theclaw's Blog

the claw's take NFL Week 8 ......................................

By theclaw | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, October 28, 2010 08:59 PM   15 comments

NFL Season to Date, all Methods --- 22-16-4 ATS, Won 18.8 units (best bets 0-1)

Dogs ML --- 1-3, Lost 1.65 units

Double Plays 1-0

Overvalued/Undervalued Teams ...................................................

Season to Date --- 15-10-3 ATS, Won 19.5 units

Dogs ML --- 1-2, lost .65 units

Chargers -3 (-130) over Titans --- 6.5 units to win 5 units

The Bounce Factor .............................................................................

Season to Date --- 3-0-1 ATS, Won 15 units

Chargers -3 (-130) over Titans --- 6.5 units to win 5 units

Our 2cd double play of the season.............. 1-0 thus far winning with Zona over the Saints

More picks to follow.................

I'm very confident we have a strong week this week, BOL ............

15 comments
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Fresh952 says:
10/28/10 09:08PM
Trav2282 says:
10/28/10 09:51PM
D-Town says:
10/29/10 08:48AM
Good luck Claw. 
theclaw says:
10/30/10 04:49PM
Thanks Guys !!!!  
PrimeTimeBoys says:
10/30/10 04:51PM
I know you have some dogs ready to bark, let them loose!
theclaw says:
10/30/10 04:56PM

Overvalued/Undervalued Teams.................................

Rams -3 (+104) over Panthers --- 5 units to win 5.2 units

Seahawks +3 (-130) over Raiders --- 6.5 units to win 5 units 

Bring it on Week 8 !!  BOL 

LasVegasLord says:
10/30/10 05:00PM
Like Seattle and SD
theclaw says:
10/30/10 05:09PM

 

I do like Skins and Tampa on the ML but will pass for now.

 

bogart45 says:
10/30/10 05:19PM
I like all 3 of your plays. GL.
sabia says:
10/30/10 05:43PM
over-dosed says:
10/31/10 01:54AM

Are you saying that the Rams are overvalued or that the Panthers are the overvalued team? I read your post to mean that the play is on the Rams and on Seattle.

Am I reading that correctly?

Thanks, OD

 

 

theclaw says:
10/31/10 04:17PM

Fade the Public/Back the Public............................

Pats -5.5 over Vikes --- 3.3 units to win 3 units

theclaw says:
10/31/10 04:24PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by over-dosed]

Are you saying that the Rams are overvalued or that the Panthers are the overvalued team? I read your post to mean that the play is on the Rams and on Seattle.

Am I reading that correctly?

Thanks, OD

 

 

[/Quote

 

Yes, your reading it correctly.

In this situation Carolina was a fade,  in other words Carolina was no-where near as good as the final score of their last game suggested.

They won by 3 but according to their play in the "key stat battles", they should of lost the games by 7, that's 10 points "overvalued".

The Seattle/Raiders game is interesting because Seattle was 12 pts better last week and the Raiders out-played Denver no-where near the 59-14 of last week. 

So you have a fade on the Raiders and a go for on the Seahawks. and as destiny would have it they play each other.

theclaw says:
10/31/10 08:14PM

We bounced back off our 1st losing record last week for a nice day, and hit our 2cd double play on the Chargers .................

Week 8 --- 3-1 ATS, Won 11.7 units

NFL Season to Date --- 25-17-4 ATS Won 30.5 units

$100 per unit player --- Won $3005

theclaw says:
11/02/10 08:10PM

Things didn't add up from each method, just back-checked each week and hopefully now have our accurate record and units won........................

NFL Seaon to Date, all Methods --- 27-17-4, Won 30.5 units (best bets 0-1)

Dogs ML --- 1-3, Lost 1.65 units

Double Plays --- 2-0

Each Method...................

Overvalued/Undervalued Teams............ Season to Date --- 17-11-3 ATS, Won 23.2 units

Dogs ML --- 1-2, lost .65 units

The Bounce Factor............... Season to Date --- 4-0-1 ATS, Won 20 units

Fade the Public/Back the Public................. 5-3 ATS, Lost .7 units (0-1 best bets)

Home Field Bounce Factor ................. 0-1 ATS, Lost 5.5 units

Power Rating Plays ..................... 1-2 ATS, Lost 6.5 units

On to Next Week..........................

 

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