Posted Tuesday, April 10, 2012 04:30 PM
Not a huge futures guy, but when I see value like this I take it and run. This is @ 5dimes, and most sites I have seen are +2000. IMO, this Celtics team is eerily familiar to the 2010 Celtics team (minus Sheed/Perk but add Bradley whose defensive presence is what could take Boston back to the glory land). Boston started their season off 16-17 playing like crap against mainly crap opponents. But now they are finally hitting their pace at about the right time. Yes, their offense is still pathetic. Nothing has changed about that and it might be what brings them down. But defense has always won championships and will always win championships. As long as KG, Ray, Rondo, & Pierce stay relatively healthy (which is a big IF), they have every chance to dethrone the Bulls & Heat & whomever comes out of the west.
Gotta throw 1 bill on the Cs this year.
Posted Thursday, August 04, 2011 09:13 AM
Really? The Texans are 2.5 favorites over Peyton? Game was a pick'em a few months back. Are people expecting Colts to start slow? They lost last year to Texans opening day and in 2008 when Peyton didn't practice with the team until a week before the regular season opener and they started 3-4.
2008 was a little different as it dealt with his knee. Yes, there was the lockout, but Peyton got in a lot of time this off-season with his WRs and o-line before he had neck surgery.
I think he will be just fine to start the season. Like always, the Texans are over-rated IMO. If they are going to make the playoffs, they need to get rid of Gary Kubiak. Wade may help their D, but I think Foster will have trouble running the ball without Leach guiding him through the holes.
Anyone else have an opinion?
Posted Monday, July 11, 2011 09:55 AM
In the past 11 majors, there have been 11 different winners. Based on this and my gut feeling, this eliminates Rory and a lot of others. Taking this into consideration, lets get into the picks.
Im rather upset that I'm getting shitty odds on a few of these guys (Laird & Cabrera), but I'd rather take the risk of knowing that my book will pay, rather than having my funds appropriated to the US govt. Anyways, here are the picks.
Martin Laird 125:1 (saw other people got him at 200. I think this course sets up good for his long ball game) .2 units
Angel Cabrera- 70:1 (saw him at 90+) Had him on the US Open and I like him here as well. The cool handed Argentinian smokes em when he has em. I know that he can handle the pressure and won't buckle .3 units
Furyk- 90:1 Of all the people I've got, I believe this one has by far the most value. Yes, Furyk has not had the best year so far and has had past trouble in the open, although he has two top 5's in the past 5 years, I think this is incredible value. Nobody is talking about him. .25 units
Mick- 35:1 Okay, so this is the only bet that is coming straight from my heart, but I do believe there is some value in this one. Yes, Mick has his troubles at the Open, but you never know with Mick. He either contends or misses the cut. At 35:1, I'll take my chances on a small bet.
These are my 4 picks and I'll be back Wednesday night with Thursday matchup plays. Good luck to all and comments are appr... [More]
Posted Saturday, May 14, 2011 05:51 PM
So the Heat got by the Celtics in 5, but the Celtics could have easily won games 1 & 5 if they could have held on in the 4th quarter. For those who watched the Heat pass their first test, I expect them to have more difficulties with the Bulls.
Lets break down the differences in the Bulls & the Celtics FIRST.
1. O'neal vs Noah (obvious advantage to CHI with offensive rebounding and great on pick and roll D. His presence on both sides of the ball as a terrific screener will be felt much greater than Jermaine's weak ass.
2. KG vs Boozer (I was going to say a draw, but I give a slight edge to KG because of his Defensive presence, but KG also doesn't have Noah next to him to help him with that liability. Offensively, Boozer is a better shooter IMO than KG at this point in his career. I also believe that Boozer draws contact in the paint better than KG.
3. Pierce vs Deng (edge to Boston normally, but because Pierce was worn out in this series from guarding Miami's perimeter players, this edge is very slight. Deng is a very underrated player and can shoot the 3 better than Pierce. He also guards perimeter players very well.
