Everyone always talks about system plays and five star picks. But take the time to look at this. The lock of year . Cleveland at home is the play. When a team is off a bye and getting six or more points at home. It happen once last year. Also when a team like the (gaints) who had double the yards double first down and double total yards. almost never cover the next game on the road. Think about it what person will be betting on cleveland. 0-4 against the superbowl champions and 4-0.