What’s up donkeys! Had a
great day yesterday, going 10-2 in the pro’s!
We’ve got a good one tonight. Last time these two met was week 6 in Tampa and
the Panthers got rung-up for a 27-3. You think this one isn’t circled in red
for the Panthers?? One thing I consider when I cap games is the line of
scrimmage. Games are won and lost in the trenches. Taking a look at tonight’s
lines, the Buc’s have D-line issues with DE Haye out and DE Adams dinged.
That’s the equivalent of 20% of the D Line being down. Advantage = Carolina. On
the other side of the ball, the Panthers D Line got dominated last time out. DE
Pepper’s was ineffective, getting 3 tackles and 0 sacks. Since that TB game,
the Panthers have out-rushed and won 5 of the following 6 opponents. RB Williams
has 9 TD’s since that debacle in Tampa. Advantage = Panthers. Del Homey is not
playing as well as Garcia, but the strength of this team is running the ball.
Of late, the Panthers are gaining 6.2 yards per carry!
Some situational trends I
uncovered in capping this game:
Panthers boast a 35-18 ATS
mark
(66%)
since ’98 after the holiday weekend
Carolina is 16-10 (62%) as a
post-Thanksgiving weekend
Favorite
over the L10 years, best in the NFL
Any team - revenging a
same season loss against opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to
75%). (34-8 ATS) Play = CAROLINA
against
the spread
They
are also 19-8 ATS revenging a same season loss and on a 35-19 ATS run in
December, best in the NFL
What
this comes down to for the Panthers is that game against TB was a gut check for
the Panthers. It’s a manhood issue tonight.
Taking the Panthers –3 for tonight's game.
GL w/all your plays.