4. Ray Allen vs Bogans (advantage to Boston, but not as much as people think. Bogans defense is as good if not better than Allen's, and he can make the 3 ball. Obviously Allen is a much purer scorer than Bogans, but unfortunately Allen could not propel Boston to a game 6.
5. Rondo vs Rose (considering that Rondo ... [More]
Posted Saturday, April 16, 2011 02:32 PM
Being Shaq's biggest fan since he entered the league in 1992, gives me the right to say all of this, and even if it doesn't, I could care less.
I just saw that your fat ass has cost you to miss the first playoff game against the Knicks. To be honest, the Celtics don't really need you for this series. But, you need to get your fat ass in shape because the Celtics will need you EVERY OTHER STEP OF THE WAY. I can't believe its come down to this, but the Celtics went all in with you leading the way by trading Perkins for Green. Do you want to restore your legacy as the MDE (most-dominant-ever coined by that Phil Jackson guy after your 99-00 MVP season), or do you want fans to remember you for your massive ego that caused discourse in Orlando, Los Angeles, Miami, and Phoenix? Well I can't really blame you with Orlando since they had their minds set on Penny, so I'll let you off the hook on that one. I don't need to mention LA as Kobe is king and everyone has forgotten about you. The referees handed the Championship to you in 06 as the refs personal vendetta against Mark Cuban were blatantly proven as Wade carried the team at the free throw line. By the time you got to Phoenix, no one was expecting you to lead this team to a championship, but the Suns blew up their team for you and have really never been the same. Cleveland was more Lebron's fault than yours. At any rate, Shaq, the point is that the Celtics need you and if you can't deliver the championship... [More]
Posted Thursday, March 03, 2011 07:30 AM
Lost 1000 3 weeks ago when Miami @ Celtics
Lost 500 1 week ago when Miami @ Bulls
Now another big Miami game and the public is all over them like the other two games, and guess who I am on again?
Yep, I am a sucker. I am taking them again. This time they are at home and against a much less formidable opponent than the Bulls or Celts. Orlando had troubles against New York's Big 2, before finally slowing them down in the 2nd half. In both the games listed above, the Heat had half time leads (4 over celts and 8 against the Bulls), only to suffer 2nd half letdowns.
The Heat should jump out to a big lead and hopefully can HOLD it for once in their lives.
Heat -4.5 550/500
Heat ML -190 1150/605
Lets GO HEAT
Posted Thursday, September 02, 2010 03:33 PM
Thought this might spark a debate, but this is my own opinion of the greatest players drafted by number. I am only doing it up to 13. Remind you this is only going back to 1980.
1. Shaquille O'neal/Tim Duncan (This is the only spot I could not make a decision and just choose one person. Both have 4 championship rings and were extremely productive during their primes. If Shaq, Duncan, and Lebron were all rookies, I would still take Shaq or Duncan over Lebitch.)
2. Isiah Thomas (If I do this in a few years, Kevin Durant probably would take the slot, but as of now Zeke still wins this)
3. Michael Jordan (obvious choice IMO, the greatest ever to play the game no doubt.)
4. Byron Scott (pretty weak class of people who were drafted fourth. Chris Paul or Bosh might define their careers with a title in the next few years. When they do, they can reclaim this spot.)
5. Scottie Pippen (Going old school with Pip over guys like KG and Wade. He was the perfect complementary player to MJ and took this team to a near championship when MJ was striking out at baseball.
