Firstly, if you’re fundamentally opposed to chase systems, then this isn’t for you. Please move along and good luck this playoff season.
This system has produced a profit every year the past six years. Even last year only going 4-2. In the past six playoff seasons, when a series has been tied 2-2, the game 5 winner has gone 29-4 winning the series. The four losers:
· 2004 Flames, lost games 6 & 7 in the Stanley Cup final to the Bolts (Sutter choke job)
· 2006 Flames, lost games 6 & 7 in round 1 to the Ducks (Sutter choke job, part II)
· 2009 Devils, lost games 6 & 7 in round 1 to the Hurricanes (Marty gave up the tying and winning goals in the last 2 minutes of game 7)
· 2009 Wings, lost games 6 & 7 in the Stanley Cup Final to the Pens (still can’t figure that one out)
I figure this record is so unbalanced because game 5 is THE most important game in a series. The team down 3-2 has zero margin for error in game 6, comes out tight and gets away from the strategy that got them there in the first place. Plus, the game 5 winner is usually the series favorite, which cannot be discounted.
OK, so this is pretty simple. In game 6, bet the game 5 winner on the money line. If they lose, chase the same team in game 7 – another ML bet for one unit plus enough to win back your game 6 losing bet.
So, who are the candidates so far in 2010? Sharks, Canucks and Red Wings with the Chicago/Nashville game 5 winner to come.
Saturday Pick
San Jose -180, 1.8 units to win 1 unit.
GL all.