snuke's Blog

Posted Tuesday, May 08, 2012 09:49 PM

Rockies/Padres O/U

Chad Fairchild is the HP ump in this one.  He has the lowest called strike rate on pitches outside of the PitchFX strikezone since 2011 (6.5%).

This favors the OVER as pitchers will not be getting those extra strikes, meaning more walks.  Batters will be able to be more selective.


Posted Tuesday, May 08, 2012 08:27 PM

Cardinals-DBacks umpire

Time Welke is scheduled to be behind the plate for tonight's games.  Since 2011, he's had the highest called strike rate among all umpires on pitches outside the PitchFX defined strike zone (12.4%).

However, he's also had the LOWEST called strike rate on pitches inside the strike zone in that span (75.4%).

So basically he has a very expansive strike zone but fails to consistently call strikes inside the strike zone.  Essentially he's the worst HP umpire in the game right now. 

Normally his inconsistency would make me side with the over.  But with it set at 9 and with Westbrook and Kennedy on the mound, go with the under.  Welke's tendency to expand the zone will probably do more for these control pitchers.


Posted Sunday, May 06, 2012 12:45 PM

Diamondback @ Mets O/U

O/U 7

Bob Davidson is behind the plate and since 2010 he's had the 2nd highest called strike rate on pitches outside the PitchFX strike zone.  This should be a boost for both Cahill and knuckle baller R.A. Dickey. 

Go with the under. 




Posted Tuesday, September 20, 2011 12:59 PM

Dexter McCluster, Eric Decker, or David Nelson??

I have top waiver priority right now and can take my pick of any of these three available players: McCluster, Decker, or David Nelson. 

And this is NOT A PPR league

I am pretty short at WR right now, but in my league McCluster qualifies as both WR and RB.  But it's just a matter of whether he'll actually see more touches/plays with Charles gone for the season.

Who is the more valuable pickup?


Posted Tuesday, November 25, 2008 06:43 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Tues., 11/25

Stopping the slide:

Predators -135 [150 units]

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/24:
DAL/PHI under 5.5 [150 units] -150 
NYI/MON under 5.5 (-118) -100
Canucks +138 +138
Total =  -112 units  
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 50-42
   ML: 20-18
   O/U: 30-24
Units: +134... [More]

Posted Monday, November 24, 2008 03:35 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Mon., 11/24

Bad stretch lately.  Going back to what won me my money:  totals and a dog every once in a while:

DAL/PHI under 5.5 [150 units]
NYI/MON under 5.5 (-118)
Canucks +138

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/22:
NYR/OTT under 5 (+120) PUSH
Sabres -218 [200 units] -200
Coyotes +155 -100
CLB/ATL over 5.5 (-122)  -100
DET/CAL over 5.5 +90
Avs -102 +98
Total =  -212 units  
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 49-40
   ML: 19-18
   O/U: 30-22
Units: +246... [More]

Posted Saturday, November 22, 2008 01:57 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Sat., 11/22

My first truly AWFUL day, yesterday, losing all of my picks.  That's a total rarity. Lets turn it around NOW:

NYR/OTT under 5 (+120)
Sabres -218 [200 units]
Coyotes +155
CLB/ATL over 5.5 (-122)
DET/CAL over 5.5
Avs -102

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/21:
Panthers +200 [75 units] -75
PHO/CAR under 5.5 (-125) -100
Sabres -145 -100
PHI/BUF over 5.5 (-127) -100
Total =  -375 units  
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 47-37
   ML: 18-16
   O/U: 29-21
Units: +458... [More]

Posted Friday, November 21, 2008 04:55 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Fri., 11/21

Its friday.  Time to score BIG:

Panthers +200 [75 units]
PHO/CAR under 5.5 (-125)
Sabres -145
PHI/BUF over 5.5 (-127)


GL everybody and have a great night!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/19:
VAN/NYR under 5 (-116) -100
WSH/ANA over 5 (-158) +63
Total =  -37 units  
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 47-33
   ML: 18-14
   O/U: 29-19
Units: +833... [More]