6. Bradon Roy (very weak class of people at 6)
7. Chris Mullin (next best is Rip Hamilton, but no one COULD or CAN wet a 3 like Mullin did it)
8. Detlef Schremp (similar to Mullin. This man could SHOOT.)
9. Dirk Nowitzki
10. Paul Pierce (the truth easily wins this spot)
11. Robert Horry (big shot bob takes the cake her... [More]
Posted Friday, June 04, 2010 12:19 AM
Posted Monday, May 03, 2010 01:02 PM
For the past 5 years, Peyton Manning has played one-two series at most in the opening game before being benched. After Peyton Manning steps out of the game, the players DO NOT CARE ONE BIT about winning. This year, I will be placing a HUGE WAGER on the 49ers no matter the line. The Colts back-up QB's this year include Curtis "Mr. Fumbilitis" Painter and Drew Willy who they just elevated from their practice squad. Jim Sorgi left to sit behind the other Manning. Jim Caldwell, like his predecessor Mr. Dungy, could care less about pre-season games. He has absolutely no interesting in winning the game as it is meaningless in his opinion. All he wants is the health of his starters to be in tact.
I could care less about the lack of talent in the backups of the 49ers, because once Manning goes out, the Colts will score 3-7 points the rest of the game.
Don't believe me? check out the previous history of Colts opening games
2009: Home against the Favre-less Vikings: LOSS 3-13
2008: HOF game against Redskins neutral territory: LOSS 16-30
2007: @Cowboys: LOSS 10-23
2006: @ Rams: LOSS 17-19 (Colts did cover as the line went from Rams -2 to -3. Late kick and a crazy ending)
2005: Home against Atlanta Falcons: LOSS 21-27
Colts are 0-5 in their last 5 opening pre-season games covering only once. Do you see them making any difference with Curtis Painter and Drew Willy Wonka? I think not...
I'm guessing this line will be 49ers -3 and... [More]
Posted Saturday, May 01, 2010 09:31 PM
Pound the CELTS
Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 11:49 PM
Happy turkey day to all
Week 12 NFL
Colts @ Texans---Texans +3.5
Everybody who has read a single post of mine, knows that I'm a huge Colts homer. BUT, just because I love Peyton Manning doesn't mean I DONT KNOW when to BET AGAINST HIM.
Well fellas, I have to say I believe this is the week that the Colts get knocked off their horses, or its another FG game either way. These teams historically have played very close games and the Texans are in a perfect spot (in my opinon). They just lost a close game to the Titans as favorites, and now most are very scared of this inconsistent Texans team.
The Colts have been getting pretty lucky as of late, and I don't believe they deserve to be 3.5 favorites.
Texans +3.5 3.3 units to win 3
Under 48.5 1.1 unit to win 1
Arizona @ Tennessee---Titans -1
This is a very weird game for Arizona. Traveling across the country to a team they have very little history with. They have a HUGE lead in their division, and I just can't see them playing @ 100% for this game. Meanwhile, the Titans are on a roll and are believing in 10-6. This is the team we saw last year that went on a roll. Their defense is gelling and they finally can stop the pass with Harper and Finnegan healthy. I like the Titans to prevail in a close one.
Titans -1 3.3 units to win 3
Under 47 1.1 unit to win 1
San Francisco -3 2.2 units to win 2
Dallas -13.5 2... [More]
Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 01:00 PM
Haven't been on here to post my PIX in a while, been taking a much needed break. But...I'm back with some strong plays...or atleast i believe their strong
Colts -1 5.5 to win 5 units
Redskins +11 2.2 to win 2
Jags -9 3.3 to win 3
Falcons +7 2.2 to win 2
Oakland +9.5 1.1 to win 1
NE -10.5 2.2 to win 2
Will be back with 2nd half plays. BOL
Posted Saturday, November 21, 2009 10:02 PM
Okay, so this is coming from a HUGE fan of Shaq. I have watched him ever since he came into the NBA with the Magic in 92-93. I cried when they got swept by the Rockets in 95 (mind you, I was a young kid). When Shaq was with the Lakers and they were on a run with Phil and Kobe, it was some of the greatest sport watching of my life. Then there was the ugly split which I wrongfully blamed on Kobe (thanks Phil Jackson on your ridiculous book "The Lost Season", which I immediately purchased as soon as it came out.) Just in case you guys have not read it, Phil pretty much blames Kobe and says hes not coming back to the Lakers.
