sergio1994's Blog

nfl week IV

By sergio1994 | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, October 01, 2011 10:38 PM   3 comments
6-4 +1.93 LW
16-9-2 +6.73 YTD

Unders came back in a hurry in week 3, after overs had their run the opening two weeks.

Here are the plays this week:

1:00's

Cinci +3 and ml .8/1.08 

Sure Buffalo is the darling of the league right now, but did ya know that Cinci has the 3rd ranked D in the league? I smell a let down on the road after upsetting NE

ST Louis +3 and ml .8/1.04 

Terrible spot for Wash. The week after Dallas and before the bye and having to prepare on a short week. I can't imagine everyone will be on the same page here vs a desperate Rams team getting Stephen Jackson back. 

Pitt/Hou over 44.5

Pitt's Def is not what it used to be. Texans hold various weapons and can dictate pace. Having Arian Foster will help them stay balanced. 

4:00's 

AZ +1.5 

NY is still not well enough to be laying points vs a Card's team who I got a feeling get on track with a signature effort. 2nd straight roadie for NY, made more difficult by traveling to the far west. 


Leaving room for another play and the Sunday nighter where i think i like the over and the Jets. Still have to look at a few more things. 
3 comments
comment Post A Comment
sergio1994 says:
10/02/11 03:59PM
Oak +6.5 

Sure NE should win this, but Oakland can run and pass and even play a little D. Also not a fan of the cross county travel for being their 2nd straight roadie for the Pats. 



sergio1994 says:
10/02/11 04:07PM
usually like to correlate teasers, but this one made sense to me...

NE/Oak over 49 & AZ +7
sergio1994 says:
10/02/11 07:58PM
2-4 -2.12

Looking to square the ledger and recuperate from a down day...

NYJ/Balt under 43
NYJ+11 and UNDER 49 
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User: sergio1994
Joined: August 2008
Location: District of Columbia
Team: Washington Capitals
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