Posted Wednesday, November 19, 2008 01:38 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Wed., 11/19

A big positive unit night with help from the Oilers big underdog win over the Jackets.  Let's keep it rollin':

VAN/NYR under 5 (-116)
WSH/ANA over 5 (-158)

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/18:
Oilers +146 +146
FLA/TB under 5.5 (-126) -100
Blackhawks -114 +87
Total =  +133 units 
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 46-32
   ML: 18-14
   O/U: 28-18
Units: +870... [More]

Posted Tuesday, November 18, 2008 11:42 AM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Tues., 11/18

I haven't had the time to really break down any games since Friday, which is why I haven't posted anything since.  I do like the following for tonight:

Oilers +146
FLA/TB under 5.5 (-126)
Blackhawks -114

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/14:
NJ +170 -100
CAR/ATL over 5.5 (-130) -100
STL/CHI over 5.5 (-130) +77
Total = -123 units 
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 44-31
   ML: 16-14
   O/U: 28-17
Units: +737... [More]

Posted Friday, November 14, 2008 02:20 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Fri., 11/14

A perfect night last night.  Let's keep it going:

NJ +170
CAR/ATL over 5.5 (-130)
STL/CHI over 5.5 (-130)

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/13: (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
NYI/OTT under 5.5 +90
Wild -173 +57
Total = +147 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 43-29
   ML: 16-13
   O/U: 27-16
Units: +860... [More]

Posted Thursday, November 13, 2008 11:41 AM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Thurs., 11/13

Just missed going 3-0 yesterday.  One goal too many in the WAS/CAR game.  Still a good night with +71 units.  Lots of games tonight but only two that I like:

NYI/OTT under 5.5
Wild -173

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/12: (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
STL/BUF over 5.5 +90
Rangers -123 +81
WAS/CAR under 5.5 -100
Total = +71 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 41-29
   ML: 15-13
   O/U: 26-16
Units: +713... [More]

Posted Wednesday, November 12, 2008 07:44 PM

Spurs-Bucks o/u is way off

180.5 ?????  

That's an over if I've ever seen one.


Posted Wednesday, November 12, 2008 04:19 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Wed., 11/12

Went 1-1 last night for -20 units. 
Here's the best I've got tonight:

STL/BUF over 5.5
Rangers -123
WAS/CAR under 5.5

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/11: (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
TOR/CAL over 5.5 (-125) +80
NSH/SJ under 5.5 (-125) -100
Total = -20 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 39-28
   ML: 14-13
   O/U: 25-15
Units: +642... [More]

Posted Tuesday, November 11, 2008 12:06 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Tues., 11/11

Just missed the lone pick last night.  Two good ones for tonight:

TOR/CAL over 5.5 (-125)
NSH/SJ under 5.5 (-125)

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/10 (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
TB/WAS under 5.5 -100
Total = -100 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 38-27
   ML: 14-13
   O/U: 24-14
Units: +662... [More]

Posted Monday, November 10, 2008 10:21 AM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Mon., 11/10

Another good day for +67 units.  Very short schedule tonight.  Narrowed it down to one good pick:

TB/WAS under 5.5

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/09 (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
ATL/CAR over 5.5 (-130) +77
Flames +155 -100
CAL/CHI over 5.5 +90
Total = +67 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 38-26
   ML: 14-13
   O/U: 24-13
Units: +762... [More]

Posted Sunday, November 09, 2008 12:40 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Sun., 11/9

A decent 2-1 record from yesterday.  Hope to close out the weekend with another positive unit day:

ATL/CAR over 5.5 (-130)
Flames +155
CAL/CHI over 5.5

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/08 (note: sometimes I forget to change the date here.  But the picks are usually for the day before.):
MON/TOR over 5.5 (-125) +80
Flames -120 -100
FLA/PHO under 5.5 (-130) +77
Total = +57 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 36-25
   ML: 14-12
   O/U: 22-13
Units: +695... [More]