Anyways, Shaq was traded to the Heat and Wade carried them to one of the luckiest championships I have ever witnessed. This team was dead in the fourth quarter being down 2-0 in the Finals, and then somehow, the Heat came back with all those ridiculous and sometimes phantom foul calls on Wade.
When Shaq was traded to the Suns, I could not believe what Steve Kerr had done. His team had an identity, and then traded for a 36 year old fat-ass whose best years were WAY behind him. Not only that, but there was no way in hell Shaq was ever going to work in their system. Although Shaq helped their interior rebounding, he completely took their entire team down.
Then Shaq came to the Cavs. My intital reaction was holy shit! Now Shaq gets to play with one of the best players in the league, if not the best. I couldn't believe it. No way the Cavs w... [More]
Posted Thursday, November 19, 2009 12:06 AM
I'm not exactly sure what the true numbers are, but I do remember the last 2 times this happened.
Oct. 26, 2008: Mike Nolan gets fired before San Francisco's bye.
The 49ers hosted the Seneca Wallace-led Seahawks squad that had only one
win, so they were favored by 5.5.
San Francisco was debacled, 34-13. The team committed three turnovers and
surrendered five sacks. The Niners also had many more penalties than
Dec. 16, 2007: Bobby Petrino vanished into thin air from Atlanta. Atlanta visited Tampa Bay the following Sunday as
13-point underdogs. The Bucs destroyed them, 37-3.
Point is that firing a coach during a non-bye week leads to poor performance, lack of execution, and just overall terrible football.
I'm not saying I like the Jags -8.5/9, I just find this trend very interesting. Does anybody have any opinions?
Posted Sunday, October 25, 2009 05:34 PM
Bills + 6 (+100) 55 to win 55
Jets -.5 (+105) 55 to win 60
Posted Thursday, October 22, 2009 01:17 AM
I love the Colts to roll all over the Rams this week. Indoors= Peyton Manning's 300+ yards against a weak Rams secondary. This one should be over by the first half. This iss. my only play of the week and is a little bit larger than my normal play
|Bet Type / Wager ID
|Straight wager / 1D8E6...
|NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ St. Louis) Indianapolis Point Spread -13 (-115)
Posted Sunday, October 18, 2009 07:35 PM
Had a pretty mediocre day today (around .500) and getting killed on the juice, but going to make it back Sunday night.
Since his first game in Chicago, Cutler has been stellar. When Cutler has a QB rating over 100, he is 13-0 The Atlanta passing defense has yet to face a QB like Cutler. Knox and Hester's speed will be key to a Chicago victory. Matt Forte should be able to get it going against a mediocre atlanta run defense. Matt Ryan will throw for 250 and 3 tds, but will come up short as the Bears pull this one out in the end. 31-28
BOL TO ALL
Posted Wednesday, October 14, 2009 09:27 PM
8-6 last week
57-39 overall 59.38%
Just a hair under 60%, dropped off last week with some bad losses. Hoping to make it back this week.
-The Rams finally realized that Kyle Boller is not the answer at QB. Bulger looked pretty good in the final drive that actually got them a touchdown, something they had not done the entire game. I just think that 10 points are way too many against a very inconsistent Jacksonville team. The Rams played well last week against the Vikings in the first half, but had some redzone failures that completely killed them. I see them playing a competitive game down in Jacksonville, even though it kills me betting on the stinky Rams.
-Everybody has been questioning the Packers offensive line after getting debacled against Jared Allen and the Vikings. Well... good thing for the Packers that they are playing against the Lions and they don't have a serious passing threat. With Calvin Johnson out for this game, I see the Packers playing strong against the Lions and taking them down.
-The Ravens have lost two straight very close games and might be going down a slippery slope. I think they get one back on the road against the Vikings. Numbers point against the Ravens, but I think they'll get it done.
