of talent and the
Chargers, with a group of savvy veterans, are hungry for a
championship. In San Diego it really is go-time, as they have to make
their run this year before the talent wanes and/or leaves.
The
Steelers will be battling with the Patriots to lay claim to the title
of ‘team of the decade’ and should be considered as the number two
favorite.
The
Houston Texans at +4000 are a great dark horse in our opinion. Yes, it
unlikely they find their way to the big game, but that’s why they’re a
darkhorse selection. This club will have an aggressive defense and
their offense will be much improved this year as Andre Johnson and
Steve Slaton should continue to put up impressive numbers.
Another
really big darkhorse is the Cincinnati Bengals who are listed at +8000.
Carson Palmer is healthy and looking good in camp and preseason. He has
three quality receivers with Chris Henry, Laveranues
Coles and Chad Ochocinco and a good running game with Cedric Benson.
The Bengals are young defensively but have some very gifted players
that finally give Marvin Lewis some talent to develop. We actually
think they are going to surprise people this year (if Palmer stays
healthy).
Finally
the Arizona Cardinals, listed at +2800, could still be a nice pick.
They will have a better running game with Beanie Wells and Tim
Hightower in the backfield, which makes them more then one-dimensional
on the offensive side of the ball. They will need to be more consistent
on defense and don’t have enough players to pressure the quarterback
but the offense is strong.
The
betting action continues to flow in on the Patriots, Steelers and
Giants, but its fun to have a longshot bet or two in your pocket as the
long season gets going.
Enjoy all the action.
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