Posted Friday, April 05, 2013 02:50 AM
Look, I posted that when I first joined this website. I also posted that I could be around .800 "If I really tried". That is a really bold statement, I know. The truth is that I believe it. Now I am not going to sit here and tell you all that I have this great fantasy wisdom. The truth about betting on sites like this is that they use the spread. Most of you know that the spread ISNT about putting a number at the 50/50 mark but is actually about where to put it where the betting over and the betting under will be roughly equal. That is why the "lines move". Vegas gets too many people betting for the Vikings over the Packers, then they drop the line a bit so that more people start betting on the Packers. Never think that you know something THEY dont in vegas, you just need to know more than OTHER BETTERS. Sometimes you can get insight on what is a good pick based on if/how/when the "line moves".
Okay, I am boring myself now. If you are a "serious gambler" you already know this. Also, I have been drinking and am bored with what I am talking about. I am not sure If it is even making sense as I am typing it, I just know what I am trying to say.
My 2 cents worth is this... DONT make a pick until you are ready to. I am HORRIBLE at this. I will make a pick every day that I remember to get on this site and have the opportunity to make a new pick. Dont be afraid to take time ... [More]