Posted Monday, November 22, 2010 02:29 PM
First thoughts on todays games
Atlanta -3
Boston on back to back, Atlanta tends to bounce back after a home loss.
Minnesota +9.5
Oklahoma over the weekend just downed Boston and Milwaukee on the road, nice accomplishments. This will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Maybe they put this on cruise and settle for a 6 point win.
San Antonio -3.5
San Antonio is playing fantasic right now. Not only are they winning but they're playing great down the stretch, executing, and putting teams away. Orlando is winning but their success is coming more at their lack of competition. They're not shooting the 3 ball well (except for last game) and that is crucial to their success. This is San Antonio's 3rd game in 4 nights, so that worries me a bit.
Utah -10.5
What is this we cover only on the road Utah Jazz? Not sure I'm willing to only get 10.5 with this awful Kings team.
Golden State +2.5
Would like to know if Chauncy is in or out. If he's out I'll take the small number. I've seen them playing w/o Chauny and its pretty nasty. Golden State just got embarrassed by the World Champs, I expect them to at least put up their fists in this fight, cause last night they got knocked out quickly like Marvis Frazier did against Iron Mike.
New Orleans -5
New Orleans barely squeaked out the win yesterday in ... [More]
Posted Thursday, November 11, 2010 12:09 PM
+53.6 units
Leaning on Boston +6.5, Chicago -6.5, Lakers -3
Boston +6.5
Miami just doesn't have it together. We all know Miami can dominate, but its a 48 minute game. Miami is 1-3 against playoff teams. I'll take the steady horse on 3 days rest. Going back to last season those old Boston legs are 11-3 on 3 or more days rest. Those 3 losses: Philly, with an 11 game winning streak Boston held an 11 point halftime lead. Only to lose the game on a tip by Elton Brand with less than 8 seconds left. 2nd loss Orlando, they went into Orlando again at half they lead by 11. Boston took the loss as Orlando outscored them by 13 in the final quarter and the game winning basket coming off a Rashard Lewis basket with less than 2 seconds left. 3rd loss, coming in New Orleans. Boston again has a dd lead at half, up 12. But got outplayed in the 2nd half and took the 8 point loss. I really don't believe Miami wins by dd tonight. I do expect this game to be decided by a 4 point Boston win or a less that 10 point Miami win. If my conclusion is accurate, I have a 72% chance of winning.