Colts-Texans Week 1 game moves 2.5 points

Really? The Texans are 2.5 favorites over Peyton? Game was a pick'em a few months back. Are people expecting Colts to start slow? They lost last year to Texans opening day and in 2008 when Peyton didn't practice with the team until a week before the regular season opener and they started 3-4.

2008 was a little different as it dealt with his knee. Yes, there was the lockout, but Peyton got in a lot of time this off-season with his WRs and o-line before he had neck surgery.

I think he will be just fine to start the season. Like always, the Texans are over-rated IMO. If they are going to make the playoffs, they need to get rid of Gary Kubiak. Wade may help their D, but I think Foster will have trouble running the ball without Leach guiding him through the holes.

Anyone else have an opinion?

Week 1 Preseason Line: 49ers @ Colts

For the past 5 years, Peyton Manning has played one-two series at most in the opening game before being benched. After Peyton Manning steps out of the game, the players DO NOT CARE ONE BIT about winning. This year, I will be placing a HUGE WAGER on the 49ers no matter the line. The Colts back-up QB's this year include Curtis "Mr. Fumbilitis" Painter and Drew Willy who they just elevated from their practice squad. Jim Sorgi left to sit behind the other Manning.  Jim Caldwell, like his predecessor Mr. Dungy, could care less about pre-season games. He has absolutely no interesting in winning the game as it is meaningless in his opinion. All he wants is the health of his starters to be in tact. 

I could care less about the lack of talent in the backups of the 49ers, because once Manning goes out, the Colts will score 3-7 points the rest of the game.

Don't believe me? check out the previous history of Colts opening games

2009: Home against the Favre-less Vikings: LOSS 3-13
2008: HOF game against Redskins neutral territory: LOSS 16-30
2007: @Cowboys: LOSS 10-23
2006: @ Rams: LOSS 17-19 (Colts did cover as the line went from Rams -2 to -3. Late kick and a crazy ending)
2005: Home against Atlanta Falcons: LOSS 21-27

Colts are 0-5 in their last 5 opening pre-season games covering only once. Do you see them making any difference with Curtis Painter and Drew Willy Wonka? I think not...

I'm guessing this line will be 49ers -3 and... [More]

Scott's Turkey Day...Week 12 PIX

Happy turkey day to all

Week 12 NFL

Colts @ Texans---Texans +3.5

Everybody who has read a single post of mine, knows that I'm a huge Colts homer. BUT, just because I love Peyton Manning doesn't mean I DONT KNOW when to BET AGAINST HIM.

Well fellas, I have to say I believe this is the week that the Colts get knocked off their horses, or its another FG game either way. These teams historically have played very close games and the Texans are in a perfect spot (in my opinon). They just lost a close game to the Titans as favorites, and now most are very scared of this inconsistent Texans team.

The Colts have been getting pretty lucky as of late, and I don't believe they deserve to be 3.5 favorites.

Texans +3.5 3.3 units to win 3

Under 48.5 1.1 unit to win 1

Arizona @ Tennessee---Titans -1

This is a very weird game for Arizona. Traveling across the country to a team they have very little history with. They have a HUGE lead in their division, and I just can't see them playing @ 100% for this game. Meanwhile, the Titans are on a roll and are believing in 10-6. This is the team we saw last year that went on a roll. Their defense is gelling and they finally can stop the pass with Harper and Finnegan healthy. I like the Titans to prevail in a close one.

Titans -1 3.3 units to win 3

Under 47 1.1 unit to win 1

MORE PIX

San Francisco -3 2.2 units to win 2

Dallas -13.5 2... [More]

Scott's PIX Week 11

Haven't been on here to post my PIX in a while, been taking a much needed break. But...I'm back with some strong plays...or atleast i believe their strong

Colts -1 5.5 to win 5 units
Redskins +11 2.2 to win 2
Jags -9 3.3 to win 3
Falcons +7 2.2 to win 2
Oakland +9.5 1.1 to win 1
NE -10.5 2.2 to win 2

Will be back with 2nd half plays. BOL

Firing your coach during a non-bye week

I'm not exactly sure what the true numbers are, but I do remember the last 2 times this happened.

Oct. 26, 2008: Mike Nolan gets fired before San Francisco's bye. The 49ers hosted the Seneca Wallace-led Seahawks squad that had only one win, so they were favored by 5.5.

San Francisco was debacled, 34-13. The team committed three turnovers and surrendered five sacks. The Niners also had many more penalties than the Seahawks.

Dec. 16, 2007: Bobby Petrino vanished into thin air from Atlanta. Atlanta visited Tampa Bay the following Sunday as 13-point underdogs. The Bucs destroyed them, 37-3.

Point is that firing a coach during a non-bye week leads to poor performance, lack of execution, and just overall terrible football.

I'm not saying I like the Jags -8.5/9, I just find this trend very interesting. Does anybody have any opinions?

2H PLAYS

Bills + 6 (+100) 55 to win 55
Jets -.5 (+105) 55 to win 60

Scott's Play of the week 7

I love the Colts to roll all over the Rams this week. Indoors= Peyton Manning's 300+ yards against a weak Rams secondary. This one should be over by the first half. This iss.  my only play of the week and is a little bit larger than my normal play

Bet Type / Wager ID	Date	Bet/Risk	Payout	Won	Status
Straight wager / 1D8E6...	2009-10-22 01:12	$363.00	$678.65	$0.00	Placed
NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ St. Louis) Indianapolis Point Spread -13 (-115)	2009-10-25 13:10				Placed

Can you say DA BEARS?!?!?

Had a pretty mediocre day today (around .500) and getting killed on the juice, but going to make it back Sunday night.