Posted Saturday, November 08, 2008 02:12 AM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Sat., 11/8

A perfect 2-0 last night.  Putting out my Saturday picks early:

MON/TOR over 5.5 (-125)
Flames -120
FLA/PHO under 5.5 (-130)

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/06:
MON/COL over 5.5 +90
'Canes -109 +91
Total = +181 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 34-24
   ML: 14-11
   O/U: 20-13
Units: +638... [More]

Posted Friday, November 07, 2008 05:49 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Fri, 11/7

Went 1-2 last night.  Bleh.  Going to get on track tonight.

MON/COL over 5.5
'Canes -109

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/06:
TOR/BOS over 5.5 +90
EDM/PIT under 5.5 -100
NSH/CAL under 5.5 -100
Total = --110 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 32-24
   ML: 13-11
   O/U: 19-13
Units: +457... [More]

Posted Thursday, November 06, 2008 06:03 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Thurs, 11/6

Split yesterday's picks.  Lots on the schedule tonight.  Here's what I narrowed it down to:

TOR/BOS over 5.5
EDM/PIT under 5.5
NSH/CAL under 5.5

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/05:
NJ -124 +80
TB/NJ under 5.5 (-135) -100
Total = -20 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 31-22
   ML: 13-11
   O/U: 18-11
Units: +567... [More]

Posted Tuesday, November 04, 2008 04:29 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Tues, 10/4

Nailed my one pick yesterday.  Still rollin'! 
Here's what I have for tonight.

PHO/CAL under 5.5 (-122)
NSH/VAN over 5.5
Kings +132


GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/03:
COL/CHI over 5.5 (-120) +83
Total = +83 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 30-18
   ML: 12-10
   O/U: 18-8
Units: +887... [More]

Posted Monday, November 03, 2008 06:21 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Mon, 11/3

Another positive unit night last night.  Only came up with one play tonight:

COL/CHI over 5.5

GL everybody!


(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 11/02:
Oilers +155  +155
DET/VAN over 5.5
  -100
Total = +55 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 29-18
   ML: 12-10
   O/U: 17-8
Units: +804


Posted Sunday, November 02, 2008 11:17 AM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Sun, 11/2

Its been a hectic last few days, which is why I haven't had time to cap.  But nailed my last pick on Wednesday and hope to continue doing well in today's action:

Oilers +155
DET/VAN over 5.5


GL everybody!


(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 10/29:
MIN/DAL over 5 (-134) +74
Total = +74 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 28-17
   ML: 11-10
   O/U: 17-7
Units: +749


Posted Wednesday, October 29, 2008 06:14 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Wed, 10/29

Went 3 for 3 yesterday to get back on track.  Short schedule tonight.  So I broke it down to one pick:

MIN/DAL over 5 (-134)

GL everybody!


(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 10/28:
PHI/ATL over 5.5 (-134) +74
TB/TOR under 5.5 +90
Flames -137
+73
Total = +237 units
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 27-17
   ML: 11-10
   O/U: 16-7
Units: +675


Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 06:08 PM

Snuke's NHL Picks for Tues, 10/28

Took my time with these since I've been struggling.  My totals have been pretty decent nonetheless, so I'll mainly stick to them for a while.  Here we go:

PHI/ATL over 5.5 (-134)
TB/TOR under 5.5
Flames -137

GL everybody!

(Remember, all picks are for 100 units unless otherwise indicated.  All my past picks are listed on my blog.)

Last pick set - 10/27:
OTT/BUF under 6 (-135) -100
Columbus +112 -100
Oilers -123 -100
DET/LA over 6 (+122) +122
Total = -178
_________________________  
Season Record                             
Overall: 24-17
   ML: 10-10
   O/U: 14-7
Units: +438... [More]

Posts:  1 2 3  

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Location: United States
Team: New York Yankees
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