special__k's Blog

K'S NCAAF THUR 10/6

By special__k | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:29 AM   24 comments
YTD ATS: 10-6-1, +8.05 UNITS
MEDIUM PLAYS (**): 4-1
LARGE PLAYS (***): 1-0

WKU +11.5**
These WKU seniors have yet to beat Middle Tenn so far in their college careers and I'm guessing that it'll be on their minds tonight. This is an experienced group with 17 starters back from last season (7 O, 8 D) compared to the Blue Raiders who only have 3 starters returning on defense and a new QB (albeit a talented one in Kilgore) Rainey is a beast at RB... he carried the ball 45 times in last years matchup against MTSU. WKU has covered every game in which they've had the rushing edge and I think that trend continues here... MTSU's lack of experience on defense shows as they are #112 in the nation in rushing yards allowed/gm and #112 in total yards allowed/gm.

Looking at the Oregon game still...
24 comments
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TexasStyle says:
10/06/11 01:09AM
hey Special K , I am fan of your large play... should the record read 1-1 because of the  Eagle and Sf  game going over...or is this stat just for college football
amd says:
10/06/11 01:17AM
Good luck buddy
special__k says:
10/06/11 01:21AM

I keep separate records for NFL and College.
1bajalife says:
10/06/11 01:23AM
squidly_63 says:
10/06/11 01:42AM

I have been following you for a couple of years.  I don't understand soemthing about this pick though.  How can a  team lose 4 games at home by an avg margin of 13 points, including by 28 to Indiana St be expected to cover  11.5 pts on the road?  I understand your angle on the run, but they can't stop the pass and Mid TN avgs over 300 yds a game.  Also, WKY is avging giving the ball away 2 times more a game than Mid TN.   One more point is the strength of schedule for these two schools.  WKY - 112 with the 117th ranked offense.  Mid TN- 66 schedule with 60th ranked offense.  I respect your opinion, but I'm on the other side here. GL to you in all your plays. 

TO9 says:
10/06/11 02:30PM

not k, but did you happen to watch/see the Memphis/MTSU game?? Not sure who would back MTSU minus double digits vs anyone after that performance. 
keepitstrict says:
10/06/11 03:08PM
special__k says:
10/06/11 03:44PM

I did see that game... had a wager on the over in that game. MTSU plays terrible defense. Memphis is arguably the worst team in D-1A football and MTSU scored the winning TD with :11 seconds remaining. MTSU & WKU are bottom of the barrel teams. To me, MTSU has alot more problems to address than WKU does, especially on defense. Benny Cunningham is doubtful for MTSU, and he's a big part of their running game.
HotRoute says:
10/06/11 03:47PM
gl K
SaiGonVN1982 says:
10/06/11 03:50PM
 GL K. I am with you on this PLAY.  Also, the OVER. What you think ??
special__k says:
10/06/11 04:40PM

I lean the under.
SaiGonVN1982 says:
10/06/11 04:52PM
 i play OVER..  i thought you played W. Ken only
special__k says:
10/06/11 05:35PM
ADDING

OREGON 1H -13.5 (-115)
POTUS says:
10/06/11 05:38PM
special__k says:
10/06/11 05:39PM

I didn't bet the over. You asked what I thought, and I said I leaned towards the under. Relax.
jay62901 says:
10/06/11 05:41PM
good luck 
CRS says:
10/06/11 05:44PM
BOL SpecialK
special__k says:
10/06/11 09:03PM
One half down, one to go... let's go Hilltoppers!
DoubleUp4Life says:
10/06/11 09:10PM
BOL Brother 
OwenSixteen says:
10/06/11 09:19PM
any thoughts on the 2H in this one?
special__k says:
10/06/11 09:22PM

MTSU and the over. But not playing either.
svensk says:
10/06/11 09:29PM
special__k says:
10/06/11 09:54PM
Good christ this game is terrible. Three WIDE OPEN drops in the 2H for WKU, 2 of them should have gone for scores. Can you say SHITFEST.

AND my Yankees are losing. Bleh.
SaiGonVN1982 says:
10/06/11 11:48PM
Good Hit on WKU.  K
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User: special__k
Joined: December 2007
Location: California
Team: Philadelphia Eagles
Occupation: Arts/Entertainment

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