thejudge1000's Blog

JUDGE'S NHL PLAYOFF SYSTEM

By thejudge1000 | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, April 24, 2010 02:28 AM   7 comments

Firstly, if you’re fundamentally opposed to chase systems, then this isn’t for you. Please move along and good luck this playoff season. 

This system has produced a profit every year the past six years.  Even last year only going 4-2.  In the past six playoff seasons, when a series has been tied 2-2, the game 5 winner has gone 29-4 winning the series.  The four losers:

·         2004 Flames, lost games 6 & 7 in the Stanley Cup final to the Bolts (Sutter choke job)

·         2006 Flames, lost games 6 & 7 in round 1 to the Ducks (Sutter choke job, part II)

·         2009 Devils, lost games 6 & 7 in round 1 to the Hurricanes (Marty gave up the tying and winning goals in the last 2 minutes of game 7)

·         2009 Wings, lost games 6 & 7 in the Stanley Cup Final to the Pens (still can’t figure that one out)

I figure this record is so unbalanced because game 5 is THE most important game in a series.  The team down 3-2 has zero margin for error in game 6, comes out tight and gets away from the strategy that got them there in the first place.  Plus, the game 5 winner is usually the series favorite, which cannot be discounted.

OK, so this is pretty simple.  In game 6, bet the game 5 winner on the money line.  If they lose, chase the same team in game 7 – another ML bet for one unit plus enough to win back your game 6 losing bet. 

So, who are the candidates so far in 2010?  Sharks, Canucks and Red Wings with the Chicago/Nashville game 5 winner to come. 

Saturday Pick

San Jose -180, 1.8 units to win 1 unit.

GL all. 

7 comments
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thejudge1000 says:
04/24/10 09:02PM

Sunday picks

Detroit -230

Vancouver -125

GL all. 

thejudge1000 says:
04/25/10 08:53PM

System 30-4 after Sharks closed the deal last night.

Wings loss today means chase 'em in game 7.  Waiting for the line at my book. 

Monday pick

Chicago -155

BOL all. 

thejudge1000 says:
04/26/10 11:49PM

Canucks and Hawks wins make the system 3-0 for the season, 32-4 overall. 

Chasing the Wings in game 7.

Tuesday pick

Detroit -120;  3.96 units to win 3.30 units

BOL all.

Polar_Bear says:
04/27/10 12:16AM

Are you not tracking the units won and lost for us? Come on man don't make me do the math........I like the approach by the way. Goodluck with the big chase play on Detroit tomorrow bud..............

thejudge1000 says:
04/28/10 01:14AM

Wings avenge their game 6 loss.  System is now 33-4 overall and I'm up 4 units. 

Gonna sit back and see if the Habs can upset the Caps tomorrow night.

See you all in Round 2. 

 

thejudge1000 says:
05/09/10 12:56PM

OK folks, only one series fits the system this round.  Pens win at home last night makes them the game 6 play.

Monday Play

PIT -175, 1.75 units to win 1 unit.

GL everyone. 

thejudge1000 says:
05/12/10 01:20AM

Heavy juice on the Pens in game 7, but I gotta stay true to the system.

Wednesday Play

PIT -260, 7.15 units to win 2.75 units.

GL all  

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User: thejudge1000
Joined: February 2007
Location: California
Team: Pittsburgh Steelers
Occupation: Management

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