Since his first game in Chicago, Cutler has been stellar. When Cutler has a QB rating over 100, he is 13-0 The Atlanta passing defense has yet to face a QB like Cutler. Knox and Hester's speed will be key to a Chicago victory. Matt Forte should be able to get it going against a mediocre atlanta run defense. Matt Ryan will throw for 250 and 3 tds, but will come up short as the Bears pull this one out in the end. 31-28

BOL TO ALL

Scott's Leans/Plays Week 6 NFL

8-6 last week
57-39 overall 59.38%

Just a hair under 60%, dropped off last week with some bad losses. Hoping to make it back this week.

Rams +10

-The Rams finally realized that Kyle Boller is not the answer at QB. Bulger looked pretty good in the final drive that actually got them a touchdown, something they had not done the entire game. I just think that 10 points are way too many against a very inconsistent Jacksonville team. The Rams played well last week against the Vikings in the first half, but had some redzone failures that completely killed them. I see them playing a competitive game down in Jacksonville, even though it kills me betting on the stinky Rams.

Packers -13.5

-Everybody has been questioning the Packers offensive line after getting debacled against Jared Allen and the Vikings. Well... good thing for the Packers that they are playing against the Lions and they don't have a serious passing threat. With Calvin Johnson out for this game, I see the Packers playing strong against the Lions and taking them down.

Ravens +3

-The Ravens have lost two straight very close games and might be going down a slippery slope. I think they get one back on the road against the Vikings. Numbers point against the Ravens, but I think they'll get it done.

Seattle -3 (POW) under 47.5

-This game is by far my favorite of the entire week. Kurt Warner looked absolutely horrendous in the 2nd half as the Cardinals squeake... [More]

Steelers -3.5 2nd Half

Thank me later, Culpepper is awful

6 team nfl 10.5 pt parlay

Vikings PK
Cowgirls +1.5
Eagles -5.5
Giants -6.5
Steelers -1.5
Colts +7

2.04 units to win 5 units

Comments?

3 team 10 pt teaser

Usually I stay away from parlay's and teasers, but I think I have found one I like alot!

Bears pick 'em
Colts pick 'em
giants -1

What do u guys think???

Bet the house on the Bills. Henne is in, Pennington is done for the season!

I hate to say bet the house and Bills in the same sentence , but I strongly recommend a large wager on the Bills against the Dolphins next week. (Don't actually bet your home, please. we saw a guy lose 5500 on the stinky cards). Anyways, Chad Henne is a turnover machine who can't even sling the ball downfield, like his protege Pennington. Atleast Pennington, sometimes could avoid turnovers. Henne does not look ready. Last week against the Chargers he looked absolutely miserable. 10-18 91 yards and an easy pick 6. He is "supposed" to be the Dolphins future QB, learning under Pennington. Don't even start talking about Pat White. I would just DARE this guy to throw the ball. He has not even been close to scaring ANYBODY. He misses open streaking Ted Ginn's down the field (which does NOT happen too often, actually NEVER!)

Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off a spanking at home against the impressive Saints. T.O Is already complaining about his touches. Nothing new to report on that story though. They were simply outmatched and outcoached last week, but I believe they'll show up against the hated Dolphins. This is a comeback game for them and revenge for a team who beat up on them last season.

Take the Bills before the line goes through the roof!!!

3 TEAM ML PARLAY

Colts +135
Bears -145
Steelers -175

150 to win 785. Thoughts??

Week 3 NFL. 3 games not 2 miss. DONT BE FOOLED!

3 Games i LOVE this week

Colts @ Cards: Colts +2.5
Take the Colts in September when Peyton Manning is playing good football. When this guy gets on a roll... watch out! Prime-time football and Peyton's getting points?? Holy shit balls!   Was Kurt Warner's success against the Jaguars due to his play or the fact that the Jaguars have already given up on Del Rio and this entire organization? I'd have to go with the latter...

49ers @ Vikings: 49ers +7
The 49ers have beaten the Cardinals (in their own stadium) and the Seahawks impressively. Meanwhile, the Vikings taken entire games to beat the Browns and Lions. Peterson didn't get going until the 2nd half of both games. Mike Singletary has this team on a roll, while Brad Clueless is well... a complete moron and lies to his team. The Vikings rush defense hasn't looked itself the past 2 weeks. Has Brett Favre really gone 2 games without a single interception? I don't think he goes 3 games without one. He'll try and sling one down the field into coverage, like he always does, and that might just swing the game. Shaun Hill will not throw the ball downfield and will be very cautious. Even if the Vikings somehow pull this one out, no way they cover 7.

Bears @ Seahawks: Bears -2

The Seahawks have a very impressive defense when all of their players are playing. Unfortunately, this is not the week for them. Ken Lucas has just been added to the injury bug list. I see Cutler having a huge day againt thei... [More]

Colts +125 against Kurt Warner's bum shoulder and hip...

The Colts run defense has been like this for the past 10 years. They may not have the greatest playoff success, but no one can question their utter dominance in the regular season over the past decade. They have the leagues best record over that span, and have typically been very sharp to start the year (for the exception of last year when Manning was coming off a surgery and they had a very slow start to the season)

Kurt Warner looked very impressive last week against the Jaguars by setting the NFL record for completion percentage in a game. Even though he set this record, his longest pass completion was for a mere 22 yards! Warner is coming off hip-surgery and has been throwing shorter routes and little dump off passes.

The key to this game will be whether or not Indy can get an early lead and make the Cardinals pass the ball. This way, Indy can keep pass rushing experts Mathis and Freeney in to hound Kurt Warner into some crucial turnovers. No way that the indy defense can survive another 45 minute pounding. I expect a much better overall game from them as they are still gelling under new defensive coordinator Larry Coyer's system.

Anyways, I think this is great value for the Colts and they matchup very well against the Cardinals. LETS GO COLTS!