str8_chaser's Blog
Posted Friday, October 10, 2008 09:03 PM
YTD:
ATS: 16-9-1 +5.54 units
ML dogs: 8-2! +12.03 units
Overall: +17.57 ROI: 50.2%!
Card
Oklahoma -6.5
Kentucky ML +125
UCLA +19
LSU ML +218
Ball St -16
Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 04:00 PM
does anyone has historical data about the average # of goals depending on days of rest a team has had. this stat is very easy to find for basketball but i can't find it for hockey.
basically i want to get a numerical sense of
how much back to back games affect scoring.
any discussion without the data is also welcome.
thanks!
Posted Monday, September 22, 2008 10:56 PM
YTD:ATS: 11-5-1 +5 unitsML: 5-1 +8.25 units
last week was awesome! nailing 5 of 6 ML dogs adds up the units fast. quickly looking at this week's games underwhelms me, though. here are some early leans that i wouldn't mind feedback on:
Mich St -8
Iowa -8.5
Alabama +7
Wisco -6
Oklahoma -17.5
Troy +16.5
Texas -28
last week there were so many dogs that i liked but this week i am just not seeing it.
Posted Thursday, September 18, 2008 12:49 PM
YTD: 7-5-1
Colorado +3Boise St. +10.5Ohio +11i guess the days of favorites have ended. there are a ton of of ML dogs that i like. i will post them in a few to get your feedback on which ones others like...
Posted Monday, September 08, 2008 01:25 PM
YTD: 5-3
these are already locked in:
Auburn -10.5Georgia -7Michigan -1Oklahoma -20Michigan St -16.5let's hope for another winning week!
Posted Wednesday, September 03, 2008 04:59 PM
Tigers 1st5 -112Royals 1st5 -105Cubs -1.5 RL -101Good luck to all
Posted Tuesday, September 02, 2008 06:03 PM
1st 5 and MLRAYS
WHITE SOX
BRAVES
maybe a boston, sf, phil parlay too
Posted Sunday, August 31, 2008 10:32 PM
2-0 with Tenn pending for Week 1
Week 2 PicksWest Virginia -8.5Oklahoma -20.5Ohio St -34.5Texas Tech -9Georgia -23LSU -24Major chalk for another week at least while the big teams play cupcakes. I don't want to out think myself looking for upsets in these early stages. With that said, I kind of like Stanford and Akron but I can't pull the trigger yet.
Any discussion or input welcome...
Posted Saturday, August 30, 2008 06:36 PM
pirates 1st5
braves 1st5 and ML
YTD:
ML+17.48 units
1st5+10.1 units
Posted Friday, August 29, 2008 06:20 PM
1st5 and MLPiratesGiantsAstrosGood luck to all!
Posted Thursday, August 28, 2008 12:47 PM
really good last two days. lets keep it up. starting with
Boston 1st5 and ML
Posted Wednesday, August 27, 2008 05:41 PM
1st5Phillies +145
Nationals +160
Yankees -118
Indians +150
full game Money Line: teams above plus Reds +246
yesterday was great! 10-4
YTD +27.55 units
Posted Tuesday, August 26, 2008 06:55 PM
5 Innings
ATL
PIT
WAS
PHI
MIL
BOS
those plus SEA and TEX full games
Posted Saturday, August 23, 2008 03:59 PM
ATL +140
CIN +150
FLA +146
PIT +210 if Karstens is starting which i cant confirm
all 1st 5 innings
Posted Friday, August 22, 2008 01:17 PM
1st5Washington +233Lannan is great on the road and i am getting more than 2:1.
Time to roll the dice!
more later when i cap them.
Good luck to all
Posted Thursday, August 21, 2008 03:34 PM
It has been 1 month of posting a single method's picks on Covers (all 1 unit bets):
Money Line33-30 average line +112
+6.6 Units1st 5 innings35-25 average line +108
+13.06 UnitsObviously, the 1st 5 bets are performing better and that is all I will post from now on.
I lost my last 3 picks, which is the longest losing streak yet, but I foresee some more loses because I had a 9-1 stretch in there that probably will be balanced out.
Still, my method is on an outstanding pace that if I can come close to maintaining will be outstanding.
I will post today's picks in a bit...
Posted Wednesday, August 20, 2008 02:23 PM
only 2 plays today
1st5 as usual
Tampa -120
SF -123
Posted Tuesday, August 19, 2008 05:16 PM
1st 5 innings
35-22 +16.5 units
not much today again. just this:
Tampa -101
good luck to all
Posted Monday, August 18, 2008 02:31 PM
twenty something days of sticking with one capping method...
1st5Innings34-22 +14.6 units average line: +108up 4.6 units in ML bets too but i am only going to post the 5 inning bets from now on.
today:
Giants +180more to come possibly...
Posted Saturday, August 16, 2008 02:35 PM
nice hit on the royals last night!
so far for today:
White Sox ML -136Pirates 1st5 & ML at +142 and +145
Posted Friday, August 15, 2008 02:44 PM
CLE 1st5 -138maybe more to come
Posted Thursday, August 14, 2008 01:38 PM
A's 1st5 +127also on them ml but those picks have been shaky lately.
more picks as they are capped.
Posted Wednesday, August 13, 2008 12:54 PM
3 weeks of picks are in the books and i am pretty happy with the outcome and very optimistic about the future. my moneyline picks are nothing special with a real money ROI of 8.8% but my 1st 5 inning picks are hitting at 61% with an ROI of 24%. that is an impossible number to continue but i hope to keep it up as high as i can. i may stop putting money on the ML bets and just solely do 1st5 but i want to get numbers from the rest of the year before making those decisions.
of the early games...
Cubs 1st5 -103
Posted Tuesday, August 12, 2008 04:51 PM
up 9 units through 20 days. i will take it, especially with all that i have learned to improve the plays in that time. much bigger card today:
1st 5 InningsNationals +200Marlins -106Giants evenRockies -122Dodgers +120Tigers -110Mariners +162no play but meats the ROI - White Sox -170
Money LineNationals +192
Marlins -106
Giants +103
Rockies -120
Brewers -109
Dodgers +108
Twins +124
Mariners +181
no play but meats the ROI - White Sox -179
Posted Monday, August 11, 2008 01:40 PM
took a split over the weekend with dogs for a very small profit. i am hoping to get more games in but i won't cross my ROI threshold until i have time to see if a lower ROI will still be profitable.
first pick of the day:
Dodgers ML -118 (might wait to get a better line)
Dodgers 1st5 -125hopefully more to come from the AL