Seattle -3 (POW) under 47.5
-This game is by far my favorite of the entire week. Kurt Warner looked absolutely horrendous in the 2nd half as the Cardinals squeake... [More]
Posted Sunday, October 11, 2009 02:38 PM
Thank me later, Culpepper is awful
Posted Wednesday, October 07, 2009 02:09 PM
2.04 units to win 5 units
Posted Friday, October 02, 2009 12:39 PM
Usually I stay away from parlay's and teasers, but I think I have found one I like alot!
Bears pick 'em
Colts pick 'em
What do u guys think???
Posted Monday, September 28, 2009 09:33 PM
I hate to say bet the house and Bills in the same sentence , but I strongly recommend a large wager on the Bills against the Dolphins next week. (Don't actually bet your home, please. we saw a guy lose 5500 on the stinky cards). Anyways, Chad Henne is a turnover machine who can't even sling the ball downfield, like his protege Pennington. Atleast Pennington, sometimes could avoid turnovers. Henne does not look ready. Last week against the Chargers he looked absolutely miserable. 10-18 91 yards and an easy pick 6. He is "supposed" to be the Dolphins future QB, learning under Pennington. Don't even start talking about Pat White. I would just DARE this guy to throw the ball. He has not even been close to scaring ANYBODY. He misses open streaking Ted Ginn's down the field (which does NOT happen too often, actually NEVER!)
Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off a spanking at home against the impressive Saints. T.O Is already complaining about his touches. Nothing new to report on that story though. They were simply outmatched and outcoached last week, but I believe they'll show up against the hated Dolphins. This is a comeback game for them and revenge for a team who beat up on them last season.
Take the Bills before the line goes through the roof!!!
Posted Sunday, September 27, 2009 03:57 PM
150 to win 785. Thoughts??
Posted Saturday, September 26, 2009 02:12 PM
3 Games i LOVE this week
Colts @ Cards: Colts +2.5
Take the Colts in September when Peyton Manning is playing good football. When this guy gets on a roll... watch out! Prime-time football and Peyton's getting points?? Holy shit balls! Was Kurt Warner's success against the Jaguars due to his play or the fact that the Jaguars have already given up on Del Rio and this entire organization? I'd have to go with the latter...
49ers @ Vikings: 49ers +7
The 49ers have beaten the Cardinals (in their own stadium) and the Seahawks impressively. Meanwhile, the Vikings taken entire games to beat the Browns and Lions. Peterson didn't get going until the 2nd half of both games. Mike Singletary has this team on a roll, while Brad Clueless is well... a complete moron and lies to his team. The Vikings rush defense hasn't looked itself the past 2 weeks. Has Brett Favre really gone 2 games without a single interception? I don't think he goes 3 games without one. He'll try and sling one down the field into coverage, like he always does, and that might just swing the game. Shaun Hill will not throw the ball downfield and will be very cautious. Even if the Vikings somehow pull this one out, no way they cover 7.
Bears @ Seahawks: Bears -2
The Seahawks have a very impressive defense when all of their players are playing. Unfortunately, this is not the week for them. Ken Lucas has just been added to the injury bug list. I see Cutler having a huge day againt thei... [More]
Posted Thursday, September 24, 2009 02:41 PM
The Colts run defense has been like this for the past 10 years. They may not have the greatest playoff success, but no one can question their utter dominance in the regular season over the past decade. They have the leagues best record over that span, and have typically been very sharp to start the year (for the exception of last year when Manning was coming off a surgery and they had a very slow start to the season)
Kurt Warner looked very impressive last week against the Jaguars by setting the NFL record for completion percentage in a game. Even though he set this record, his longest pass completion was for a mere 22 yards! Warner is coming off hip-surgery and has been throwing shorter routes and little dump off passes.
The key to this game will be whether or not Indy can get an early lead and make the Cardinals pass the ball. This way, Indy can keep pass rushing experts Mathis and Freeney in to hound Kurt Warner into some crucial turnovers. No way that the indy defense can survive another 45 minute pounding. I expect a much better overall game from them as they are still gelling under new defensive coordinator Larry Coyer's system.
Anyways, I think this is great value for the Colts and they matchup very well against the Cardinals. LETS GO COLTS!