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The Bounce Factor - Week 7 - Now 16-5 ATS (76%) in 2008 & 2009

By theclaw | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, October 22, 2009 11:34 PM   14 comments

2008 Season --- 11-3 ATS

65% games --- 8-3 ATS

85% games --- 3-0 ATS

2009 Season to Date --- 5-2 ATS, Won 10.8 units

65% games --- 5-2 ATS

85% games --- 0-0 ATS

Hey guys, what's happening ??? 

The Bounce Factor faces a huge test this week and next, it's now calling-out the strongest, most dominate teams this season and saying it's their time to fall.

The 3 teams come into this weekend a combined 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS, Wow !!!

Don't be surprised when one or more of these teams picks-up their 1st loss of the season.

Some of the biggest upsets in NFL history have occured in this exact same spot.  

The picks for week 7............

Rams +14 (-120) over Colts --- 4.8 units to win 4 units

Dolphins +7 (-120) over Saints --- 4.8 units to win 4 units

The 3rd team is Denver, with a bye this week, we'll fade them next week at Baltimore, as well as ride the Titans with our first 85% game of the season.

We'll find-out what The Bounce Factor's made of in the next 2 weeks.

As always guys, GL this weekend !!

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14 comments
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greenfield says:
10/23/09 12:01AM
scsiegel89 says:
10/23/09 12:01AM
love the dolphins, but the Colts coming off a bye is your missing factor. Peyton Manning will destroy STL secondary and has made a killing this year.
OKEYDOKE says:
10/23/09 12:25AM

yeah love the dolphins too..

colts game will be closer than many will be able to stand. 13 is soft.

theclaw says:
10/23/09 09:07PM

The Colts actually have a worse record out-of byes than overall record, I saw that posted on another site.

Seems everyone is so locked into Colts covering against Rams, much like last week when they locked in on  Philly covering against the Raiders.

It's very possible Rams are in this game with a chance to win at the end.

theclaw says:
10/23/09 09:13PM

The "almost qualifying" team won last week with the Ravens +3 cover over Vikes.

Season to Date with "almost qualifying" teams --- 1-2 ATS, lost 1.25 units

These games won't count on official Bounce Factor Record, but I'll add these games for fun and more action, they can  win.

This week........

Skins +7 over Philly --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Zucchero says:
10/23/09 09:18PM
Jay4Prez says:
10/23/09 09:35PM
Good stuff claw.  I show Indy being a fresh due down this week, and love the Baltimore pick for next week, I show Denver being a huge due down and Baltimore coming from a phony lose at Minn, where they had a better PYA and lost.   gl
BigNiner says:
10/24/09 12:58AM
Raidernator76 says:
10/24/09 02:03AM
Rams and Dolphins? Please explain more.
tSHUTT says:
10/24/09 02:11AM
I don't understand all this hype about Miami over the Saints. It's best to depend on logic rather than feel... And there's nothing logical that says the Dolphins are gonna be able to do something that some of the best teams in the league couldn't do.

Any good arguments out there supporting this claim, or are they just mindless hunches???
theclaw says:
10/25/09 01:01PM

Seems everyone is in love with the Colts, 83.4% of picks on the site have the Colts , the highest percentage of any game, and 92% on sportsbook.com.

Looks identical to last week with everyone on Eagles over Raiders and the Raiders not only covered the +14 they won the game, could we see the same result today ??

 

theclaw says:
10/25/09 01:08PM

 

If you haven't foolowed my Bounce Factor, it's a system I've used successfully betting the NFL for over 20 years.

Basically it tells us when teams on winning steaks ATS have peaked and are ready to fall, or teams on losing streaks ATS are ready to rise and cover.

I first began posting it here in 2008 and since have a impressive 16-5 ATS 76% record.

People who love the Colts could be in for a big surprise today !!

vegaslover says:
10/26/09 03:59PM
Yikes!  What a terrible day.  Hope next week is better. 
kittsd says:
10/26/09 04:17PM
That didn't work out so well - better luck next week. 
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