CFB Season breakdown:
Phase 1 (Wks 1-3): easy pickins... lines aren't established yet, so they are soft... favorites dominate... i always kill these weeks...
Phase 2 (Wks 4-7): books and public catch up... good spot to find big upsets... dogs rule... this is my achilles heal in CFB... grind it out and avoid disasters...
Phase 3 (Wks 8-13): YES! thank GOD phase 2 is over! the first 2 months show us who's really who... now we know who to bet on, who to bet against... bet on the perennial powers and new elites when laying short lines... find live dogs against over-rated teams... look for the top 2-3 to have bullseyes on their backs... the public and books fall behind again, because they fail to correlate opponents... but not me! back on track...
Phase 4 (Wks 13-15): rivalries take center stage... weather becomes a big factor... gotta pick your spots here... all about line value... same rules apply from Phase 3, but books and public are caught up again, so this requires very precise handicapping... knowing your CFB history (rivalries, trends) is key! i do well, but proceed cautiously...
Phase 5 (Bowl Season): this is what it's all about... everything you've learned the entire season must now be applied... lots of great overs early on (up through Dec. 28)... for me, Phases 2-4 are just waypoints between Phase 1 and 5... build your bankroll in Phase 1... supplement it with good discipline in Phase 2-4, while doing your homework... and use that bankroll and what you've learned to make your real money in Phase 5...