K'S NCAAF FRI 10/7

YTD ATS: 11-7-1, +8.90 UNITSMEDIUM PLAYS (**): 5-1
LARGE PLAYS (***): 1-0
1-1 yesterday, +.85 unit. Hit my 2 unit play on WKU but lost Oregon 1H.
FRESNO STATE TT OVER 17.5 (-135)***I know this is a lot of juice... but this is only the third time since 1985 that Fresno has been DD home dogs, let alone by 20+ points. In those games they are averaging 31 ppg. I know it doesn't mean much considering the sample size but it does tell me that these guys will fight at home, especially when they are the dogs. Those familiar with this rivalry know that in 2001 BSU came in and upset Fresno at home, who then went on to lose to Hawaii the week after, killing their chance at a BCS bound season. David Carr was the QB that year and now his brother is backing this current team. Fresno has two major injuries to their secondary, in Phillip Thomas  and Derron Smith and Boise has lost their top CB Gavins for the year. I think there will be some points thrown up on the board tonight... and I think Fresno will have every opportunity to try and cash in on that. FYI, last week against Ole Miss, they had half their starting o-line missing who are all back for this game. There is no way FSU gets shut out at home, and I think 17.5 is a very reachable number. In my capping, I see this as at least a TD short.
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K'S NCAAF THUR 10/6

YTD ATS: 10-6-1, +8.05 UNITS

MEDIUM PLAYS (**): 4-1

LARGE PLAYS (***): 1-0

WKU +11.5**

These WKU seniors have yet to beat Middle Tenn so far in their college careers and I'm guessing that it'll be on their minds tonight. This is an experienced group with 17 starters back from last season (7 O, 8 D) compared to the Blue Raiders who only have 3 starters returning on defense and a new QB (albeit a talented one in Kilgore) Rainey is a beast at RB... he carried the ball 45 times in last years matchup against MTSU. WKU has covered every game in which they've had the rushing edge and I think that trend continues here... MTSU's lack of experience on defense shows as they are #112 in the nation in rushing yards allowed/gm and #112 in total yards allowed/gm.

Looking at the Oregon game still...

K'S NFL SUN 9/12

YTD ATS: 1-0-1

THANKS FOR A GREAT SEASON COVERS MEMBERS

So despite me getting raked yesterday (I did say that if I go down, I go down in flames but I parred MSU to the under second half which helped) I'd like to take a moment and say thanks to everyone for another great season.  There's a lot of good cappers here on the forums who have all contributed some great insight over the past few months.  I've learned a lot and have a little extra change in my pocket too which is nice.

K's NCAABB TOURNEY FRI 3/20

NCAA Tourney YTD ATS: 3-3-1 (50%)
3-3-1 yesterday, +1.7 units.  Akron almost hit for my second 3 unit winner... was happily shocked to see they were within 1 with 11 min left when I got off the airplane only to have them implode over the remainder of the game.  Should've waited to get it at 13.5... oh well.
Back in Ithaca, and it's 25 fucking degrees... a big change from the 90 degrees that it was in LA two days ago.
BOL everyone!

LOCKED IN Cornell +13 (3 UNITS) North Dakota St. +10 (1 UNIT) Cleveland St. +8 (1 UNIT) Louisville -20.5 (1 UNIT)  Siena +3 (1 UNIT) Cleveland St/Wake Forest UNDER 137 (1 UNIT) Kansas/North Dakota State UNDER 144.5 (1 UNIT) Arizona St/ Temple OVER 124 (1 UNIT) Utah St/Marquette UNDER 142 (1 UNIT)... [More]

K's NCAABB SUN 3/15

YTD ATS: 288-253-8 (52.9%)
4-0 yesterday in straight plays yesterday, picking up +6.1 units.  Also hit a three team teaser at the end of the night as well for a clean sweep.
Tired legs finally caught up to the Orangemen last night, but it was one heckuva Big East tourney.
Really like the way Tenn is playing right now... they seem to be finally performing at a high level consistently... they are fast, long, athletic, and are shooting the ball much better (47% from three the last game).  They are also extremely deep, with 8 guys averaging at least 17 min or more.  I see them having an advantage in every category today except free throw shooting so hopefully it doesn't come down to that.
FSU's relentless defense and length will keep it tight today against Dook... FSU has held their last three opponents to under 38% shooting from the floor.  The Noles are 6-2 SU over the last 8 games, with the two losses coming by an average of 4 pts, and 10-4 ATS as dogs overall, and 11-4 ATS on the road.  Duke is 0-5 ATS their last 5 games after failing to score at least 75 points in the prior game.  The dog in this matchup has covered 8 of the last 10.
EARLY LEANSTenn -5Miss St/Tenn UNDER 149FSU +6Purdue 1H -3.5Ohio St/Purdue OVER 124.5

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K's NCAABB FRI 3/13

YTD ATS: 276-247-8 (52.8%)

SYSTEM TOTALS ATS: 21-9-1 (70%)

Yike, Friday the 13th.

Just want start off by saying that amidst a 4-7 day overall losing 8.2 units and with the system finally taking a signifigant hit going 0 for 6, I witnessed one of the greatest basketball games I've ever seen in my lifetime.  It reminded me of how I got into betting on this sport in the first place, which is that I couldn't get enough of it... I needed more.  But for almost four hours last night, I forgot about gambling and how bad my day went and was just a fan.  Being a Syracuse homer made it all the more sweet, but I think I would've enjoyed this as much had I not been a fan of either team.  You can't write shit like this... no one would believe you.

That being said, system plays took a big hit yesterday... 0-6.  Without making excuses, it could've been a much better day but a couple of breaks didn't go our way.  Sometimes you get the man, and sometimes the man gets you.  I will continue to track this system and post it's play.  Those who have followed these plays from last Monday should still be in the positive because of it.  I am only going to go 1 unit on these plays (if any.)   Tail at your own risk.  If you have doubts regarding these plays, I sure as hell don't blame you after yesterday.

LEANS

Villanova +4.5

Georgia Tech +5.5

UAB pk

San Diego St +1.5

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K'S NCAAF THURS 10/23

Season: 51-55-2 ATSThis week: 1-0 ATS
NEW MEXICO/AIR FORCE UNDER 45Two run heavy offenses duke it out tonight... AFA averaging over 300 yds a game on the ground and New Mexico getting over 220 yds.  Last season's meeting was a high scoring affair but much of that was due to Airforce's 5 fumbles.  The Lobos should be up to the task tonight... they put on good defensive showings against TCU (another run heavy program) and BYU and are only allowing 100 yds/rushing per contest.  Airforce, while not as potent against run, is only yielding 300 yds a game to their opponents.  A lot of heavy action on the over, considering New Mex won 70-7 last week and the totals in the Airforce game averaging 54.8 ppg the past 5 weeks.  However, this total opened at 47 and is now at 45.
Heavy leans on Auburn and the under right now... will wait a little and see how the day goes.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY LEANSSJST +7.5SJST UNDER 42.5 **LARGE**
DUKE +10.5ARIZ ST +4.5KENT ST +6.5ALABAMA/TENNESSEE UNDER 41.5ARKANSAS +5PURDUE +1NEW MEXICO STATE -14



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