The ravens have lost to 3 good teams by 6 points or less keeping them close. The broncos have lost all 3 meetings in baltimore and the ravens have won thier last 6 out of seven coming off a bye. Denver is 15-5.
Denvers real secret this year is it's defence and thier ability to allow only 11 points per game while thier offence is averaging 22 pts which is not spectacular considering some of the blowouts we have seen. Denver's Dumervil leads the legue in sacks and flacco has been allowed to be sacked 7 or 8 times in the last 3 games!!! Flacco could get roughed up and if denver hits him early it will force some mistakes.
For the ravens ray rice will need to put in a superb game against a 3rd ranked rush defense. Rice is averaging 6 yards a carry but can he do that against this defence??? If not say godbye to the ravens.
Balt def pass game is 23rd against a denver offensive pass that is 12th
balt def rush is 7th against a 7th den offense
denver will have to focus on passing and ortons comp percentage is higher in his last 3 games against good teams ie, Dal, Sd, NE. @ around 70 %. Don't expect orton to get many if any interceptions as he only has 1 this year.
My score prediction will be Den 17 - Balt 13